WEBVTT

00:00:00.010 --> 00:00:03.930
<v Sam>Good morning, Mr. Bo. Hello. Good afternoon for you.

00:00:05.990 --> 00:00:08.650
<v Ivan>Well, that's volume is very low. Can you talk again?

00:00:09.210 --> 00:00:10.350
<v Sam>Hello, hello, hello.

00:00:10.730 --> 00:00:13.150
<v Ivan>Okay, yeah, my volume was very low over here.

00:00:13.630 --> 00:00:14.750
<v Sam>Okay, let me...

00:00:14.750 --> 00:00:18.830
<v Ivan>Okay, so Manu has a birthday party this afternoon, so...

00:00:19.810 --> 00:00:20.710
<v Sam>Limited time?

00:00:21.190 --> 00:00:21.650
<v Ivan>Yeah.

00:00:21.970 --> 00:00:28.050
<v Sam>Okay. Let's get this thing started. When's your drop-dead time for ending, so I can watch the clock?

00:00:28.730 --> 00:00:33.170
<v Ivan>Let's just try to make it, you know, let's just try to keep it under 90 minutes.

00:00:33.370 --> 00:00:38.110
<v Ivan>I'm going to skip doing a butt first so we don't get dragged too long.

00:00:38.710 --> 00:00:40.550
<v Sam>Okay, so 1130 my time.

00:00:40.850 --> 00:00:41.330
<v Ivan>Yeah.

00:00:41.970 --> 00:00:47.170
<v Sam>Okay. Okey dokey, let's get going. Blah, blah, blah, blah.

00:00:47.490 --> 00:00:48.730
<v Ivan>He turned 13 yesterday.

00:00:50.370 --> 00:00:52.410
<v Sam>That's got to be a lie. There's no way.

00:00:52.870 --> 00:00:53.990
<v Ivan>I wish it were.

00:00:57.670 --> 00:01:02.790
<v Sam>Okay here we go congratulations on having a teenager god yeah,

00:01:25.800 --> 00:01:31.440
<v Sam>Welcome to Curmudgeon's Corner for Saturday, August 2nd, 2025.

00:01:31.880 --> 00:01:36.320
<v Sam>It's just before 17 UTC as we're starting to record right now.

00:01:36.560 --> 00:01:39.360
<v Sam>I'm Sam Mentor, Yvonne Bowes here. Hello, Yvonne.

00:01:39.940 --> 00:01:41.760
<v Ivan>Hi. Hola.

00:01:45.680 --> 00:01:50.180
<v Sam>So, as usual, our plan will be to do a quick segment on non-newsy stuff.

00:01:50.180 --> 00:01:54.380
<v Sam>I have a couple movies Yvonne is skipping because he needs to get out of here.

00:01:54.380 --> 00:02:02.560
<v Ivan>I will make just one quick comment, which is the only thing that I can comment,

00:02:02.760 --> 00:02:08.420
<v Ivan>well, comment is that I crossed through immigration twice this week. Yes.

00:02:08.680 --> 00:02:10.320
<v Sam>How many times were you arrested?

00:02:10.500 --> 00:02:17.920
<v Ivan>I was not arrested. I will say, though, that immigration in my—I crossed immigration

00:02:17.920 --> 00:02:22.740
<v Ivan>in Puerto Rico to go from the Dominican Republic into Puerto Rico,

00:02:22.780 --> 00:02:24.840
<v Ivan>which that was very uneventful.

00:02:25.360 --> 00:02:29.000
<v Ivan>There's nobody there, and right now there aren't that many international flights

00:02:29.000 --> 00:02:33.520
<v Ivan>going to San Juan, so it's, you know, that was uneventful.

00:02:33.520 --> 00:02:39.120
<v Ivan>But when I got back to Miami, I did get through quickly because I still have

00:02:39.120 --> 00:02:43.540
<v Ivan>global entry, so I can get through it relatively quickly.

00:02:44.160 --> 00:02:48.980
<v Ivan>But they changed some of the process for global entry, which is a little bit weird.

00:02:49.340 --> 00:02:53.160
<v Ivan>It still went fast, but holy shit, that place was chaotic.

00:02:53.840 --> 00:03:00.240
<v Ivan>I mean, that was, it's the chaos that I expect sometimes to see around the holidays

00:03:00.240 --> 00:03:02.340
<v Ivan>and something like that when a lot of people are traveling.

00:03:02.340 --> 00:03:15.680
<v Ivan>But for a regular just Thursday early evening holy shit what a chaotic immigration

00:03:15.680 --> 00:03:18.480
<v Ivan>area I mean I see people like get,

00:03:19.600 --> 00:03:26.800
<v Ivan>something bad happened it was just the the lines were worse than i ever remember

00:03:26.800 --> 00:03:30.000
<v Ivan>and i'm assuming that's because they're just being more,

00:03:30.800 --> 00:03:36.420
<v Ivan>assholic about the whole thing yes um and um that.

00:03:36.420 --> 00:03:38.240
<v Sam>Is the assumption i would make too.

00:03:38.240 --> 00:03:44.200
<v Ivan>But but you know the global entry part was you know uneventful so because you've.

00:03:44.200 --> 00:03:48.900
<v Sam>Got yeah you're a u.s citizen you've got global entry you've got your path by

00:03:48.900 --> 00:03:51.220
<v Sam>the way some Some countries, they're not hassling you.

00:03:51.640 --> 00:03:56.760
<v Ivan>No, no. Yeah. Because global entry, hell, I don't even have to show my passport to go to global entry.

00:03:57.080 --> 00:04:00.400
<v Ivan>It's just, it's right now completely facial recognition.

00:04:01.160 --> 00:04:05.340
<v Ivan>You scan your picture, you know, that you, you, that you walk up to a kiosk

00:04:05.340 --> 00:04:09.500
<v Ivan>that recognizes your face, an agent, you know, then, then you,

00:04:09.600 --> 00:04:12.720
<v Ivan>you get on this line where an agent goes and says, uh, Ivan, yeah.

00:04:12.820 --> 00:04:16.240
<v Ivan>Looks at the picture, compares you. Just they double check and just let you go. That's it.

00:04:16.600 --> 00:04:19.260
<v Ivan>That's all that happens. because it used to be that you had to

00:04:19.260 --> 00:04:22.220
<v Ivan>scan your passport and do all sorts of

00:04:22.220 --> 00:04:25.640
<v Ivan>things hell i don't even have to fill a customs form anymore

00:04:25.640 --> 00:04:28.420
<v Ivan>the customs declaration or anything i don't feel

00:04:28.420 --> 00:04:31.460
<v Ivan>a declaration it's just walk up do that

00:04:31.460 --> 00:04:38.380
<v Ivan>and done so that that gets that done relatively quickly but but man it was just

00:04:38.380 --> 00:04:45.180
<v Ivan>it just looked like sheer chaos so that was the only thing that i i got And

00:04:45.180 --> 00:04:51.420
<v Ivan>it's the first time I've had to cross through immigration since the new regime.

00:04:52.640 --> 00:04:58.880
<v Ivan>And it is correct. You know, it is correct to call it now a regime.

00:04:58.880 --> 00:05:02.780
<v Ivan>I don't see any other proper adjective.

00:05:03.420 --> 00:05:06.880
<v Sam>Yeah. Yes. Okay.

00:05:07.260 --> 00:05:08.560
<v Ivan>So anyway, so that's it.

00:05:08.920 --> 00:05:15.360
<v Sam>Shall we go? I got my two movies and then we can move on. We can do my two movies really quick.

00:05:15.920 --> 00:05:21.340
<v Sam>Like, we will not allow extended discussion on either of you.

00:05:21.340 --> 00:05:26.060
<v Ivan>The reason is my son has his birthday party this afternoon. He's turning 13.

00:05:26.300 --> 00:05:28.640
<v Ivan>So, therefore, I need to skedaddle.

00:05:29.300 --> 00:05:33.540
<v Sam>Absolutely. And, you know, important milestone. Important milestone.

00:05:34.020 --> 00:05:38.300
<v Sam>Now a teenager is now going to cause you unknown amounts of trouble.

00:05:38.540 --> 00:05:40.420
<v Ivan>Fuck me. Jesus Christ.

00:05:43.100 --> 00:05:50.060
<v Sam>Yes, yes, yes. Okay, so the first of my movies is another one of these AFI top

00:05:50.060 --> 00:05:53.940
<v Sam>100 movies I've been working my way down through since 1998.

00:05:55.340 --> 00:06:02.360
<v Sam>In real life, you know, not this list, we're actually in, the next one I watch

00:06:02.360 --> 00:06:04.920
<v Sam>will be number three. So I'm almost at the end.

00:06:05.060 --> 00:06:11.900
<v Sam>Okay. But this is number 17 from the 1998 list, which, interestingly,

00:06:12.000 --> 00:06:18.860
<v Sam>they re-ranked it in 2007. It dropped all the way to 65 for the 2007 list.

00:06:18.960 --> 00:06:20.540
<v Ivan>That's a steep devaluation.

00:06:21.100 --> 00:06:27.440
<v Sam>Yeah. So I guess they determined there were a bunch of things that somehow in

00:06:27.440 --> 00:06:35.240
<v Sam>the nine years between 1998 and 2007 made it less wonderful, I guess.

00:06:35.980 --> 00:06:41.400
<v Sam>Anyway, the movie was The African Queen from 1977.

00:06:42.360 --> 00:06:42.800
<v Ivan>Okay.

00:06:43.780 --> 00:06:48.040
<v Sam>Actually, sorry. No, no, no, no, no. African Queen from 1951.

00:06:48.880 --> 00:06:54.320
<v Sam>1951. I misread. There was a television version of this in 1977,

00:06:54.320 --> 00:06:55.920
<v Sam>but that is not what I watched.

00:06:56.440 --> 00:06:56.760
<v Ivan>Okay.

00:06:58.120 --> 00:07:05.080
<v Sam>So, look, this is, I don't know. Like, I'm thinking maybe the 65 is better than

00:07:05.080 --> 00:07:08.140
<v Sam>the 17, okay? It was a fine movie.

00:07:08.380 --> 00:07:10.640
<v Sam>It was based on a 1935.

00:07:10.640 --> 00:07:12.720
<v Ivan>I think it was just overrated when they first did the...

00:07:12.720 --> 00:07:15.140
<v Sam>I don't know. Look, here's the thing.

00:07:16.170 --> 00:07:23.410
<v Sam>Look, the plot, let me read you the beginning of the plot from Wikipedia, of course.

00:07:23.850 --> 00:07:28.290
<v Sam>Samuel Sayre and his sister Rose are English Methodist missionaries in German

00:07:28.290 --> 00:07:30.470
<v Sam>East Africa in August 1914.

00:07:31.190 --> 00:07:35.550
<v Sam>Their mail and supplies are delivered by a small steamboat named the African

00:07:35.550 --> 00:07:40.170
<v Sam>Queen, helmed by the rough-and-ready Canadian mechanic Charlie Allnut,

00:07:40.370 --> 00:07:44.850
<v Sam>whose coarse behavior they stiffly tolerate. Yes, Allnut.

00:07:46.210 --> 00:07:50.710
<v Sam>When Charlie warns the sires that war has broken out between Germany and Britain

00:07:50.710 --> 00:07:56.490
<v Sam>they choose to remain in Kungdu only to witness German colonial troops burn

00:07:56.490 --> 00:07:59.910
<v Sam>down the village and herd the villagers away to be pressed into service,

00:08:00.670 --> 00:08:03.770
<v Sam>when Samuel protests he is struck by a soldier and

00:08:03.770 --> 00:08:06.990
<v Sam>soon becomes delirious with fever dying shortly

00:08:06.990 --> 00:08:11.730
<v Sam>afterwards Charlie helps Rose bury her brother and they escape in the African

00:08:11.730 --> 00:08:19.390
<v Sam>queen and then the rest is what happens to them as they try to get out of German

00:08:19.390 --> 00:08:24.790
<v Sam>West Africa and back to British-controlled territory or whatever.

00:08:25.770 --> 00:08:33.530
<v Sam>That's the plot of the movie. Let me give you one particular thing you can imagine

00:08:33.530 --> 00:08:36.970
<v Sam>might be one of the things why this did not age well.

00:08:37.370 --> 00:08:44.370
<v Sam>A 1950s movie set in 1914 14, Africa.

00:08:45.870 --> 00:08:48.570
<v Ivan>Sounds like it could be quite racist.

00:08:49.990 --> 00:08:53.310
<v Sam>There are definitely racist components here.

00:08:53.950 --> 00:08:59.850
<v Sam>You know, there's just the natives, when they are portrayed,

00:09:00.190 --> 00:09:04.790
<v Sam>are not really portrayed as people, you know, is the fundamental thing.

00:09:05.010 --> 00:09:07.430
<v Sam>You know, they're sort of running around, they're doing their thing,

00:09:07.570 --> 00:09:11.590
<v Sam>they're like hooping and hollering. And, you know, they, they are not really,

00:09:11.850 --> 00:09:13.430
<v Sam>they're not characters.

00:09:13.650 --> 00:09:17.590
<v Sam>They're not like a significant part of things. They're just sort of background

00:09:17.590 --> 00:09:20.750
<v Sam>of, oh my God, they're in wild Africa, you know?

00:09:21.870 --> 00:09:24.790
<v Sam>And, you know, other, you know,

00:09:24.990 --> 00:09:32.170
<v Sam>and so, yes, I, I imagine this is one of the reasons why from the late 1990s

00:09:32.170 --> 00:09:37.050
<v Sam>to the early 2000s, this was dropped a bit in the, in the rankings.

00:09:37.050 --> 00:09:41.990
<v Sam>Having said that, you know, there's still like, it's an interesting dynamic

00:09:41.990 --> 00:09:43.570
<v Sam>between the two main characters.

00:09:43.570 --> 00:09:49.830
<v Sam>It's got the whole sort of thing of the sort of uptight religious woman and

00:09:49.830 --> 00:09:55.530
<v Sam>the sort of wild macho river guy,

00:09:55.830 --> 00:09:59.870
<v Sam>you know, and, you know, they, you know.

00:10:00.960 --> 00:10:05.820
<v Sam>Fall for each other as you would expect and then there's some like world war

00:10:05.820 --> 00:10:11.120
<v Sam>two or sorry world war one background stuff between like what's going on between

00:10:11.120 --> 00:10:17.920
<v Sam>the british and the and the germans and the you know the war background stuff

00:10:17.920 --> 00:10:20.920
<v Sam>because they get involved in the back and forth with that.

00:10:22.400 --> 00:10:27.680
<v Sam>And i i would say i'm giving it a thumb sideways it was fine i'm not sure it

00:10:27.680 --> 00:10:31.400
<v Sam>deserves number 17 on this list. Frankly, I don't know. Well, obviously.

00:10:31.800 --> 00:10:35.500
<v Ivan>I don't know if it really deserves 65. Apparently a lot of people agreed with

00:10:35.500 --> 00:10:38.920
<v Ivan>you because they dropped it like a rock the next time around.

00:10:39.340 --> 00:10:45.260
<v Sam>Yeah, I'm not sure if it really deserves 67 or 65 or whatever the hell it was I said.

00:10:45.440 --> 00:10:49.540
<v Sam>But, you know, 65.

00:10:50.040 --> 00:10:53.680
<v Sam>It was an okay movie. It was entertaining.

00:10:53.940 --> 00:10:57.600
<v Sam>I laughed at a few moments. The dynamics between these two were comical.

00:10:57.600 --> 00:11:00.960
<v Sam>It was sort of 1955 stylized, too.

00:11:01.220 --> 00:11:08.640
<v Sam>You know, if you think about old movies, it's not going for realism per se.

00:11:08.660 --> 00:11:13.080
<v Sam>They're sort of exaggerated characters, and that's fine. You know, anyway.

00:11:13.740 --> 00:11:17.180
<v Sam>That's all my thoughts on this one. Do you have any thoughts on this one?

00:11:17.440 --> 00:11:20.300
<v Sam>I'm guessing you've probably been scanning the Wikipedia page.

00:11:20.380 --> 00:11:25.280
<v Ivan>I never watched this movie. No, I decided not to scan the Wikipedia page on

00:11:25.280 --> 00:11:30.640
<v Ivan>it. But I, I, I, but I've never heard, I, I, you know, no, I had heard of them.

00:11:30.680 --> 00:11:34.560
<v Sam>Oh, I should mention since I didn't, it's Humphrey Bogart and Katharine Hepburn,

00:11:35.040 --> 00:11:41.880
<v Sam>which of course that's part of why, like, this is a famous, like two famous actors from that era.

00:11:42.260 --> 00:11:46.520
<v Ivan>Extremely famous. I mean, there are multiple movies on this list that is.

00:11:46.600 --> 00:11:50.280
<v Sam>You know. And who are famous for like their interactions as well.

00:11:50.540 --> 00:11:50.620
<v Ivan>Right.

00:11:50.620 --> 00:11:52.760
<v Sam>And so, this is undoubtedly a big

00:11:52.760 --> 00:11:55.720
<v Sam>part of why it was on the list was just because it was the two of them.

00:11:56.600 --> 00:11:56.940
<v Ivan>Okay.

00:11:57.580 --> 00:11:58.020
<v Sam>Anyway.

00:11:58.800 --> 00:12:02.820
<v Ivan>Well. All right. So, thumbs sideways on this movie, right?

00:12:02.820 --> 00:12:09.220
<v Sam>Yes. Thumbs sideways. All right. And the next up is? Jurassic Park 3.

00:12:09.940 --> 00:12:10.220
<v Ivan>Yeah.

00:12:10.300 --> 00:12:13.140
<v Sam>I previewed that these two would be the movies last week.

00:12:13.220 --> 00:12:15.480
<v Ivan>I say again.

00:12:16.300 --> 00:12:17.980
<v Sam>You never made it past the first two.

00:12:18.540 --> 00:12:23.900
<v Ivan>Never. I mean, and again, the second one I didn't even watch I Know in its entirety.

00:12:24.970 --> 00:12:31.030
<v Ivan>I'm pretty sure I never did. I watched bits and pieces of it when it was on

00:12:31.030 --> 00:12:35.370
<v Ivan>linear movie channels back in the day.

00:12:36.110 --> 00:12:39.950
<v Ivan>But it never attracted me watching it from beginning to end.

00:12:40.390 --> 00:12:45.070
<v Ivan>I just didn't find the, I just didn't pique my interest.

00:12:45.810 --> 00:12:51.250
<v Ivan>So, three is like, I mean, shit, if I could complete two, forget three.

00:12:51.590 --> 00:12:53.570
<v Ivan>It's kind of like Fast and the Furious.

00:12:54.410 --> 00:12:57.730
<v Ivan>I watched the first one. I've never even, I don't, I have no,

00:12:57.830 --> 00:12:59.910
<v Ivan>I know there was like 10 of them or something like that.

00:13:00.210 --> 00:13:05.470
<v Ivan>I don't think I've watched intentionally a minute of any past the first one.

00:13:06.090 --> 00:13:13.830
<v Sam>Well, Jurassic Park, as you know, just last month released their seventh. So they're on seven now.

00:13:14.570 --> 00:13:17.530
<v Ivan>Yeah, that's right. For God, that's right. Jesus.

00:13:18.410 --> 00:13:24.350
<v Sam>And I have not watched past three. Like, this is as far as I've ever gotten,

00:13:24.410 --> 00:13:26.850
<v Sam>so I will probably eventually watch the rest.

00:13:27.050 --> 00:13:31.250
<v Sam>But, you know, look, okay, I will once again read the first two paragraphs of

00:13:31.250 --> 00:13:34.850
<v Sam>the plot summary from Wikipedia, and then give my further thoughts.

00:13:38.050 --> 00:13:42.910
<v Sam>Paleontologist Alan Grant struggles to secure funding for his Velociraptor research,

00:13:43.050 --> 00:13:45.430
<v Sam>where he attempts to prove his hypothesis.

00:13:45.670 --> 00:13:48.470
<v Sam>They were intellectually and socially advanced.

00:13:49.270 --> 00:13:53.150
<v Sam>Instead, he finds himself rebuffing the public's obsession with the events on

00:13:53.150 --> 00:13:59.310
<v Sam>Isla Nublar and the InGen Incident in San Diego. That's the first two movies.

00:13:59.790 --> 00:14:04.570
<v Sam>He receives encouragement to continue from his now-married ex-girlfriend,

00:14:04.750 --> 00:14:11.830
<v Sam>Ellie Sattler, and his assistant, Billy Brennan, who uses 3D printing to replicate a velociraptor larynx.

00:14:12.490 --> 00:14:17.730
<v Sam>Wealthy couple Paul and Amanda Kirby offered to fund his research in return

00:14:17.730 --> 00:14:23.590
<v Sam>for a guided aerial tour of Isla Sorna, claiming they have permission to fly there.

00:14:24.530 --> 00:14:28.490
<v Sam>Alan reluctantly agrees, flying there with Billy, two of the Kirby's mercenary

00:14:28.490 --> 00:14:32.310
<v Sam>associates, Udesky and Cooper, and their pilot Nash.

00:14:32.750 --> 00:14:38.730
<v Sam>When the Kirby's try to have Nash land the plane, Alan protests and is knocked unconscious by Cooper.

00:14:39.010 --> 00:14:44.430
<v Sam>He awakens to find they have landed, and the Kirby's refuse to leave until a

00:14:44.430 --> 00:14:46.290
<v Sam>Spinosaurus approaches them.

00:14:46.610 --> 00:14:51.870
<v Sam>They attempt to escape, but the dinosaur attacks their plane during takeoff and kills Cooper.

00:14:51.870 --> 00:14:54.790
<v Sam>The plane crashes in the forest and the

00:14:54.790 --> 00:14:58.210
<v Sam>spinosaurus kills nash and swallows paul's

00:14:58.210 --> 00:15:01.530
<v Sam>satellite phone the survivors flee encountering

00:15:01.530 --> 00:15:04.770
<v Sam>a tyrannosaurus which is promptly defeated by the spinosaurus

00:15:04.770 --> 00:15:09.430
<v Sam>as the humans escape and then of course the rest of their adventures on the

00:15:09.430 --> 00:15:14.450
<v Sam>island continue there is a revelation on the motives of the rich people who

00:15:14.450 --> 00:15:22.070
<v Sam>brought them here in the first place etc etc etc and yeah i i'm sorry you.

00:15:22.070 --> 00:15:23.690
<v Ivan>Know you just you just described.

00:15:23.690 --> 00:15:26.030
<v Sam>This and you.

00:15:26.030 --> 00:15:35.550
<v Ivan>Know i am 100 confident i i no clue i i had no idea that this movie was about

00:15:35.550 --> 00:15:40.510
<v Ivan>had any of those plot points nothing nothing zero.

00:15:40.510 --> 00:15:44.390
<v Sam>You might have guessed it was about dinosaurs that's.

00:15:44.390 --> 00:15:47.770
<v Ivan>About the only part I could have guessed correctly, yes. That there were some

00:15:47.770 --> 00:15:51.650
<v Ivan>humans and dinosaurs. That I could have guessed, yes. Other than that.

00:15:52.550 --> 00:15:56.030
<v Sam>Yeah, look, here's the thing. I'll give it another thumb sideways.

00:15:56.570 --> 00:16:04.570
<v Sam>It was fine. It was what you expect from a movie with humans running around with dinosaurs.

00:16:06.170 --> 00:16:13.070
<v Sam>But, you know, it was not. I think I save thumbs down for the movies I truly hate.

00:16:13.070 --> 00:16:23.010
<v Sam>You know where i'm like not only did i was it blah but it was actually distasteful

00:16:23.010 --> 00:16:32.970
<v Sam>and i regret ever having wasted my time watching it and i came out of it feeling you know,

00:16:33.790 --> 00:16:38.890
<v Sam>mad that the movie exists that's what i save thumbs down for this this is a

00:16:38.890 --> 00:16:41.070
<v Sam>thumb sideways is it was just sort of like,

00:16:42.670 --> 00:16:43.550
<v Sam>okay, generic,

00:16:44.770 --> 00:16:50.690
<v Sam>dinosaurs chasing humans around as the humans try to get out formulae whatever

00:16:50.690 --> 00:17:00.510
<v Sam>you know it was a it was it's only 92 minutes long so it's not one of these mega like two minutes.

00:17:00.510 --> 00:17:05.870
<v Ivan>Long that's awfully short i mean especially i think the original jurassic park

00:17:05.870 --> 00:17:08.030
<v Ivan>was over two hours for sure.

00:17:08.030 --> 00:17:14.450
<v Sam>Right now now you're gonna have to make me check it i'm gonna have to yeah it

00:17:14.450 --> 00:17:16.930
<v Sam>was 127 minutes the original yeah.

00:17:16.930 --> 00:17:20.730
<v Ivan>It was a yeah it was a long movie i mean what the heck.

00:17:20.730 --> 00:17:28.130
<v Sam>And jurassic park 2 was 129 minutes so this was at the time this was the shortest

00:17:28.130 --> 00:17:30.610
<v Sam>jurassic yeah it may still be i don't,

00:17:32.190 --> 00:17:35.010
<v Sam>but is it you know if you want to kill

00:17:35.010 --> 00:17:37.730
<v Sam>an hour and a half it was fine to kill an

00:17:37.730 --> 00:17:43.050
<v Sam>hour and a half you know it i wasn't upset by it but you know there are plenty

00:17:43.050 --> 00:17:47.530
<v Sam>of better ways you could spend an hour and a half but you know if you're bored

00:17:47.530 --> 00:17:51.750
<v Sam>and you just want to stick a movie on and and watch it like it is fine like

00:17:51.750 --> 00:17:55.910
<v Sam>i don't regret i don't regret having watched it i'm not upset by having watched

00:17:55.910 --> 00:17:57.390
<v Sam>it. It just wasn't anything special.

00:17:57.530 --> 00:18:01.630
<v Sam>Completely routine, sort of by the numbers.

00:18:02.610 --> 00:18:03.770
<v Sam>Dinosaurs chase people.

00:18:05.270 --> 00:18:07.410
<v Sam>Some people die. Some people live.

00:18:08.930 --> 00:18:11.970
<v Sam>Obstacles in the way as they try to get out. You know, I'm...

00:18:12.650 --> 00:18:16.810
<v Sam>There you go. Okay. That's all I got. Shall we move on? That's all you got.

00:18:16.810 --> 00:18:20.130
<v Sam>Take a break and do news stuff?

00:18:20.810 --> 00:18:21.310
<v Ivan>Okay.

00:18:22.990 --> 00:18:27.150
<v Sam>So break time. Here we go. Blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.

00:18:30.250 --> 00:18:38.070
<v Break>You're listening to this podcast. Do you like it? No. Do you want to support the show? No.

00:18:39.230 --> 00:18:43.530
<v Break>Well, after you have subscribed to the show, followed us on Facebook,

00:18:43.710 --> 00:18:50.410
<v Break>and told all your friends they should be listening to, what else can you do? I won't subscribe!

00:18:51.450 --> 00:18:57.070
<v Break>You can help fund our Patreon at patreon.com slash curmudgeonscorner.

00:18:58.150 --> 00:19:03.150
<v Break>Patreon is a way you can throw us a few bucks a month to help out with the expenses of the show.

00:19:03.150 --> 00:19:08.110
<v Break>You know, web hosting, equipment, a little bit of advertising to promote the

00:19:08.110 --> 00:19:13.170
<v Break>show, and maybe every once in a while some much-needed sedatives for Yvonne.

00:19:13.930 --> 00:19:17.490
<v Break>At different contribution levels, you can get a mention on the show,

00:19:17.650 --> 00:19:22.170
<v Break>our Curmudgeon's Corner postcard, or even a Curmudgeon's Corner mug.

00:19:22.410 --> 00:19:24.590
<v Break>Fun stuff. Not fun.

00:19:25.070 --> 00:19:29.930
<v Break>In any case, the contributions help tell us that you enjoy and appreciate the

00:19:29.930 --> 00:19:33.430
<v Break>show. I really, really hate curmudgeon's corner!

00:19:34.070 --> 00:19:35.890
<v Break>Are we worth a buck a month? No!

00:19:36.730 --> 00:19:42.430
<v Break>Five bucks a month? No! Or if you are nuts about us, maybe even more?

00:19:43.730 --> 00:19:46.270
<v Break>100 billion! Billion dollars!

00:19:47.110 --> 00:19:50.410
<v Break>Even though you don't have anywhere near a billion dollars!

00:19:51.010 --> 00:19:56.510
<v Break>If we're worth anything to you at all, send it our way at patreon.com slash

00:19:56.510 --> 00:20:02.750
<v Break>curmudgeon's corner. Alex hates, really, really hates, Carmudgeons Corner!

00:20:03.230 --> 00:20:07.630
<v Break>That's really mean, isn't it? But I hate Carmudgeons Corner. But I really do!

00:20:09.820 --> 00:20:14.540
<v Sam>Okay, so before we move on, though, like since that was about the Patreon and

00:20:14.540 --> 00:20:18.120
<v Sam>everything like that, have you received the postcards yet?

00:20:18.600 --> 00:20:25.580
<v Ivan>I actually, I got back from my trip and I just grabbed the envelope from the mail yesterday.

00:20:25.960 --> 00:20:30.780
<v Sam>There you go. So this is, we owe a couple people postcards and I have.

00:20:30.780 --> 00:20:37.520
<v Ivan>I just showed, for those of you not watching that video, I showed Sam the envelope on video.

00:20:37.880 --> 00:20:43.280
<v Sam>Yes. Yeah, and I put my little tiny notes on the postcards, and now they're

00:20:43.280 --> 00:20:44.820
<v Sam>with Yvonne to put his notes.

00:20:45.100 --> 00:20:46.680
<v Ivan>What was I supposed to put on these postcards?

00:20:46.940 --> 00:20:49.780
<v Sam>Just a little note saying thank you or whatever.

00:20:49.980 --> 00:20:52.960
<v Ivan>Oh, okay, right. Okay, yeah, that's it. Okay, all right, got it.

00:20:53.140 --> 00:20:57.240
<v Sam>You know, or you can do something more creative. You can do whatever you want with them.

00:20:57.420 --> 00:21:03.920
<v Ivan>I could, you know, apply on it like some glue.

00:21:04.820 --> 00:21:08.460
<v Sam>Sure, sure. That would work well in the mail on a postcard.

00:21:08.920 --> 00:21:09.300
<v Ivan>Yeah.

00:21:09.520 --> 00:21:13.060
<v Sam>You know, just put glue on it, stick it in the mailbox, see what else attaches

00:21:13.060 --> 00:21:14.900
<v Sam>to it on the way. Right. You know?

00:21:15.600 --> 00:21:18.400
<v Sam>Now, if you do anything interesting with them, take a picture.

00:21:18.920 --> 00:21:20.300
<v Sam>Okay. And share before you.

00:21:20.380 --> 00:21:24.140
<v Ivan>Like, I'll see what I, I'll see what my creativity brings to.

00:21:24.320 --> 00:21:27.080
<v Sam>Or you can do what I did and give a very. Which my creativity sucks.

00:21:27.680 --> 00:21:31.740
<v Sam>My, my, mine was very boring. Maybe I'll get. It was like, thank you for listening.

00:21:32.220 --> 00:21:37.020
<v Ivan>In order to make it make it even more boring maybe I'll get chat GPT to write what I'm going to say.

00:21:37.500 --> 00:21:44.780
<v Sam>There you go exciting stuff anyway because we mentioned the Patreon and at various

00:21:44.780 --> 00:21:48.100
<v Sam>levels you get various things one of those levels is a postcard and we owed

00:21:48.100 --> 00:21:50.040
<v Sam>a couple people a postcard for like months.

00:21:50.040 --> 00:21:54.920
<v Ivan>It's a very nice postcard yeah it's good you've got a picture of us you know

00:21:54.920 --> 00:21:58.940
<v Ivan>and stuff it's nice yeah I mean I don't know if that's actually nice now that

00:21:58.940 --> 00:22:00.660
<v Ivan>I think about it but you know it is what it is.

00:22:02.600 --> 00:22:07.200
<v Sam>Okay von so start us out what newsy thing do you want to talk about first this

00:22:07.200 --> 00:22:09.160
<v Sam>week there's been lots going on.

00:22:09.160 --> 00:22:15.860
<v Ivan>You know as i i was checking my apple news app on the computer yeah and the

00:22:15.860 --> 00:22:18.760
<v Ivan>first headline there grabbed grabbed right now.

00:22:18.760 --> 00:22:19.620
<v Sam>This very second.

00:22:19.620 --> 00:22:22.480
<v Ivan>As we're recording yeah you know because i i

00:22:22.480 --> 00:22:25.680
<v Ivan>did mention some stuff different stuff on

00:22:25.680 --> 00:22:28.680
<v Ivan>i said you know in this in

00:22:28.680 --> 00:22:31.780
<v Ivan>the topics we put down to tariffs i put

00:22:31.780 --> 00:22:34.740
<v Ivan>down about jobs more epstein i i

00:22:34.740 --> 00:22:39.320
<v Ivan>said more stuff about reshoring you know uh job reshoring but i was looking

00:22:39.320 --> 00:22:44.140
<v Ivan>at the economic stuff but then here's the thing uh this headline from nbc news

00:22:44.140 --> 00:22:53.040
<v Ivan>summed it up tariffs alarming job numbers and a high-profile firing a wild week for the economy,

00:22:54.530 --> 00:23:00.390
<v Ivan>And that, I think, from the economic side, is what summed up this week. This week was insane.

00:23:01.690 --> 00:23:07.150
<v Ivan>You know, this week was insane. And the whole thing is, the main problem with

00:23:07.150 --> 00:23:11.330
<v Ivan>it is, it's all self-inflicted.

00:23:12.290 --> 00:23:17.890
<v Ivan>The entire reason the week was wild, it's not because, you know,

00:23:18.670 --> 00:23:22.610
<v Ivan>certain things happened that they had to react to.

00:23:22.610 --> 00:23:29.570
<v Ivan>No, this is all due to the policies of disadministration.

00:23:29.750 --> 00:23:33.870
<v Sam>Isn't that pretty much true for everything since January 20th?

00:23:34.250 --> 00:23:45.890
<v Ivan>Yeah, but look, I will tell you that outside of the financial crisis, Or like this,

00:23:46.270 --> 00:23:52.890
<v Ivan>you know, because the dot-com implosion was an impact back in the early 2000s.

00:23:53.350 --> 00:24:02.230
<v Ivan>But what really triggered more, you know, economic issues in that downturn,

00:24:02.390 --> 00:24:05.750
<v Ivan>early 2000, 2001, was September 11th.

00:24:05.930 --> 00:24:11.470
<v Ivan>Okay, so that was a huge, huge external shock, okay, we had.

00:24:11.470 --> 00:24:18.510
<v Ivan>And also the Enron and WorldCom financial scandals, okay?

00:24:18.850 --> 00:24:27.850
<v Ivan>That happened where massive fraud was uncovered on two of the darlings of the

00:24:27.850 --> 00:24:29.250
<v Ivan>stock market at the time.

00:24:29.930 --> 00:24:37.730
<v Ivan>You know, and so those things were things that the administration had to react

00:24:37.730 --> 00:24:40.670
<v Ivan>that were external factors, okay? Okay.

00:24:41.870 --> 00:24:49.990
<v Ivan>Everything that just happened this week, the tariffs are self-imposed.

00:24:50.690 --> 00:24:51.190
<v Sam>Okay? Yes.

00:24:51.290 --> 00:24:57.110
<v Ivan>They're the ones that started this wild ride with the global economy with the stupid tariffs, okay?

00:24:57.910 --> 00:25:03.990
<v Ivan>The job numbers are a result of the tariffs, okay?

00:25:05.510 --> 00:25:07.850
<v Ivan>And the dope bullshit.

00:25:07.850 --> 00:25:12.430
<v Sam>Before moving on from that, like explain a little bit more why jobs are.

00:25:12.450 --> 00:25:15.170
<v Ivan>Well, what I'm saying, well, what I'm saying is that when I'm reading,

00:25:15.310 --> 00:25:18.530
<v Ivan>I'm going first just through the headline of the things that happened.

00:25:18.670 --> 00:25:21.910
<v Ivan>We can get the details about that later. But we're talking about job numbers

00:25:21.910 --> 00:25:28.450
<v Ivan>and the firing is also a result of this administration,

00:25:28.450 --> 00:25:35.990
<v Ivan>the way it handles everything, where the only thing that matters is loyalty.

00:25:36.890 --> 00:25:42.090
<v Ivan>And so, and they don't want to hear bad news. So how do they deal with bad news?

00:25:45.350 --> 00:25:48.510
<v Sam>The, they fire the person coming up with the numbers.

00:25:48.810 --> 00:25:51.910
<v Ivan>Right? Or like, what happened to Tulsi?

00:25:52.110 --> 00:25:58.790
<v Ivan>What happened to Tulsi? She went and she said, Hey, Iran's not a threat. What happened then?

00:26:00.910 --> 00:26:05.390
<v Sam>They started distancing her and then she went and produced like a report on,

00:26:06.090 --> 00:26:08.890
<v Sam>Russia or something to like said what they.

00:26:08.890 --> 00:26:09.510
<v Ivan>Wanted to hear.

00:26:09.950 --> 00:26:12.350
<v Sam>Yes. So she learned her lesson.

00:26:12.570 --> 00:26:16.610
<v Ivan>Right. She was like, what am I talking about? Wait, I'm supposed to produce

00:26:16.610 --> 00:26:20.050
<v Ivan>actual information? No, I just got to say whatever the fuck they want to hear.

00:26:20.350 --> 00:26:25.190
<v Sam>And I presume, I mean, they've, you know, the replacement at,

00:26:25.310 --> 00:26:27.970
<v Sam>what's it called? The BLS, Bureau of Labor and Statistics.

00:26:28.290 --> 00:26:34.170
<v Sam>The replacement is, of course, going to be like, okay, we got the message. Only good numbers.

00:26:36.990 --> 00:26:41.330
<v Ivan>So, yeah, I mean, you know, and the whole thing that happened is that,

00:26:41.610 --> 00:26:47.050
<v Ivan>you know, the last few months that I've talked about job numbers coming out,

00:26:47.310 --> 00:26:58.350
<v Ivan>a couple of times we had had in advance ADP that does a report on private sector jobs.

00:26:58.770 --> 00:27:02.450
<v Sam>ADP is that payroll company that processes tons of paychecks.

00:27:02.450 --> 00:27:08.050
<v Ivan>Which is the largest processor of payroll in the United States. Okay.

00:27:08.270 --> 00:27:12.650
<v Ivan>I mean, they do payroll for so many companies.

00:27:12.870 --> 00:27:16.650
<v Ivan>As a matter of fact, I was just literally talking to a customer this week that

00:27:16.650 --> 00:27:19.850
<v Ivan>did a product that competed with ADP this week.

00:27:19.950 --> 00:27:24.490
<v Ivan>And basically, they told me that they were exiting the business.

00:27:24.910 --> 00:27:26.390
<v Sam>Because there's no point in competing.

00:27:26.770 --> 00:27:30.650
<v Ivan>Yes. And basically, you know, handing it over to ADP.

00:27:31.480 --> 00:27:34.400
<v Ivan>They made some agreement with them related to that.

00:27:34.560 --> 00:27:39.900
<v Ivan>So that's how big they are in this space. And the reality is that it's a space

00:27:39.900 --> 00:27:43.720
<v Ivan>that is consolidated and it's a space that margins are thin.

00:27:44.480 --> 00:27:50.320
<v Ivan>OK, it's payroll processing. You want to talk about the dullest fucking thing that there is.

00:27:50.440 --> 00:27:55.860
<v Ivan>This is basically just you get these files, you calculate the pay,

00:27:56.100 --> 00:28:01.140
<v Ivan>you take out the taxes, you you set you submit the fucking paychecks.

00:28:01.480 --> 00:28:04.000
<v Ivan>And then you people get W-2s, okay?

00:28:05.260 --> 00:28:14.480
<v Ivan>Basically all there is. And so they have, because they have so many customers, okay?

00:28:14.760 --> 00:28:20.640
<v Ivan>They have been doing, for the last few years, I wonder how long it's been. It's been a few years.

00:28:20.800 --> 00:28:28.180
<v Ivan>This private jobs report that kind of like, that comes out usually just before

00:28:28.180 --> 00:28:31.380
<v Ivan>the government labor report.

00:28:31.480 --> 00:28:41.260
<v Ivan>OK, and the last few months, the report from ADP was that this economy, the jobs market was bad.

00:28:41.760 --> 00:28:45.040
<v Ivan>OK, that's what they had been reporting the last couple of months.

00:28:45.120 --> 00:28:47.660
<v Ivan>Now, remember that the one thing is they only track private sector.

00:28:48.020 --> 00:28:52.480
<v Ivan>OK, but a couple of times the report had come out the last couple of months from the government.

00:28:52.920 --> 00:28:57.460
<v Ivan>The one thing that always stood out to me is like, huh, they're showing a lot

00:28:57.460 --> 00:29:01.180
<v Ivan>of public sector hiring in this report.

00:29:01.480 --> 00:29:06.840
<v Ivan>That masked the bad private sector jobs report okay.

00:29:06.840 --> 00:29:13.000
<v Sam>Well and wait a second let me just ask a question there a lot of public sector

00:29:13.000 --> 00:29:18.740
<v Sam>hiring isn't like trump like firing everybody at the well but you gotta remember listen.

00:29:18.740 --> 00:29:21.580
<v Ivan>But but part of it part of this was,

00:29:22.550 --> 00:29:27.310
<v Ivan>You got to remember that they do this. You remember, it's not just federal government.

00:29:27.790 --> 00:29:29.270
<v Sam>There's also state and local.

00:29:29.850 --> 00:29:33.890
<v Ivan>Right. So who knows, right? I mean, exactly where the data is coming from.

00:29:34.090 --> 00:29:38.010
<v Ivan>But one of the things about these reports is that first they do some statistical analysis.

00:29:38.250 --> 00:29:43.650
<v Ivan>They do some stuff. And then usually then later, these reports get corrected

00:29:43.650 --> 00:29:45.970
<v Ivan>when all the data actually comes in.

00:29:46.150 --> 00:29:52.470
<v Ivan>So you get a preliminary number. And then later, when all the information comes

00:29:52.470 --> 00:29:56.290
<v Ivan>in, they do a corrected number, okay?

00:29:56.590 --> 00:30:02.550
<v Ivan>So the last, this report, they issued corrections for the last couple of months.

00:30:02.810 --> 00:30:09.490
<v Ivan>And those corrections eliminated a lot of the supposed job gains the last couple of months.

00:30:09.490 --> 00:30:16.990
<v Ivan>Were really we just had with this report now the worst three-month stretch for

00:30:16.990 --> 00:30:20.450
<v Ivan>job creation since take a guess sam.

00:30:20.450 --> 00:30:24.190
<v Sam>Pandemic era trump's last administration who.

00:30:24.190 --> 00:30:25.430
<v Ivan>Was president then sam.

00:30:25.430 --> 00:30:32.470
<v Sam>Well apparently biden because every time you yeah every time you hear about

00:30:32.470 --> 00:30:40.090
<v Sam>that stuff it's always biden you know these days but or obama yeah like no it

00:30:40.090 --> 00:30:42.190
<v Sam>was uh it was donald trump but it was.

00:30:42.190 --> 00:30:44.910
<v Ivan>Donald trump so right now we just had.

00:30:44.910 --> 00:30:53.370
<v Sam>But wait no wait wait yvonne what i have i have heard that these numbers were

00:30:53.370 --> 00:30:59.990
<v Sam>made up by a democratic appointed yeah person who was out to make the trump

00:30:59.990 --> 00:31:02.790
<v Sam>administration look bad and so these are all bullshit.

00:31:03.680 --> 00:31:09.740
<v Ivan>Now yeah sure uh-huh right and so the one thing is yes that's exactly what they

00:31:09.740 --> 00:31:14.960
<v Ivan>said and they proceeded to fire this person who by the way that position actually

00:31:14.960 --> 00:31:18.360
<v Ivan>requires senate confirmation and.

00:31:18.360 --> 00:31:21.180
<v Sam>I believe i saw that this is

00:31:21.180 --> 00:31:24.980
<v Sam>one of the people who's converted but converted confirmed by

00:31:24.980 --> 00:31:27.840
<v Sam>like 80 something votes it was a it was

00:31:27.840 --> 00:31:31.160
<v Sam>a bipartisan everybody was like yeah they're good

00:31:31.160 --> 00:31:35.160
<v Sam>because this is one of those positions that is intended

00:31:35.160 --> 00:31:38.300
<v Sam>to be a technocrat intended to be

00:31:38.300 --> 00:31:41.980
<v Sam>somebody who's not political who you're

00:31:41.980 --> 00:31:44.640
<v Sam>hiring them because they're actually an expert in the

00:31:44.640 --> 00:31:49.600
<v Sam>field and they know what they're doing and blah blah blah and so anyway it was

00:31:49.600 --> 00:31:54.260
<v Sam>80 some votes which isn't like marco rubio's 97 or whatever the hell he got

00:31:54.260 --> 00:32:00.060
<v Sam>but you know it's still pretty good and uh i i've seen a bunch of comments from

00:32:00.060 --> 00:32:03.400
<v Sam>previous office holders of that job,

00:32:04.080 --> 00:32:08.740
<v Sam>from republican administrations including donald trump's first term talking

00:32:08.740 --> 00:32:13.640
<v Sam>about how bad this is and how this is the wrong thing to do and how this person

00:32:13.640 --> 00:32:17.780
<v Sam>is good and blah blah blah yeah so anyway now.

00:32:17.780 --> 00:32:23.600
<v Ivan>Now the the numbers with the corrections by the way the numbers what they did

00:32:23.600 --> 00:32:26.960
<v Ivan>to kind of match what ADP was publishing. Okay, by the way.

00:32:27.060 --> 00:32:30.300
<v Sam>Right. So what you had, let me make sure I got this right.

00:32:30.580 --> 00:32:37.120
<v Sam>What you had was the private company's numbers that they put out originally

00:32:37.120 --> 00:32:42.160
<v Sam>months ago were actually closer to right than the original government estimates.

00:32:42.360 --> 00:32:43.740
<v Ivan>Correct. Yes.

00:32:43.800 --> 00:32:51.040
<v Sam>So if anything, the government was erring in the direction that made it look better first.

00:32:51.480 --> 00:32:53.020
<v Sam>And then corrected it later.

00:32:53.200 --> 00:32:53.680
<v Ivan>Yes. Yes.

00:32:55.820 --> 00:33:00.160
<v Ivan>And one of the things that what I've observed happened with this and why this

00:33:00.160 --> 00:33:04.220
<v Ivan>happens frequently is because some of those statistical assumptions,

00:33:04.220 --> 00:33:10.560
<v Ivan>you know, are based on trends. And the trend had been good on jobs, right?

00:33:11.100 --> 00:33:16.280
<v Ivan>Well, because we had, you know, when Trump took over, you know,

00:33:16.380 --> 00:33:21.540
<v Ivan>we had had a good job trend, okay? There had been good job creation.

00:33:22.120 --> 00:33:28.220
<v Ivan>All of this shit started happening because, you know, we have a psychopath in the White House.

00:33:28.980 --> 00:33:35.320
<v Ivan>And so, you know, now all of a sudden, as all the data that they collect came

00:33:35.320 --> 00:33:42.040
<v Ivan>in and they made the adjustments, they realized, oh, shit, we're doing bad. Like, really bad.

00:33:43.060 --> 00:33:50.720
<v Sam>Yeah, okay. But at the same time, didn't we have good GDP numbers and stuff like that going on?

00:33:50.720 --> 00:33:59.440
<v Ivan>Okay, the GDP number, okay, was also inflated in large part due to the wild

00:33:59.440 --> 00:34:07.100
<v Ivan>swings we've had in trade because imports dropped a lot and imports,

00:34:07.300 --> 00:34:10.240
<v Ivan>you know, imports dropped by an inordinate amount.

00:34:11.540 --> 00:34:18.680
<v Ivan>And imports are a negative on trade.

00:34:18.680 --> 00:34:25.480
<v Ivan>But when all of a sudden you've had an artificially low import number,

00:34:25.920 --> 00:34:36.820
<v Ivan>basically it was a result of a whole bunch of companies going and front-loading inventory, okay,

00:34:37.440 --> 00:34:39.820
<v Ivan>in the earlier months.

00:34:39.820 --> 00:34:44.880
<v Ivan>They front-loaded inventory because of the worry about the tariffs,

00:34:45.040 --> 00:34:49.540
<v Ivan>and then when the tariffs were announced, then they stopped importing shit.

00:34:49.540 --> 00:34:55.420
<v Ivan>But this is just one of these statistical, you know,

00:34:56.480 --> 00:35:04.340
<v Ivan>one of these events that is causing the statistical numbers to show poor ported

00:35:04.340 --> 00:35:06.060
<v Ivan>strength when what it is,

00:35:06.200 --> 00:35:11.760
<v Ivan>it's just showing the wild swings being caused by this trade war.

00:35:11.760 --> 00:35:15.000
<v Sam>So, cause I'll tell you, this is, this is one of those things.

00:35:15.120 --> 00:35:20.320
<v Sam>And we've talked about this before in terms of like timelines and in terms of

00:35:20.320 --> 00:35:22.960
<v Sam>worst case scenario talk and stuff like that.

00:35:23.400 --> 00:35:31.140
<v Sam>But the, the impression for the person who's not into it on a day-to-day basis,

00:35:31.140 --> 00:35:34.000
<v Sam>I think is continuing to be.

00:35:35.080 --> 00:35:40.440
<v Sam>All of these people have been playing chicken little, saying the sky is falling

00:35:40.440 --> 00:35:47.500
<v Sam>since the day Donald Trump was sworn in, but we're not seeing the collapse yet.

00:35:48.280 --> 00:35:51.680
<v Sam>And so they're full of shit. We're seeing some good numbers here.

00:35:51.840 --> 00:35:55.640
<v Sam>We're seeing some good numbers there. Even where we see bad numbers, they're not that bad.

00:35:56.980 --> 00:35:57.940
<v Sam>And so.

00:35:58.220 --> 00:36:01.480
<v Ivan>I don't know what the hell they're. Listen, I don't know what the hell they're watching.

00:36:01.480 --> 00:36:09.480
<v Ivan>But this week, anybody, almost any company that deals with imports, hard products and shit,

00:36:10.400 --> 00:36:17.120
<v Ivan>starting announcing multi-billion dollar hits from tariffs in their bottom line.

00:36:17.420 --> 00:36:21.520
<v Ivan>The last one to announce, yes, it was Berkshire Hathaway, Ford,

00:36:22.120 --> 00:36:28.600
<v Ivan>GM, Stellantis, some company that imports a lot of stuff and sells it online.

00:36:28.600 --> 00:36:37.360
<v Ivan>You know, all of them all of a sudden said, we're getting hit one after the

00:36:37.360 --> 00:36:39.780
<v Ivan>other. OK, one after the other.

00:36:40.080 --> 00:36:45.380
<v Ivan>The companies that didn't get hit are cloud providers.

00:36:46.180 --> 00:36:52.320
<v Ivan>OK, people that sell software because they're not tariffed. It's not product.

00:36:52.720 --> 00:36:57.640
<v Ivan>It's not copper. There's no steel in it, whatever. So they're not getting hit by this shit.

00:36:57.640 --> 00:36:59.800
<v Sam>Basically, service companies are doing fine.

00:37:00.000 --> 00:37:05.140
<v Ivan>Correct. Service companies are doing fine. And Apple, in large part,

00:37:05.240 --> 00:37:11.900
<v Ivan>people believe, even though some are saying, eh, it's not really.

00:37:12.060 --> 00:37:15.520
<v Ivan>Some people are front-loading iPhone purchases.

00:37:16.840 --> 00:37:21.120
<v Ivan>Now, in Apple's case, they actually had good China numbers. There were a whole

00:37:21.120 --> 00:37:24.320
<v Ivan>bunch of other things in it. And some people are saying, well,

00:37:24.420 --> 00:37:28.040
<v Ivan>actually, the carriers were getting pretty aggressive with deals.

00:37:28.340 --> 00:37:38.860
<v Ivan>So there's more than that. But most every other company that has to import something,

00:37:39.260 --> 00:37:45.560
<v Ivan>starting announcing that we're getting substantial profit hits. Okay.

00:37:46.160 --> 00:37:48.720
<v Ivan>And Sam, let me tell you something.

00:37:49.340 --> 00:37:54.080
<v Ivan>I've been working in corporate America for 30 years. You know,

00:37:54.240 --> 00:37:56.580
<v Ivan>around there, almost. Getting closer.

00:37:57.760 --> 00:38:04.320
<v Ivan>I've never seen any company I've worked at where they get a $2,

00:38:04.320 --> 00:38:06.920
<v Ivan>$3 billion hit in the bottom line.

00:38:07.280 --> 00:38:12.220
<v Ivan>And they just say, we're good. We're not going to take any action.

00:38:12.720 --> 00:38:13.240
<v Sam>Right.

00:38:13.580 --> 00:38:20.760
<v Ivan>They're going to do something. Whether it's layoffs, whether it's price increases,

00:38:21.340 --> 00:38:24.960
<v Ivan>they're going to do something to offset losing billions.

00:38:25.260 --> 00:38:28.160
<v Ivan>They're not going to just sit on their fucking hands and do nothing.

00:38:29.600 --> 00:38:35.220
<v Ivan>And, you know, I don't understand who the hell thinks they're just going to sit.

00:38:35.380 --> 00:38:38.280
<v Ivan>You know, so, yeah, they're saying, well, I haven't seen the implosion.

00:38:38.480 --> 00:38:41.120
<v Ivan>Well, you know, this happens in stages.

00:38:41.360 --> 00:38:47.260
<v Ivan>OK, this isn't just, you know, you know, people have like I've said this before.

00:38:48.140 --> 00:38:55.160
<v Ivan>Delayed effects. OK, on things people just cannot understand.

00:38:55.880 --> 00:38:56.720
<v Ivan>They cannot.

00:38:57.560 --> 00:39:04.860
<v Ivan>You know, it's just, it's 90 plus percent of the people are incapable of grasping

00:39:04.860 --> 00:39:10.200
<v Ivan>that when you do something in April, they think, oh, nothing blew up.

00:39:10.280 --> 00:39:12.680
<v Ivan>And then six months later, kaboom.

00:39:13.200 --> 00:39:16.200
<v Ivan>Oh, well, that couldn't have been what happened in April.

00:39:16.340 --> 00:39:21.980
<v Ivan>And I'm like, fuck, Jesus Christ, idiot, fucking moron.

00:39:21.980 --> 00:39:27.020
<v Sam>You know, it's amazing our species ever figured out, like, how pregnancy works.

00:39:28.620 --> 00:39:32.400
<v Ivan>Yes! You're like, how the fuck did this happen? Wait a minute.

00:39:33.520 --> 00:39:36.240
<v Ivan>How come you're having a baby? What the fuck? Whoa!

00:39:37.500 --> 00:39:42.080
<v Ivan>Nah, it couldn't have been that. Come on. No. What? Wait, what? No.

00:39:42.760 --> 00:39:46.580
<v Ivan>No, no, no. That's impossible. Look at that, of course, the baby.

00:39:46.640 --> 00:39:47.580
<v Ivan>What are you talking about?

00:39:48.360 --> 00:39:49.520
<v Sam>Yeah, exactly.

00:39:51.640 --> 00:39:57.060
<v Ivan>So, another thing that came out, two things, wait, wait. Powell also announced

00:39:57.060 --> 00:39:59.260
<v Ivan>that they're not cutting rates.

00:39:59.720 --> 00:40:00.980
<v Sam>Mm-hmm. Yeah.

00:40:01.480 --> 00:40:04.160
<v Ivan>You know, yet. But here's the problem, Sam.

00:40:06.220 --> 00:40:10.000
<v Ivan>PCE, which is the, oh, God, it's a whole set.

00:40:10.220 --> 00:40:18.500
<v Ivan>PCE is, uh, the PCE is the Personal Consumption Expenditure.

00:40:18.500 --> 00:40:20.820
<v Ivan>Let's see. Hold on. Wait, wait, wait. Let's see.

00:40:21.700 --> 00:40:24.640
<v Ivan>In inflation. Hold on. Let me get...

00:40:25.740 --> 00:40:31.300
<v Ivan>Okay. Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index. Okay. All right.

00:40:31.640 --> 00:40:32.160
<v Sam>Okay.

00:40:32.460 --> 00:40:36.300
<v Ivan>So the PCE is known for capturing inflation or deflation,

00:40:37.770 --> 00:40:45.350
<v Ivan>across a range of products that people buy. Okay? That is rising.

00:40:45.770 --> 00:40:46.270
<v Sam>Okay.

00:40:46.410 --> 00:40:52.210
<v Ivan>It hit like 2.7. Okay? It's going in the wrong direction.

00:40:52.630 --> 00:40:58.930
<v Ivan>And so you've got declining jobs and you've got prices going up.

00:40:59.250 --> 00:41:07.950
<v Ivan>So the Fed is caught in a pickle because if you loosen rates,

00:41:08.510 --> 00:41:10.450
<v Ivan>it's going to spur inflation.

00:41:10.710 --> 00:41:16.970
<v Ivan>The problem right now, specifically in the one market that could be heavily

00:41:16.970 --> 00:41:21.230
<v Ivan>influenced by lower rates is housing. Okay?

00:41:21.850 --> 00:41:26.550
<v Ivan>Housing demand has been constrained because of high rates.

00:41:27.770 --> 00:41:31.610
<v Ivan>Housing demand has also suffered from low inventory.

00:41:32.310 --> 00:41:38.750
<v Ivan>And so, if you go with a Greenspanian lowering of rates, okay,

00:41:39.010 --> 00:41:46.610
<v Ivan>that fucker would ignite inflation in a way that we haven't seen since the 1970s.

00:41:47.590 --> 00:41:48.910
<v Sam>Oh, that sounds fun.

00:41:49.810 --> 00:41:53.370
<v Ivan>That's the problem. And that's the pickle that you're caught in between.

00:41:54.310 --> 00:41:59.530
<v Ivan>So this is why Jay Powell is sitting there with his moron in the White House

00:41:59.530 --> 00:42:04.110
<v Ivan>and his idiotic advisors yelling at him to cut rates.

00:42:04.250 --> 00:42:08.230
<v Ivan>And I'm like, ah, so what the fuck are my choices?

00:42:08.650 --> 00:42:13.890
<v Ivan>Hey, I unleash inflation like we haven't seen in decades.

00:42:15.470 --> 00:42:20.050
<v Ivan>Or, you know, if I don't do that because he's not cutting tariffs,

00:42:20.270 --> 00:42:27.490
<v Ivan>which, by the way, the tariffs are what's causing the employment problems.

00:42:28.750 --> 00:42:32.010
<v Ivan>Nothing else. There's nothing else.

00:42:32.310 --> 00:42:36.150
<v Sam>Okay, connect the dots right there. Is it because the higher prices cost less

00:42:36.150 --> 00:42:38.890
<v Sam>sales, cause less revenue, cause sales?

00:42:38.890 --> 00:42:50.190
<v Ivan>How can you, as a company, decide to invest right now in a project given the

00:42:50.190 --> 00:42:52.450
<v Ivan>uncertainty created by this?

00:42:52.930 --> 00:42:59.730
<v Ivan>You are going to hold off on any investment decisions that would be affected

00:42:59.730 --> 00:43:02.270
<v Ivan>by these tariffs right now.

00:43:02.270 --> 00:43:11.330
<v Ivan>Yeah, you know, nobody is going to rush to go and reshore manufacturing because

00:43:11.330 --> 00:43:12.990
<v Ivan>of the policy uncertainty.

00:43:13.630 --> 00:43:18.250
<v Ivan>Because what happens if in six months he changes the tariff again?

00:43:19.030 --> 00:43:24.170
<v Ivan>And then you spent you're in the middle of spending billions to build this manufacturing

00:43:24.170 --> 00:43:27.590
<v Ivan>plant that all of a sudden you're going to have to shove up your ass.

00:43:28.510 --> 00:43:28.750
<v Sam>Yeah.

00:43:29.810 --> 00:43:37.010
<v Ivan>Nobody with this much uncertainty is willing to invest and spend.

00:43:37.590 --> 00:43:44.730
<v Ivan>If you've got your copper with a 50% tariff, if you've got tariffs on steel,

00:43:45.050 --> 00:43:52.030
<v Ivan>if you got tariffs on your products, the first thing you're going to do as it

00:43:52.030 --> 00:43:55.010
<v Ivan>hits your bottom line is hold back hiring.

00:43:55.230 --> 00:43:57.410
<v Ivan>Because that's the one thing you can control the fastest.

00:43:58.270 --> 00:43:58.630
<v Sam>Right.

00:43:59.730 --> 00:44:01.290
<v Ivan>You're going to say, uh-uh-uh.

00:44:02.930 --> 00:44:07.470
<v Ivan>We don't know what the fuck is going on. All non-essential hiring. You freeze.

00:44:07.890 --> 00:44:13.350
<v Ivan>You delay. You do whatever. That's the first fucking thing you're going to do.

00:44:13.950 --> 00:44:18.410
<v Ivan>And until there is, and right now, the tariffs at where they are,

00:44:18.710 --> 00:44:28.190
<v Ivan>this week, based on this Friday, are only one-third less than the Liberation Day tariff number.

00:44:28.190 --> 00:44:32.830
<v Ivan>So it's still a ridiculously high tariff level.

00:44:33.230 --> 00:44:40.990
<v Sam>Well, and just on how this is being spun again, like, there's a lot, I mean,

00:44:42.050 --> 00:44:47.010
<v Sam>look, people are talking about how much better it is than those Liberation Day

00:44:47.010 --> 00:44:51.290
<v Sam>numbers, as opposed to how much worse it was than where we started.

00:44:51.570 --> 00:44:51.910
<v Ivan>Right.

00:44:51.910 --> 00:44:54.710
<v Sam>And it's like, wait a second here.

00:44:55.350 --> 00:44:59.470
<v Sam>This is sort of your classic bait and switch. Like, you know,

00:44:59.810 --> 00:45:05.930
<v Sam>we're going to charge you like $100 for this thing that's normally worth $5.

00:45:06.270 --> 00:45:09.770
<v Ivan>So I switched you from a catastrophe to a disaster.

00:45:10.050 --> 00:45:12.530
<v Sam>We're going to cut it to $80. Now you're happy, right?

00:45:13.150 --> 00:45:18.190
<v Ivan>Exactly. I mean, that's pretty much it.

00:45:18.830 --> 00:45:24.950
<v Sam>Well, and look, a lot of these countries are sort of, it does seem like there's

00:45:24.950 --> 00:45:30.290
<v Sam>a rush of these people to at least give verbal agreement to these sort of letters

00:45:30.290 --> 00:45:33.570
<v Sam>of like, okay, you're at 15 or whatever.

00:45:34.030 --> 00:45:34.350
<v Ivan>Yeah.

00:45:34.550 --> 00:45:38.110
<v Sam>You know, just to like get Trump off their backs and make it not 25.

00:45:38.650 --> 00:45:41.670
<v Ivan>Right. And none of these are any actual trade deals.

00:45:42.130 --> 00:45:46.750
<v Ivan>Nothing that's been agreed to has been a trade deal. A trade deal is usually

00:45:46.750 --> 00:45:49.390
<v Ivan>a 2,000-page document, okay?

00:45:50.110 --> 00:45:55.930
<v Ivan>The UK framework that they agreed to recently and framework with Japan,

00:45:56.150 --> 00:45:57.490
<v Ivan>Korea is less than 20 pages.

00:45:58.980 --> 00:46:04.900
<v Ivan>It's just a framework. It's just, it's just a, I said, it's basically a letter of intent.

00:46:05.520 --> 00:46:05.920
<v Sam>Right.

00:46:07.040 --> 00:46:09.140
<v Ivan>And as I explained to people, like.

00:46:09.520 --> 00:46:13.620
<v Sam>With some things in, by the way, like the EU one has, they've already admitted

00:46:13.620 --> 00:46:16.460
<v Sam>some of the things that the EU promised to do isn't like actually.

00:46:16.680 --> 00:46:19.760
<v Ivan>That's never going to happen. It's not just the EU. All of them, yes.

00:46:19.780 --> 00:46:24.140
<v Ivan>All of them. Look, going back, going back to the trade deals that he made back

00:46:24.140 --> 00:46:29.440
<v Ivan>in his first term, all of these were, you know, Trump said, well,

00:46:29.600 --> 00:46:33.100
<v Ivan>the deal with Japan includes a 500 billion dollar down payment.

00:46:33.320 --> 00:46:35.680
<v Ivan>And everybody was like, down payment.

00:46:35.960 --> 00:46:40.580
<v Ivan>The fuck is he talking about this so-called agreement?

00:46:40.580 --> 00:46:45.640
<v Ivan>OK, letter that makes this commitment has nothing,

00:46:46.060 --> 00:46:53.920
<v Ivan>nothing, nothing to make sure that that that that that headline number that

00:46:53.920 --> 00:46:59.620
<v Ivan>they committed to investing happens or doesn't include shit that they were already

00:46:59.620 --> 00:47:02.840
<v Ivan>going to do or whatever. It's just bullshit.

00:47:03.840 --> 00:47:12.620
<v Sam>Mm-hmm. I mean, and this goes to, look, this is Trump's regular MO on all kinds of things.

00:47:13.060 --> 00:47:19.980
<v Sam>First of all, he cares about the optics, not the substance, number one.

00:47:19.980 --> 00:47:23.620
<v Sam>So he wants to be able to wave the piece of paper around and say,

00:47:23.700 --> 00:47:26.600
<v Sam>look, we have a deal. It doesn't actually matter what the deal is.

00:47:27.380 --> 00:47:35.180
<v Sam>And and then second you know on tariffs specifically donald trump just wants

00:47:35.180 --> 00:47:39.260
<v Sam>tariffs like he doesn't care if the end result is just every place in the world

00:47:39.260 --> 00:47:43.600
<v Sam>has 15 he just wants the tariffs you know and then average.

00:47:43.600 --> 00:47:47.780
<v Ivan>Effective tariff that we had went from somewhere between zero and two percent

00:47:47.780 --> 00:47:51.800
<v Ivan>to 18 it's basically like they just added an 18 sales tax.

00:47:51.800 --> 00:48:02.540
<v Sam>Right i mean the But other people pointed out, like, most coverage still does

00:48:02.540 --> 00:48:05.040
<v Sam>not cover it that way. You hear it occasionally.

00:48:05.320 --> 00:48:10.680
<v Sam>But, like, this is the biggest tax increase ever that I remember.

00:48:11.240 --> 00:48:12.040
<v Ivan>Ever.

00:48:12.360 --> 00:48:19.000
<v Sam>You know, like, the world where Republicans were anti-tax, I mean.

00:48:19.780 --> 00:48:24.040
<v Ivan>Listen, Republicans right now stand for nothing.

00:48:25.560 --> 00:48:29.340
<v Ivan>Nothing, nothing, Sam, nothing.

00:48:29.780 --> 00:48:33.620
<v Ivan>They don't even stand against pedophilia. Nothing.

00:48:36.320 --> 00:48:37.680
<v Ivan>They don't even stand.

00:48:37.960 --> 00:48:45.540
<v Sam>Yeah. I mean, and, and look in this particular case, again, Trump somehow manages

00:48:45.540 --> 00:48:47.160
<v Sam>to finagle this messaging.

00:48:47.880 --> 00:48:56.300
<v Sam>I mean, I'm sure the vast majority of people in this country still think like China pays the tariffs.

00:48:56.580 --> 00:49:01.520
<v Ivan>Oh my God. You know, always the dumbest fucking line ever.

00:49:02.420 --> 00:49:09.980
<v Sam>You know, the fact that this is fundamentally a tax that Americans pay on goods they purchase,

00:49:11.100 --> 00:49:17.460
<v Sam>yes, if you are paying attention and watching the right channels and reading

00:49:17.460 --> 00:49:20.280
<v Sam>the right sources, you will hear people say that.

00:49:20.280 --> 00:49:22.940
<v Sam>But I don't think it's penetrated to the general public.

00:49:23.200 --> 00:49:25.820
<v Ivan>It's not going to enter their pocketbook.

00:49:25.960 --> 00:49:29.820
<v Sam>Yes. Which, as you said, this is one of those delay factor things.

00:49:29.820 --> 00:49:35.020
<v Ivan>Building and building and building. And companies have delayed it,

00:49:35.100 --> 00:49:36.560
<v Ivan>Sam, but part of it has been.

00:49:36.640 --> 00:49:39.720
<v Sam>Delayed it and phased it. And phased it. Because this is important,

00:49:39.740 --> 00:49:43.800
<v Sam>too, because there is, if you,

00:49:44.140 --> 00:49:49.140
<v Sam>like, let's say you're jumping the price of something from $10 to $20.

00:49:49.680 --> 00:49:51.440
<v Sam>You're doubling the price.

00:49:51.620 --> 00:49:52.100
<v Ivan>Right.

00:49:52.200 --> 00:49:55.460
<v Sam>But if every couple months you increase it by $1.

00:49:56.220 --> 00:50:01.600
<v Sam>So it takes you 10 months or a year to do that doubling and,

00:50:02.570 --> 00:50:06.950
<v Sam>people sort of acclimatize to it. Now, that's still a pretty fast increase.

00:50:07.070 --> 00:50:08.130
<v Sam>They'll probably notice that.

00:50:08.890 --> 00:50:12.810
<v Ivan>Listen, they'll start noticing it. Because that was kind of like the price increases

00:50:12.810 --> 00:50:15.790
<v Ivan>that we had a couple of years ago.

00:50:16.230 --> 00:50:23.530
<v Sam>You can, if you spread it out long enough, people notice less.

00:50:24.130 --> 00:50:30.250
<v Sam>Now, they still will eventually notice, but it's different than you double it in one day.

00:50:30.250 --> 00:50:33.450
<v Ivan>Let me tell you something. For the vast majority of MAGA folks,

00:50:33.670 --> 00:50:38.330
<v Ivan>which really are in the lower side of the income spectrum,

00:50:38.690 --> 00:50:46.310
<v Ivan>this is a much bigger hit to their income than it is for folks like ourselves.

00:50:46.910 --> 00:50:51.970
<v Ivan>They have already started noticing it big time, okay?

00:50:52.090 --> 00:50:58.690
<v Ivan>And they will notice it even worse, okay, as this starts going through.

00:50:58.690 --> 00:51:04.550
<v Ivan>There is no way that they're not going to notice the kind of pain that's coming.

00:51:04.930 --> 00:51:06.490
<v Ivan>Okay. Because it's coming.

00:51:06.750 --> 00:51:10.750
<v Sam>It's coming. The one I've started to hear about in the last couple of weeks,

00:51:10.930 --> 00:51:13.670
<v Sam>echoing the eggs thing from before, is beef.

00:51:14.270 --> 00:51:14.790
<v Ivan>Beef.

00:51:14.890 --> 00:51:15.110
<v Sam>You know.

00:51:15.550 --> 00:51:16.770
<v Ivan>Beef is soared.

00:51:17.110 --> 00:51:22.170
<v Sam>Beef is soared. And Donald Trump, just one of the ones he announced was even

00:51:22.170 --> 00:51:24.150
<v Sam>higher tariffs on Brazil.

00:51:24.150 --> 00:51:28.750
<v Ivan>Which is one of the biggest beef exporters to present to the United States.

00:51:28.970 --> 00:51:32.190
<v Sam>Right. And so, yeah, beef prices are going up.

00:51:32.850 --> 00:51:33.030
<v Ivan>Yeah.

00:51:33.670 --> 00:51:38.390
<v Sam>And, and, and, you know, these are, these are these red meat Americans who like

00:51:38.390 --> 00:51:44.350
<v Sam>beef is like, you know, somehow more macho than like eating chicken or pork or something.

00:51:44.350 --> 00:51:49.490
<v Sam>So like, you know, beef will hit home, I guess. I don't know, but.

00:51:50.580 --> 00:51:56.360
<v Ivan>But yeah, it's a cascade of things like right now between Powell,

00:51:56.820 --> 00:52:01.320
<v Ivan>the whole interest rate mess, between inflation, between the tariffs,

00:52:01.580 --> 00:52:07.140
<v Ivan>between the bad job numbers, and hey, did we forget about Epstein?

00:52:08.140 --> 00:52:12.760
<v Sam>Well, yeah, maybe in the next segment. We're doing econ right now.

00:52:13.400 --> 00:52:17.100
<v Ivan>You know, but by the way, let's be clear about this.

00:52:17.100 --> 00:52:25.060
<v Ivan>Trump right now is trying to flood this, you know, everything with all of this

00:52:25.060 --> 00:52:29.780
<v Ivan>shit in large part to distract.

00:52:29.780 --> 00:52:31.780
<v Sam>Try to move the story along.

00:52:32.140 --> 00:52:36.420
<v Ivan>Yes. He's trying to move the story from the whole Epstein thing.

00:52:36.720 --> 00:52:42.840
<v Ivan>He is determined to try to move the story and which is why this week was wild.

00:52:43.440 --> 00:52:45.440
<v Ivan>And we've got a ballroom, Sam.

00:52:46.200 --> 00:52:51.580
<v Sam>Okay. If we're moving on from econ to everything else, why don't we go ahead and take a break?

00:52:52.320 --> 00:52:56.000
<v Sam>And then when we come back, we'll just do everything else.

00:52:56.340 --> 00:52:59.160
<v Ivan>But, you know, before I would like to just summarize.

00:52:59.740 --> 00:53:02.500
<v Sam>Yeah. Okay. Summarize. Summarize the wild week.

00:53:03.080 --> 00:53:07.900
<v Ivan>I'll summarize the wild week in how I felt about this.

00:53:07.900 --> 00:53:17.880
<v Ivan>And I'm just like, we are being run by the biggest fucking bunch of morons ever

00:53:17.880 --> 00:53:21.880
<v Ivan>put in charge of anything ever.

00:53:23.000 --> 00:53:26.240
<v Ivan>Like somebody yesterday on Bloomberg came on.

00:53:26.440 --> 00:53:30.100
<v Ivan>They asked him, well, Peter Navarro said, well, let me be clear.

00:53:30.100 --> 00:53:34.260
<v Ivan>I've never thought that anything coming out of Peter Navarro's mouth is worth

00:53:34.260 --> 00:53:38.000
<v Ivan>anything because he's just wrong on everything.

00:53:38.900 --> 00:53:39.540
<v Sam>Okay.

00:53:41.430 --> 00:53:41.930
<v Ivan>That's it.

00:53:42.230 --> 00:53:42.770
<v Sam>That's it.

00:53:43.270 --> 00:53:47.230
<v Ivan>Fuck Trump. Fuck his people. Fuck them all. I hate them.

00:53:48.050 --> 00:53:50.350
<v Sam>This has been a theme now for like a decade.

00:53:52.810 --> 00:53:57.330
<v Ivan>I didn't realize Hunter Biden felt exactly like I did. Holy shit. Jesus Christ.

00:53:57.990 --> 00:54:00.650
<v Sam>Yeah, yeah. Okay. We talked about him last week. I know, I know.

00:54:00.710 --> 00:54:03.850
<v Ivan>But I'm still like always like just surprised, you know, just like until I heard

00:54:03.850 --> 00:54:06.170
<v Ivan>him. I'm like, shit. I mean, Jesus Christ. I mean, might as well just.

00:54:06.790 --> 00:54:11.730
<v Ivan>You could have AI put my face on him and said, oh. Look at that.

00:54:12.210 --> 00:54:14.650
<v Sam>You should just swap you out. See if Biden will adopt you.

00:54:15.570 --> 00:54:22.130
<v Ivan>I mean, I'd like to hang out with Joe. He's a nice guy. Probably tell somebody, you know what?

00:54:22.170 --> 00:54:23.310
<v Sam>And your family can have hundreds.

00:54:23.450 --> 00:54:26.230
<v Ivan>Let me tell you something. Can you have a hanging out one day with Joe over

00:54:26.230 --> 00:54:30.390
<v Ivan>at the house when he's got the grandkids and whatever and everybody over there

00:54:30.390 --> 00:54:33.290
<v Ivan>cooking or whatever, hanging out with that? Probably a good time.

00:54:33.550 --> 00:54:35.990
<v Ivan>No. I would say it would be a lovely time.

00:54:36.250 --> 00:54:39.530
<v Sam>There was a video clip this week that was going around of him like just dropping

00:54:39.530 --> 00:54:44.070
<v Sam>into some random ice cream shop to get some ice cream. Yeah. So.

00:54:44.350 --> 00:54:46.410
<v Ivan>I mean, that would be a lovely time.

00:54:46.650 --> 00:54:54.950
<v Sam>I would, you know, we could do a reality show with you in Biden's family and Hunter in your family.

00:54:55.310 --> 00:54:58.350
<v Sam>See how the swap worked out.

00:54:58.770 --> 00:55:06.710
<v Ivan>Well, that would be interesting. With my family, I think Hunter might be in for a rude awakening.

00:55:08.810 --> 00:55:12.090
<v Sam>Okay, here comes a break. It's another Apple Dream. Oh!

00:55:12.690 --> 00:55:17.610
<v Sam>Randomly chosen from the 72 currently available Apple Dreams. This is Apple Dream 2.

00:55:18.210 --> 00:55:21.550
<v Sam>Very, very old Apple Dream. Here we go.

00:55:22.670 --> 00:55:26.450
<v Break>Here is a dream for Alex. I've already forgotten most of it.

00:55:27.110 --> 00:55:35.170
<v Break>Mom and I and you were in Mozambique, where Grandma Ruth lived for a number of years.

00:55:35.350 --> 00:55:38.450
<v Break>And I think we were just visiting, but maybe we were living there.

00:55:38.930 --> 00:55:43.350
<v Break>But we needed to go home. Grandma Ruth was there, too.

00:55:44.090 --> 00:55:48.270
<v Break>And we needed to catch the airplane back.

00:55:49.110 --> 00:55:53.030
<v Break>And then we realized we had two different

00:55:53.030 --> 00:55:55.730
<v Break>flights and we were worried about how

00:55:55.730 --> 00:55:58.910
<v Break>to get mom to her flight and then we realized my

00:55:58.910 --> 00:56:05.670
<v Break>flight was only a couple hours after her flight and so we thought that maybe

00:56:05.670 --> 00:56:11.550
<v Break>we should just go to the airport together but then we realized we'd have to

00:56:11.550 --> 00:56:15.570
<v Break>have someone to take care of you because we couldn't just leave you at the airport

00:56:15.570 --> 00:56:18.250
<v Break>while we both left and went back to the United States.

00:56:19.090 --> 00:56:26.490
<v Break>And then I woke up. I think there was more to it than that. But I don't really remember anymore. Bye.

00:56:27.190 --> 00:56:33.630
<v Ivan>So it's not convenient just to leave a child at the airport. It doesn't really work.

00:56:34.130 --> 00:56:36.810
<v Sam>I don't see why not. I mean, you know.

00:56:36.810 --> 00:56:41.970
<v Ivan>We just say, hey, just stay here. And, you know, like ticketing,

00:56:41.970 --> 00:56:47.010
<v Ivan>you know, before security in that area. and says, you know, just wait here and we'll be back.

00:56:47.290 --> 00:56:49.290
<v Sam>We'll be back in a week. Have fun.

00:56:49.850 --> 00:56:50.010
<v Ivan>Yeah.

00:56:50.430 --> 00:56:54.230
<v Sam>You know? Yeah, just usually like a food court or something.

00:56:54.670 --> 00:56:55.770
<v Ivan>Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.

00:56:55.790 --> 00:56:57.450
<v Sam>They can eat, their bathroom.

00:56:57.650 --> 00:57:00.690
<v Ivan>In some airports, they're even open 24 hours. I will tell you this.

00:57:00.790 --> 00:57:05.430
<v Ivan>My wife went through Seattle Airport a couple of weeks ago because she went

00:57:05.430 --> 00:57:08.870
<v Ivan>to this thing that she was going to like.

00:57:08.870 --> 00:57:09.990
<v Sam>In Vancouver or wherever.

00:57:10.190 --> 00:57:15.730
<v Ivan>No, no, no. She went back. she met with some people they were going on this

00:57:15.730 --> 00:57:19.530
<v Ivan>thing to the Washington she hates Seattle airport,

00:57:20.670 --> 00:57:24.970
<v Ivan>all the lounges were full all the restaurants were full everything was full

00:57:24.970 --> 00:57:28.090
<v Ivan>everything's under construction she came back she was in a really pissy mood

00:57:28.090 --> 00:57:29.890
<v Ivan>she said I hate this fucking airport.

00:57:31.390 --> 00:57:33.790
<v Sam>I apologize for the people of Seattle.

00:57:35.250 --> 00:57:40.310
<v Ivan>I'll let her know that you're transmitting your apologies. Okay, so very good.

00:57:41.050 --> 00:57:44.630
<v Sam>Okay, so shall we just essentially do a lightning round of all the other crap

00:57:44.630 --> 00:57:46.210
<v Sam>on our list from this week?

00:57:46.490 --> 00:57:46.970
<v Ivan>Sure.

00:57:47.450 --> 00:57:52.850
<v Sam>Okay, one thing I will start with that just, we haven't talked about on the

00:57:52.850 --> 00:57:58.290
<v Sam>show in a long, long time, but just to put it out there, it is still horrible in Gaza.

00:57:58.710 --> 00:57:59.490
<v Ivan>Oh, God.

00:57:59.950 --> 00:58:00.630
<v Sam>You know.

00:58:00.810 --> 00:58:01.170
<v Ivan>It's worse!

00:58:02.290 --> 00:58:03.150
<v Sam>This week.

00:58:03.250 --> 00:58:03.910
<v Ivan>It's worse!

00:58:03.910 --> 00:58:08.990
<v Sam>This week, we're talking a lot about starvation and the fact that Israel hasn't

00:58:08.990 --> 00:58:11.590
<v Sam>let very much food in for a couple months. And so now.

00:58:11.910 --> 00:58:16.170
<v Ivan>Hey, but you know what? I'm sure that Harris would have done much worse.

00:58:16.930 --> 00:58:17.370
<v Sam>Yes.

00:58:17.470 --> 00:58:23.850
<v Ivan>Look, I am sure that she would have made sure that they got nuked by now. Yeah.

00:58:23.950 --> 00:58:24.850
<v Sam>Yes. Yeah.

00:58:25.070 --> 00:58:28.090
<v Ivan>Yeah, yeah, yeah. Actually, Harris probably would have gone out there with a

00:58:28.090 --> 00:58:29.650
<v Ivan>gun herself and started killing babies.

00:58:30.650 --> 00:58:41.190
<v Sam>Probably. Okay. Yeah. So, look, what has seemingly changed this week is a dam

00:58:41.190 --> 00:58:47.370
<v Sam>seems to be breaking in terms of both international and U.S.

00:58:47.530 --> 00:58:51.170
<v Sam>Public opinions on this thing. And I shouldn't say a dam breaking.

00:58:51.390 --> 00:58:55.290
<v Sam>I mean, it's been moving in this direction for a while. It just seems to be accelerating.

00:58:55.290 --> 00:58:58.050
<v Sam>Accelerating we've got a few

00:58:58.050 --> 00:59:01.390
<v Sam>countries now saying they're gonna recognize the

00:59:01.390 --> 00:59:07.190
<v Sam>palestinian authority as a state uh it either right away or in a few months

00:59:07.190 --> 00:59:13.870
<v Sam>depending on what israel does things like that like i you know canada the uk

00:59:13.870 --> 00:59:19.650
<v Sam>i think a couple others and look this is basically a symbolic thing.

00:59:19.850 --> 00:59:22.490
<v Sam>It's not going to make too much of an on the ground difference.

00:59:22.750 --> 00:59:32.930
<v Sam>But it's, it's a step that most of sort of the industrialized Western countries have not done.

00:59:33.090 --> 00:59:40.230
<v Sam>Like a lot of other countries have like, you know, most of sort of the non-aligned third world,

00:59:40.450 --> 00:59:43.150
<v Sam>third world is an outdated concept at this

00:59:43.150 --> 00:59:48.390
<v Sam>point but like most of those non-eu

00:59:48.390 --> 00:59:51.190
<v Sam>not non-us most of those countries have already

00:59:51.190 --> 00:59:54.270
<v Sam>taken this step years ago you know to recognize the

00:59:54.270 --> 00:59:57.170
<v Sam>palestinian state but sort of

00:59:57.170 --> 01:00:02.690
<v Sam>the core western group of countries has not and part of the reason is that they

01:00:02.690 --> 01:00:08.770
<v Sam>have always stated that should be part of a negotiated peace settlement that

01:00:08.770 --> 01:00:13.590
<v Sam>israel takes part in and basically these countries are saying it's absolutely

01:00:13.590 --> 01:00:17.090
<v Sam>clear at this point that Israel has no intention of ever going there,

01:00:17.860 --> 01:00:22.420
<v Sam>And so we're going to go ahead and take this step to try to give a little bit

01:00:22.420 --> 01:00:30.540
<v Sam>more weight to the Palestinian side and also to, you know, basically register our disapproval.

01:00:31.640 --> 01:00:37.860
<v Sam>And we also see like polls of Americans in terms of who do you sympathize more

01:00:37.860 --> 01:00:39.740
<v Sam>with, the Americans or the Israelis,

01:00:40.100 --> 01:00:47.440
<v Sam>are now heavily on the Palestinians or the Israelis, are now very...

01:00:47.860 --> 01:00:52.600
<v Sam>Much tilted towards the Palestinian side being the side that's being sympathized with.

01:00:53.500 --> 01:00:58.760
<v Sam>And look, I think this is, I mean, honestly, I've been there for a long time,

01:00:59.100 --> 01:01:00.780
<v Sam>even before October 7th.

01:01:01.200 --> 01:01:04.780
<v Sam>But when you have something like October 7th specifically, it's like clearly,

01:01:05.440 --> 01:01:08.700
<v Sam>Hamas was in the wrong on what happened in October 7th.

01:01:08.900 --> 01:01:15.660
<v Sam>They made an unprovoked attack on civilians that wasn't even going to really

01:01:15.660 --> 01:01:21.060
<v Sam>make any progress towards their theoretical political goals,

01:01:21.100 --> 01:01:24.800
<v Sam>at least it seems this way. It seems like it's played out this way.

01:01:25.520 --> 01:01:35.720
<v Sam>But then, Israel's response has been so far disproportionate to what happened.

01:01:36.660 --> 01:01:46.680
<v Sam>I mean, I forget the latest totals, but the number of people killed is obscenely high. Yep.

01:01:47.040 --> 01:01:54.500
<v Sam>And like, so like orders of magnitude higher than what Hamas killed on October 7th.

01:01:54.680 --> 01:01:58.380
<v Sam>And a significant portion of those killed have been children.

01:01:58.900 --> 01:02:05.140
<v Sam>It's like, and, and you are, you see these pictures of them basically leveling

01:02:05.140 --> 01:02:09.840
<v Sam>huge parts of the Gaza Strip completely, like no buildings left standing.

01:02:10.660 --> 01:02:14.640
<v Sam>And you know so yeah the sympathy has has

01:02:14.640 --> 01:02:18.500
<v Sam>shifted now has that translated into

01:02:18.500 --> 01:02:21.700
<v Sam>changes of what's happening on the ground no it has

01:02:21.700 --> 01:02:28.340
<v Sam>not yet even in terms of like the u.s congress somebody pointed out that while

01:02:28.340 --> 01:02:33.600
<v Sam>while the like for instance let's talk about democrats for the moment because

01:02:33.600 --> 01:02:37.780
<v Sam>republicans are a whole different story but on the democratic side it's now

01:02:37.780 --> 01:02:39.720
<v Sam>like if you survey Democrats.

01:02:40.780 --> 01:02:46.240
<v Sam>It's like 70% or something are like Israel's gone too far we have to be taking

01:02:46.240 --> 01:02:50.560
<v Sam>harsh actions against Israel to rein them in we should be doing sanctions,

01:02:50.660 --> 01:02:54.080
<v Sam>we shouldn't be selling weapons to them anymore, blah blah blah blah blah blah blah,

01:02:55.290 --> 01:03:01.970
<v Sam>In terms of Democratic people in Congress, it's like only 20% or something have that view.

01:03:02.270 --> 01:03:08.950
<v Sam>And so we still have, you know, we don't have, you know, majorities even within

01:03:08.950 --> 01:03:12.010
<v Sam>Democrats, let alone overall, to like change policy.

01:03:12.190 --> 01:03:16.790
<v Sam>And Donald Trump is certainly not going to change policy. You joked about Kamala

01:03:16.790 --> 01:03:22.830
<v Sam>Harris, but I suspect at this point she would have shifted some.

01:03:22.830 --> 01:03:30.370
<v Sam>I mean, even, you know, the whole thing against Biden was he was he was clearly

01:03:30.370 --> 01:03:34.310
<v Sam>displeased with what Netanyahu was doing, but he was trying to keep it private.

01:03:34.630 --> 01:03:40.070
<v Ivan>He was trying to influence a lot of pressure on them and had been able to like.

01:03:40.190 --> 01:03:47.070
<v Sam>You know, the one that's happened so far. Biden negotiated. Exactly. Hostages. Exactly.

01:03:47.250 --> 01:03:51.430
<v Ivan>And he had been able to pressure him to stop some of the most vicious stuff

01:03:51.430 --> 01:03:54.050
<v Ivan>and just, you know, to stop a lot of these things to try to,

01:03:54.190 --> 01:03:58.290
<v Ivan>like, make this more targeted, what they were trying to do.

01:03:58.450 --> 01:04:01.090
<v Ivan>He really did put a lot of pressure. But let's be clear about this.

01:04:01.170 --> 01:04:05.730
<v Ivan>Once Biden is gone, Netanyahu has basically done whatever the fuck he's wanted to do.

01:04:05.730 --> 01:04:11.130
<v Ivan>And Trump has done absolutely nothing to stop him from being completely,

01:04:11.490 --> 01:04:18.170
<v Ivan>completely, you know, unconcerned for the lives of anybody living there at all.

01:04:18.410 --> 01:04:25.390
<v Sam>Now, to be clear, in just in the last couple of weeks, Donald Trump has,

01:04:25.530 --> 01:04:30.690
<v Sam>for instance, said, oh, yeah, there are obviously people starving there and that's bad.

01:04:31.410 --> 01:04:36.110
<v Sam>Wait, wait, wait. I just want to say this, which Netanyahu to this day is denying.

01:04:36.130 --> 01:04:38.990
<v Sam>He's saying that it's a lie and people aren't starving.

01:04:39.810 --> 01:04:44.770
<v Sam>So Trump has gone against him in that sense, but he's not doing anything.

01:04:45.980 --> 01:04:47.720
<v Sam>But he has sort of...

01:04:47.720 --> 01:04:48.480
<v Ivan>But you know what?

01:04:49.620 --> 01:04:50.940
<v Sam>He's expressed some displugged.

01:04:51.340 --> 01:04:55.500
<v Ivan>Yes, yeah, yeah, yeah. But you know what? That had to meet the sound of the

01:04:55.500 --> 01:05:01.080
<v Ivan>standard Trump thing that happens, that he listens to the last person to talk to him.

01:05:01.440 --> 01:05:01.840
<v Sam>Right.

01:05:02.260 --> 01:05:05.920
<v Ivan>Where he must have talked to somebody and whatever, and they said that,

01:05:05.960 --> 01:05:08.620
<v Ivan>and all of a sudden he said that, then three days later, like, forget it.

01:05:09.240 --> 01:05:14.740
<v Sam>Well and the key is as far as we have seen he's not actually putting pressure

01:05:14.740 --> 01:05:20.600
<v Sam>on netanyahu to change anything other than verbally saying like yeah this kind of sucks and.

01:05:20.600 --> 01:05:22.000
<v Ivan>That he sent food.

01:05:22.000 --> 01:05:25.940
<v Sam>Yes and oh because nobody had thanked him for the food nobody.

01:05:25.940 --> 01:05:30.580
<v Ivan>Thanked him for the food because i mean he's just never thanked enough for everything he does for us.

01:05:30.580 --> 01:05:35.880
<v Sam>Okay anyway gaza is horrible. It continues to be horrible. Next up, you pick one.

01:05:36.540 --> 01:05:40.800
<v Ivan>Well, I was gonna, well, I forgot one thing.

01:05:41.000 --> 01:05:45.300
<v Ivan>Well, one thing to cover on the, on the tariff side that I forgot to mention.

01:05:45.580 --> 01:05:46.760
<v Sam>Which is very important.

01:05:47.220 --> 01:05:53.200
<v Ivan>You know, Trump is very good at making foreign politicians be popular. That hate him.

01:05:53.300 --> 01:05:53.640
<v Sam>Okay.

01:05:54.040 --> 01:05:59.500
<v Ivan>And so in Brazil, you know, this whole thing, the row with Brazil and like with

01:05:59.500 --> 01:06:04.700
<v Ivan>Bolsonaro and him trying to impose serious, you know, higher tariffs on Brazil

01:06:04.700 --> 01:06:06.800
<v Ivan>because they're prosecuting him.

01:06:08.160 --> 01:06:12.140
<v Ivan>The president of Brazil, Lula, whose popularity wasn't that great.

01:06:12.740 --> 01:06:16.040
<v Ivan>He actually is now over 50% popularity, thanks to Trump.

01:06:16.720 --> 01:06:17.200
<v Sam>Nice.

01:06:17.500 --> 01:06:24.740
<v Ivan>I mean, so Lula is thanking Trump because he stood up to him and basically said, fuck you.

01:06:25.560 --> 01:06:30.700
<v Ivan>You know, you want to do these tariffs? Let's go. Come on. And his popularity is soared.

01:06:32.700 --> 01:06:38.200
<v Ivan>So there you go. All right. So next subject on this.

01:06:38.520 --> 01:06:40.800
<v Ivan>And by the way, he also blinked on some of the Brazil tariffs.

01:06:41.060 --> 01:06:41.700
<v Sam>Of course.

01:06:42.200 --> 01:06:46.360
<v Ivan>Yeah. You know, we buy airplanes from Brazil and shit like that.

01:06:46.520 --> 01:06:49.340
<v Ivan>And all of a sudden, oh shit. Yeah. Well, anyway.

01:06:50.700 --> 01:06:55.040
<v Sam>Just on that, since you mentioned the exemptions on certain things,

01:06:55.220 --> 01:06:59.060
<v Sam>another report came out this week that i believe you forwarded around on the

01:06:59.060 --> 01:07:05.140
<v Sam>curmudgeon's corner slack about how you know there are all kinds of exemptions

01:07:05.140 --> 01:07:10.900
<v Sam>for one thing or another or another and yeah what what what is there rhyme or

01:07:10.900 --> 01:07:14.840
<v Sam>reason behind the exemptions no oh what's what's going on i'm.

01:07:14.840 --> 01:07:20.820
<v Ivan>Sure that what i said is like listen take take take a you know cross a list

01:07:20.820 --> 01:07:27.180
<v Ivan>of donors to trump versus those exemptions And I am sure that that will answer your question.

01:07:27.980 --> 01:07:31.100
<v Sam>Yes. And this is something that we said from the very beginning,

01:07:31.240 --> 01:07:34.280
<v Sam>by the way. It's like, don't even watch the tariffs. Watch the exemptions.

01:07:36.120 --> 01:07:37.440
<v Sam>Anyway, go ahead. Okay.

01:07:37.720 --> 01:07:44.900
<v Ivan>More Trump Epstein, Sam. So what, you know, so this week, Trump trying to tamp

01:07:44.900 --> 01:07:52.060
<v Ivan>down the issues with Epstein went and said, what was it that he said?

01:07:52.220 --> 01:07:55.120
<v Ivan>He said that Epstein stole Virginia.

01:07:56.740 --> 01:07:57.600
<v Ivan>And I'm sorry.

01:07:57.940 --> 01:07:59.160
<v Sam>How do you say her last name?

01:07:59.320 --> 01:08:03.900
<v Ivan>And I feel bad because this year, you know, they mentioned that she committed

01:08:03.900 --> 01:08:08.740
<v Ivan>suicide this year. And I know that a lot of this stems from the abuse,

01:08:08.740 --> 01:08:13.420
<v Ivan>the abuse that she was subjected to by these monsters.

01:08:14.780 --> 01:08:19.440
<v Sam>And by the way, not just the original abuse, ongoing abuse.

01:08:19.480 --> 01:08:21.200
<v Ivan>Ongoing, ongoing, yes.

01:08:21.200 --> 01:08:24.460
<v Sam>Um like you know the original physical

01:08:24.460 --> 01:08:27.380
<v Sam>abuse happened you know decades ago but on

01:08:27.380 --> 01:08:30.380
<v Sam>an ongoing basis anybody who does this kind of

01:08:30.380 --> 01:08:34.220
<v Sam>thing and goes up and

01:08:34.220 --> 01:08:37.240
<v Sam>again sort of quote goes public goes up

01:08:37.240 --> 01:08:40.060
<v Sam>against powerful people whatever they're getting

01:08:40.060 --> 01:08:42.900
<v Sam>death threats all the time they're getting you know

01:08:42.900 --> 01:08:45.560
<v Sam>their motivations questioned they're getting this that this

01:08:45.560 --> 01:08:48.580
<v Sam>is why like it you know lots of people never

01:08:48.580 --> 01:08:52.600
<v Sam>come forward because when they do it's

01:08:52.600 --> 01:08:55.680
<v Sam>it's it's an incredible act of

01:08:55.680 --> 01:09:01.280
<v Sam>bravery to actually come forward in one of these cases especially when the perpetrator

01:09:01.280 --> 01:09:06.300
<v Sam>is famous but honestly even when they're not because all kinds of people will

01:09:06.300 --> 01:09:10.440
<v Sam>just impugn your own motives and and try to say you're you're just making it

01:09:10.440 --> 01:09:14.700
<v Sam>up you're out to get them money like trying to ruin this money something.

01:09:14.700 --> 01:09:16.620
<v Ivan>Whatever blah blah blah yeah.

01:09:16.620 --> 01:09:17.960
<v Sam>So uh but.

01:09:17.960 --> 01:09:27.860
<v Ivan>But then this fucking trump monster goes and says that epstein stole her from her from him.

01:09:27.860 --> 01:09:28.800
<v Sam>Yes,

01:09:30.070 --> 01:09:34.670
<v Sam>I mean, to be honest, like if you listen to the video clip on Air Force One,

01:09:35.810 --> 01:09:41.130
<v Sam>you know, he says they were asking him, what was the origin of your beef with

01:09:41.130 --> 01:09:43.630
<v Sam>Epstein that caused you to sort of break up his friends?

01:09:44.190 --> 01:09:49.010
<v Sam>Now, there have been various stories in the past about what was responsible for this.

01:09:49.230 --> 01:09:53.290
<v Sam>In some cases, Trump was saying it was just because he was a creep.

01:09:54.030 --> 01:09:58.750
<v Sam>In other cases, and the one that seems to be the most collaborated with additional

01:09:58.750 --> 01:10:00.310
<v Sam>evidence from other people— Corroborate.

01:10:00.630 --> 01:10:01.070
<v Ivan>Corroborate.

01:10:01.670 --> 01:10:07.110
<v Sam>Well, it was actually that it was a real estate beef. There was a property that

01:10:07.110 --> 01:10:10.810
<v Sam>Epstein was trying to buy, and Trump found out about it.

01:10:10.910 --> 01:10:12.650
<v Ivan>And then Trump went and bought it.

01:10:12.750 --> 01:10:14.130
<v Sam>Trump went and bought it at a

01:10:14.130 --> 01:10:18.150
<v Sam>higher price, but Epstein was mad that Trump bought it out from under him.

01:10:18.250 --> 01:10:22.650
<v Sam>But Trump was mad that he had to pay more because Epstein was bidding on it in the first place.

01:10:22.650 --> 01:10:27.770
<v Sam>Blah blah blah that seems to be like the stuff that is the most evidence for

01:10:27.770 --> 01:10:32.530
<v Sam>the actual reason of their breakup but this time donald trump said it was because

01:10:32.530 --> 01:10:34.790
<v Sam>he was poaching people from mar-a-lago,

01:10:35.950 --> 01:10:38.810
<v Sam>and you know he was he was stealing my

01:10:38.810 --> 01:10:41.570
<v Sam>employees but no he didn't volunteer the virginia thing at

01:10:41.570 --> 01:10:44.310
<v Sam>first someone on the plane one of

01:10:44.310 --> 01:10:47.050
<v Sam>the reporters asked him was one of

01:10:47.050 --> 01:10:50.110
<v Sam>these people virginia and he's like i'm not

01:10:50.110 --> 01:10:52.870
<v Sam>sure i think yeah probably yeah i think so

01:10:52.870 --> 01:10:55.670
<v Sam>yes it was that that's sort of the way he said

01:10:55.670 --> 01:11:02.110
<v Sam>it you know so it wasn't sort of him coming out and definitely saying like i

01:11:02.110 --> 01:11:10.750
<v Sam>broke up with him because he stole virginia gillif gillif whatever fuck anyway

01:11:10.750 --> 01:11:15.530
<v Sam>he wasn't saying it was specifically because he stole that woman.

01:11:15.890 --> 01:11:19.150
<v Sam>He was talking about a pattern of him stealing.

01:11:19.690 --> 01:11:24.950
<v Sam>Jiffrey. Jiffrey. Jiffrey. And then when asked if she was one of them,

01:11:25.070 --> 01:11:27.870
<v Sam>he said, yes, I sort of think so, probably.

01:11:28.750 --> 01:11:33.390
<v Sam>The timing does not line up. If you look at this, like they continued to be

01:11:33.390 --> 01:11:35.730
<v Sam>friends for years after this supposed incident.

01:11:36.700 --> 01:11:39.860
<v Sam>So it doesn't really make sense.

01:11:40.080 --> 01:11:45.620
<v Ivan>But the problem is that I think that everything, you know, everything that he says is a lie.

01:11:45.740 --> 01:11:50.520
<v Ivan>So I'm sure that that and remember that that Trump has had this thing where

01:11:50.520 --> 01:11:52.720
<v Ivan>he has beefs with people's pissed off about something.

01:11:52.880 --> 01:11:55.860
<v Ivan>Then he goes back and his friends with him and then he goes back to being pissed.

01:11:56.040 --> 01:11:59.240
<v Ivan>So God only knows if he was pissed about that. But then he came back or whatever.

01:11:59.340 --> 01:12:01.460
<v Ivan>Then he was pissed. You know, but but but but.

01:12:01.460 --> 01:12:08.980
<v Sam>And the other thing about it that got people, like Virginia Gilliff, say it again?

01:12:09.360 --> 01:12:10.340
<v Ivan>Jeffrey. Jeffrey.

01:12:10.800 --> 01:12:16.360
<v Sam>Virginia Jeffrey. Her family came out and said the thing that disturbed them

01:12:16.360 --> 01:12:23.320
<v Sam>most about this whole thing is how he was basically describing her as if she was property. Right.

01:12:23.480 --> 01:12:26.760
<v Ivan>That was stolen. Yes. That's the way that he described it. Yes.

01:12:26.900 --> 01:12:28.820
<v Sam>And so, like, if you were.

01:12:28.820 --> 01:12:31.540
<v Ivan>Which goes back to the whole sex trafficking.

01:12:31.860 --> 01:12:40.800
<v Sam>Yes. And just to be clear, Virginia herself had repeatedly said that she was

01:12:40.800 --> 01:12:42.880
<v Sam>not abused by Donald Trump herself.

01:12:43.380 --> 01:12:46.260
<v Sam>You know, she had been asked that question multiple times.

01:12:47.100 --> 01:12:51.960
<v Sam>She had named other people, most notably not just Epstein himself,

01:12:52.140 --> 01:12:54.360
<v Sam>but Prince Andrew from the UK.

01:12:54.360 --> 01:12:59.140
<v Sam>So she had named other names, but she was asked about and said specifically,

01:12:59.140 --> 01:13:02.400
<v Sam>I never had those kinds of interactions with Donald Trump himself.

01:13:02.760 --> 01:13:08.880
<v Sam>But she was recruited from Mar-a-Lago. She was working at the spa in Mar-a-Lago

01:13:08.880 --> 01:13:16.100
<v Sam>at first, and that's where Epstein and Maxwell recruited her,

01:13:16.260 --> 01:13:18.820
<v Sam>where Maxwell met her. And,

01:13:20.060 --> 01:13:24.160
<v Sam>Which brings up the question. Now, I've heard some conflicting reports on exactly

01:13:24.160 --> 01:13:26.700
<v Sam>what she was doing at the spa.

01:13:26.840 --> 01:13:29.180
<v Sam>Like, I mean, she might have just been a front desk attendant or whatever.

01:13:29.420 --> 01:13:33.540
<v Sam>But the bottom line is, why are you hiring teenagers for that anyway?

01:13:35.040 --> 01:13:38.780
<v Ivan>Well, why is he buying beauty pageants with, like, teenagers?

01:13:39.140 --> 01:13:42.880
<v Ivan>Why is he hanging out and, like, going and, like, oogling them one day or,

01:13:42.980 --> 01:13:44.300
<v Ivan>like, changing their clothes?

01:13:44.560 --> 01:13:48.080
<v Ivan>You know, as everybody has mentioned publicly. why is

01:13:48.080 --> 01:13:51.000
<v Ivan>he going and having parties where all of a sudden he invited

01:13:51.000 --> 01:13:55.780
<v Ivan>people like you know luther campbell from two live crew that he showed up where

01:13:55.780 --> 01:14:01.640
<v Ivan>he was so he was like he saw these girls he saw they were half naked he saw

01:14:01.640 --> 01:14:05.660
<v Ivan>that they were like so young and he realized what the fuck is this thing and

01:14:05.660 --> 01:14:08.800
<v Ivan>decided to turn around and leave right.

01:14:08.800 --> 01:14:15.820
<v Sam>Yeah it's not like there isn't a chain of circumstantial evidence around Donald

01:14:15.820 --> 01:14:17.500
<v Sam>Trump liking his girls young too.

01:14:17.980 --> 01:14:18.180
<v Ivan>Yes.

01:14:19.640 --> 01:14:25.740
<v Sam>And apparently the deal he made with Ivanka at some point when she was growing

01:14:25.740 --> 01:14:31.060
<v Sam>up was that he would, from that point forward, never date anyone younger than she was.

01:14:31.380 --> 01:14:35.440
<v Sam>And he talked about on Howard Stern or something, how this was a big sacrifice

01:14:35.440 --> 01:14:40.940
<v Sam>because as Ivanka aged, you know, he was shutting himself out from a huge part

01:14:40.940 --> 01:14:42.080
<v Sam>of his potential market.

01:14:42.990 --> 01:14:43.390
<v Sam>So,

01:14:45.570 --> 01:14:47.870
<v Sam>okay. So, yes.

01:14:48.170 --> 01:14:53.010
<v Ivan>Oh, and let's not forget, what happened this week to Ghislaine Maxwell?

01:14:53.330 --> 01:15:00.510
<v Sam>I was going to go there next. So she got transferred to- To Club Fed! To Club Fed.

01:15:00.970 --> 01:15:06.310
<v Sam>And apparently they had to put in special override exemption,

01:15:06.310 --> 01:15:10.530
<v Sam>whatever, because she wasn't actually eligible for the nicer,

01:15:10.530 --> 01:15:13.410
<v Sam>lower security prison. because she's a sex offender.

01:15:13.630 --> 01:15:14.070
<v Ivan>Right.

01:15:14.590 --> 01:15:19.190
<v Sam>You know, those facilities are basically intended for like white collar criminals, et cetera.

01:15:19.390 --> 01:15:23.470
<v Sam>And being a sex offender is not considered part of that, which by the way,

01:15:23.650 --> 01:15:27.410
<v Sam>I just want to also put out there, a lot of people are making sure they point

01:15:27.410 --> 01:15:28.930
<v Sam>this out, but I want to be one of them.

01:15:29.930 --> 01:15:36.770
<v Sam>There, a lot of the coverage of Maxwell talks about her sort of facilitating

01:15:36.770 --> 01:15:44.090
<v Sam>Epstein and like recruiting girls for Epstein and delivering them to him and

01:15:44.090 --> 01:15:46.370
<v Sam>to the other men in that circle.

01:15:46.530 --> 01:15:50.350
<v Sam>And that is absolutely true. That happened. She was convicted of that.

01:15:50.510 --> 01:15:56.730
<v Sam>But it's also important to note, she also directly molested these girls.

01:15:57.170 --> 01:15:58.230
<v Ivan>Yes. Yes.

01:15:58.310 --> 01:16:01.510
<v Sam>Like it is part of the evidence on record in the trial.

01:16:01.890 --> 01:16:06.550
<v Sam>Yes. There are plenty of witnesses who have testified to this that very often

01:16:06.550 --> 01:16:11.510
<v Sam>she would actually be the first one to molest these girls.

01:16:11.710 --> 01:16:11.910
<v Ivan>Yes.

01:16:12.090 --> 01:16:15.430
<v Sam>And sort of warm them up for Epstein or whatever.

01:16:16.370 --> 01:16:22.910
<v Sam>And, you know, so her, her whole modus operandi was that she would go searching

01:16:22.910 --> 01:16:26.070
<v Sam>in, you know, lower income areas,

01:16:26.910 --> 01:16:32.830
<v Sam>people with, you know, single parents, troubled teens who were like in trouble

01:16:32.830 --> 01:16:34.110
<v Sam>for other things already.

01:16:34.310 --> 01:16:39.970
<v Sam>She would befriend them. She would talk to them about how she thought they could

01:16:39.970 --> 01:16:45.010
<v Sam>be models and she was going to hook them up with like modeling agencies and

01:16:45.010 --> 01:16:47.130
<v Sam>maybe Hollywood and blah, blah, blah.

01:16:47.430 --> 01:16:51.630
<v Sam>And you fill their heads with like how she's going to make them like an amazing

01:16:51.630 --> 01:16:58.070
<v Sam>success and help them out in their careers and help them out financially and all this kind of stuff.

01:16:58.250 --> 01:17:02.730
<v Sam>And then she would molest them herself and then she would deliver them to Epstein

01:17:02.730 --> 01:17:06.710
<v Sam>and then she would deliver them to other men that were in that same circle.

01:17:07.410 --> 01:17:07.750
<v Ivan>Yeah.

01:17:08.350 --> 01:17:10.690
<v Sam>You know, so she is, Yo,

01:17:12.060 --> 01:17:19.240
<v Sam>All of this, there appears, we seem to be sort of working our way up to some

01:17:19.240 --> 01:17:20.980
<v Sam>sort of Donald Trump pardon or

01:17:20.980 --> 01:17:28.880
<v Sam>commutation of Maxwell in exchange for presumably her, at the very least,

01:17:29.360 --> 01:17:31.480
<v Sam>saying Donald Trump had nothing to do with this.

01:17:31.600 --> 01:17:37.380
<v Sam>And perhaps also, while she's at it, pointing the finger at some Democrats, you know.

01:17:37.380 --> 01:17:43.260
<v Sam>And we had a situation where I can't remember if this happened by the time we talked last week or not,

01:17:43.420 --> 01:17:49.620
<v Sam>but high up officials from the DOJ interviewed her alone, which,

01:17:49.720 --> 01:17:53.660
<v Sam>by the way, is completely nonstandard in any sort of way as well.

01:17:53.660 --> 01:17:57.080
<v Sam>They gave her limited immunity to do so normally if

01:17:57.080 --> 01:18:00.080
<v Sam>you were going to interview somebody like this

01:18:00.080 --> 01:18:03.220
<v Sam>you would make sure the people interviewing her were

01:18:03.220 --> 01:18:09.320
<v Sam>people that were intimately familiar with all the details of her case already

01:18:09.320 --> 01:18:13.800
<v Sam>so that they could do things like catch her in any lies know the right places

01:18:13.800 --> 01:18:18.660
<v Sam>to ask questions all this kind of stuff oh by the way they fired the person

01:18:18.660 --> 01:18:20.500
<v Sam>who would have met that criteria.

01:18:21.500 --> 01:18:26.760
<v Sam>Jim Comey's daughter, who happened to be the one prosecuting both Epstein and

01:18:26.760 --> 01:18:29.580
<v Sam>Maxwell, they fired her a couple weeks ago.

01:18:30.060 --> 01:18:33.080
<v Sam>She would have been perfect for that if you were actually going to do this in

01:18:33.080 --> 01:18:35.480
<v Sam>a good faith sort of way, which they are clearly not.

01:18:36.060 --> 01:18:41.840
<v Sam>Instead, they bring up one of the Donald Trump cronies, I forget which one, to do the interview.

01:18:41.840 --> 01:18:47.400
<v Sam>The interview, there's no record right now in terms of where their notes on

01:18:47.400 --> 01:18:51.780
<v Sam>the interview was there a recording was there anything it was it just him in

01:18:51.780 --> 01:18:54.960
<v Sam>a room with her, you know, we don't know those details.

01:18:55.460 --> 01:19:00.600
<v Sam>Now, maybe there, maybe there are all, you know, all that we just don't know. And.

01:19:01.670 --> 01:19:05.870
<v Sam>You know, and this is all put in the thing of, we're going to get to the bottom of it.

01:19:06.670 --> 01:19:10.310
<v Sam>But come on, you know, and clearly the.

01:19:10.410 --> 01:19:15.950
<v Ivan>We're going to get to the bottom of it. And somebody shared with me a meme that

01:19:15.950 --> 01:19:18.150
<v Ivan>showed, you know, he's going to get to the bottom of it.

01:19:18.270 --> 01:19:23.670
<v Ivan>And they showed OJ on a picture on the side said, yeah, I'm going to find the killers.

01:19:24.330 --> 01:19:27.610
<v Sam>Yep. look there

01:19:27.610 --> 01:19:31.050
<v Sam>there is no public evidence of direct wrongdoing by

01:19:31.050 --> 01:19:37.570
<v Sam>donald trump at this point but he continues to act guilty you know and you know

01:19:37.570 --> 01:19:42.650
<v Sam>this whole movement moving her to the low security federal facility blah blah

01:19:42.650 --> 01:19:50.090
<v Sam>blah i mean it it just looks like a proof of good faith essentially look Maxwell.

01:19:50.510 --> 01:19:55.170
<v Sam>You know, we're going to give you this right now just to show you if you can

01:19:55.170 --> 01:19:58.130
<v Sam>give us more, maybe we'll give you more too.

01:19:58.410 --> 01:20:03.450
<v Sam>You know, and who knows? This is just speculation. We don't know what's happening,

01:20:03.470 --> 01:20:09.870
<v Sam>but it all looks bad and it's all keeping things in the news.

01:20:10.030 --> 01:20:15.610
<v Sam>So like, if the goal is to make this disappear, Donald Trump is doing it exactly

01:20:15.610 --> 01:20:19.590
<v Sam>the wrong way. There's also been, by the way, a congressional subpoena for more

01:20:19.590 --> 01:20:22.730
<v Sam>of the materials that apparently have to be delivered by the 15th.

01:20:22.750 --> 01:20:24.070
<v Sam>We'll see if that actually happens.

01:20:25.010 --> 01:20:32.010
<v Sam>But yeah, we're 100% Streisand affecting this.

01:20:32.550 --> 01:20:39.610
<v Sam>Where Donald Trump himself is keeping this in the news more than anybody else. Yeah.

01:20:40.110 --> 01:20:44.990
<v Sam>Like if he had just shut the fuck up and been quiet, like, I'm not saying it

01:20:44.990 --> 01:20:48.030
<v Sam>would have blown over completely because a lot of MAGA folks were upset.

01:20:48.610 --> 01:20:53.410
<v Ivan>A lot of MAGA folks are still upset. Let's be clear about this.

01:20:53.670 --> 01:20:59.130
<v Ivan>All of this is distracting from we don't listen to this whole thing.

01:20:59.370 --> 01:21:02.390
<v Ivan>What was the whole purpose of how this all started? How did this all start?

01:21:03.380 --> 01:21:07.300
<v Ivan>What was the main thing? There were, because this administration was going to?

01:21:08.040 --> 01:21:09.300
<v Sam>Release all the files.

01:21:09.500 --> 01:21:12.320
<v Ivan>That's right. Where the fuck are the files, Sam?

01:21:12.800 --> 01:21:16.320
<v Sam>No, no, but my point is just that Donald Trump has made this worse.

01:21:16.780 --> 01:21:21.020
<v Sam>Right. You know, if he had been quiet, it wouldn't have gone away completely.

01:21:21.080 --> 01:21:27.120
<v Sam>But by the fact that he himself keeps talking about it and keeps saying more things.

01:21:27.120 --> 01:21:28.860
<v Ivan>On and on and on.

01:21:29.280 --> 01:21:34.760
<v Sam>You know, it's keeping it alive. It's giving more fuel to the fire.

01:21:34.940 --> 01:21:40.220
<v Sam>It's making him look more and more guilty, even to some of his own supporters.

01:21:40.540 --> 01:21:47.540
<v Sam>I mean, you know, we don't see like him, you know, we have not yet reached the

01:21:47.540 --> 01:21:52.760
<v Sam>magical moment where all of MAGA suddenly decides Donald Trump is a fraud.

01:21:52.780 --> 01:21:55.020
<v Sam>But we're working on the edges.

01:21:55.540 --> 01:21:56.760
<v Ivan>We're working on the edges.

01:21:56.760 --> 01:22:05.700
<v Sam>You know, so the other thing I will mention on this is that Bruce on our Commudgeons

01:22:05.700 --> 01:22:10.940
<v Sam>Corner Slack left us a comment saying, you guys are missing the whole point of this Epstein thing.

01:22:10.940 --> 01:22:18.760
<v Sam>The real point is people think Epstein was hired by a foreign intelligence service

01:22:18.760 --> 01:22:24.480
<v Sam>to set all these people up, or the CIA, but most people apparently think it's Mossad,

01:22:24.760 --> 01:22:30.020
<v Sam>to set all these people up, gather blackmail evidence, and then manipulate all

01:22:30.020 --> 01:22:31.360
<v Sam>of these important Americans.

01:22:32.230 --> 01:22:38.910
<v Ivan>And look, what I said, and my first reaction is that there hasn't been a single

01:22:38.910 --> 01:22:41.410
<v Ivan>shred of credible evidence to point towards that.

01:22:41.690 --> 01:22:48.950
<v Ivan>I mean, look, the first people that really did a thorough job that exposed Epstein

01:22:48.950 --> 01:22:52.730
<v Ivan>and basically led him to being arrested, okay,

01:22:53.250 --> 01:22:58.330
<v Ivan>back, you know, back in the late 2010s, okay, was the Miami Herald.

01:22:58.330 --> 01:23:03.630
<v Ivan>And they had done a very authoritative, very thorough investigation into Epstein,

01:23:03.910 --> 01:23:07.290
<v Ivan>interviewed so many of the victims, 60, 70 of them.

01:23:07.530 --> 01:23:11.330
<v Ivan>I mean, their investigation, it's one of those things that you rarely still

01:23:11.330 --> 01:23:13.950
<v Ivan>see being done by a local newspaper.

01:23:14.150 --> 01:23:17.470
<v Ivan>OK, and it was extremely authoritative.

01:23:17.790 --> 01:23:21.990
<v Ivan>It was extremely detailed. They gathered the evidence. And during that entire

01:23:21.990 --> 01:23:27.990
<v Ivan>time that they went through and gathered that information, not one single iota

01:23:27.990 --> 01:23:32.010
<v Ivan>shred of evidence came forward that it had anything to do with that.

01:23:32.010 --> 01:23:38.570
<v Ivan>The main thing for Epstein was how this all started was him ingratiating with

01:23:38.570 --> 01:23:40.710
<v Ivan>himself with people with money

01:23:40.710 --> 01:23:46.470
<v Ivan>by providing the girls because a lot of these people liked the girls.

01:23:47.010 --> 01:23:51.190
<v Ivan>And this would give him access to more money because he was one that didn't

01:23:51.190 --> 01:23:52.450
<v Ivan>start with a lot of money.

01:23:52.610 --> 01:23:58.070
<v Ivan>He didn't have that kind of money. But the first guy that he targeted that he

01:23:58.070 --> 01:24:03.510
<v Ivan>was very close relationship with, and there's been a lot of questions about, is Leslie Wexner.

01:24:03.690 --> 01:24:06.970
<v Ivan>Leslie Wexner is the guy that was the owner of the limited.

01:24:07.370 --> 01:24:10.510
<v Ivan>You know, he was he was the driving force of town at Victoria's Secret and all

01:24:10.510 --> 01:24:11.430
<v Ivan>of these other companies.

01:24:11.430 --> 01:24:14.550
<v Ivan>This is where he had ingratiated himself

01:24:14.550 --> 01:24:17.690
<v Ivan>with and through managing some of his money and doing investments

01:24:17.690 --> 01:24:22.070
<v Ivan>getting money with them this is where where his main source of money first came

01:24:22.070 --> 01:24:26.690
<v Ivan>and then he parlayed that into other money and other connections and this entire

01:24:26.690 --> 01:24:32.370
<v Ivan>thing with the girls was a he liked it b it was his way of like sharing with

01:24:32.370 --> 01:24:35.470
<v Ivan>his friends and getting money out of them.

01:24:36.210 --> 01:24:40.690
<v Sam>So there are a couple things here, just to circle back to the foreign intelligence for a second.

01:24:41.350 --> 01:24:46.410
<v Sam>First of all, like, this is an Occam's razor thing. There's a plenty good explanation

01:24:46.410 --> 01:24:49.310
<v Sam>without involving, like, the Mossad.

01:24:49.550 --> 01:24:53.390
<v Sam>Yeah. You know, you don't need it to explain everything that happened here.

01:24:53.770 --> 01:24:58.290
<v Sam>Second, people have pointed out, in a lot of the legal cases so far,

01:24:58.470 --> 01:25:05.170
<v Sam>if there had been an intelligence connection, you would have expected U.S.

01:25:05.770 --> 01:25:10.870
<v Sam>Intelligence to actually intervene in some of those cases to exclude certain

01:25:10.870 --> 01:25:13.130
<v Sam>evidence or to guide it in some way.

01:25:13.290 --> 01:25:15.710
<v Sam>And there's no evidence of that having happened.

01:25:16.690 --> 01:25:23.850
<v Sam>So yeah, I think you've got, you don't need any of that for this to happen.

01:25:24.070 --> 01:25:26.010
<v Sam>This is fairly straightforward.

01:25:27.150 --> 01:25:33.150
<v Sam>There's also fairly limited evidence at this point that there was a specific

01:25:33.150 --> 01:25:37.050
<v Sam>blackmail scheme in place, as opposed to, like you said, Yvonne,

01:25:37.170 --> 01:25:38.910
<v Sam>just him sharing with his friends.

01:25:39.730 --> 01:25:45.050
<v Sam>Now, obviously, given who some of his friends were, there was opportunity for blackmail.

01:25:45.250 --> 01:25:50.870
<v Sam>But it seems like that evidence isn't there.

01:25:51.310 --> 01:25:56.570
<v Sam>Maybe that some of what is in the files that we'll find out if they're all released,

01:25:56.710 --> 01:25:57.570
<v Sam>blah, blah, blah. We don't know.

01:25:59.030 --> 01:26:03.410
<v Sam>The other thing, though, is the financial element. There are several senators,

01:26:03.590 --> 01:26:08.630
<v Sam>I think Senator Schiff was one of them, I could be wrong, who was pushing and

01:26:08.630 --> 01:26:12.810
<v Sam>saying, look, we really do need to do a more thorough investigation of the financial side of this.

01:26:13.570 --> 01:26:21.810
<v Sam>Because there is a lot of question on exactly where, how, when he got his money,

01:26:22.170 --> 01:26:25.710
<v Sam>and was it all above board, et cetera.

01:26:26.090 --> 01:26:31.070
<v Sam>And it's just a, that would be a good place to investigate further.

01:26:31.610 --> 01:26:36.850
<v Sam>And apparently that just has not, like, what has happened so far in the criminal

01:26:36.850 --> 01:26:43.070
<v Sam>trials didn't need that to go after the charges they were specifically going after.

01:26:43.070 --> 01:26:47.430
<v Ivan>Well, plus, let's be clear, though, you know, the only person who went to trial was Ghislaine.

01:26:47.630 --> 01:26:50.930
<v Ivan>I mean, Epstein didn't go to trial. He committed suicide before he got to fucking

01:26:50.930 --> 01:26:52.770
<v Ivan>trial. Well, at least we think he committed suicide.

01:26:52.950 --> 01:26:57.130
<v Ivan>I mean, because even I'm like a little bit. I mean, I always believe that 100 percent.

01:26:57.330 --> 01:27:00.390
<v Ivan>But right now, still, we still don't have clarity on this whole thing about

01:27:00.390 --> 01:27:02.130
<v Ivan>the missing minutes in the video anyway.

01:27:02.130 --> 01:27:08.270
<v Sam>Right. Okay. Well, we are now at the time that you said you needed to stop, Yvonne.

01:27:08.650 --> 01:27:14.290
<v Sam>So let's wrap things up. The only other thing that I will save for another week

01:27:14.290 --> 01:27:19.210
<v Sam>is Kamala Harris has reemerged on her book tour.

01:27:19.410 --> 01:27:22.130
<v Sam>And so there's commentary on that and what her intentions are.

01:27:22.290 --> 01:27:24.250
<v Sam>She's not going to run for a governor in California.

01:27:24.930 --> 01:27:29.170
<v Sam>Maybe she'll run for president, but she says not yet. She's just doing other

01:27:29.170 --> 01:27:31.750
<v Sam>stuff right now. And of course, she's hawking the book.

01:27:32.130 --> 01:27:34.210
<v Sam>And people have reacted to that in various ways.

01:27:35.890 --> 01:27:37.130
<v Sam>Another day. Another day.

01:27:39.050 --> 01:27:42.410
<v Ivan>I'm going to say this. Look, this was like Kabbalah. I'm not fucking reading

01:27:42.410 --> 01:27:45.170
<v Ivan>a book about that damn campaign. I really don't fucking care.

01:27:45.330 --> 01:27:46.830
<v Ivan>I don't want to rehash it right now.

01:27:49.330 --> 01:27:55.850
<v Sam>Yeah. Anyway, we will have plenty of time to talk about election 2028 as things develop.

01:27:56.350 --> 01:28:01.790
<v Sam>We got election 2026 first. So anyway. Okay.

01:28:02.610 --> 01:28:05.570
<v Sam>Curmudgeons-corner.com. You can go there. You can find our archives.

01:28:05.570 --> 01:28:10.250
<v Sam>You can find transcripts. You can, you know, listen to old shows if you want.

01:28:10.430 --> 01:28:14.050
<v Sam>You can find all the ways to contact. That would be our archives.

01:28:14.290 --> 01:28:18.010
<v Sam>I'm being redundant there. I know. I'm sorry. You can find all the ways to contact

01:28:18.010 --> 01:28:20.730
<v Sam>us, except TikTok. I still have not linked TikTok.

01:28:21.010 --> 01:28:26.510
<v Sam>I'm still way behind on posting clips to TikTok. I'm still on the week where my car died.

01:28:27.290 --> 01:28:32.730
<v Sam>Like, I posted one video from that week. I usually post three videos per show.

01:28:32.990 --> 01:28:36.610
<v Sam>I've got two more yet to post. I've got one chosen.

01:28:36.930 --> 01:28:39.390
<v Sam>I'll probably push it out after we're done recording.

01:28:39.970 --> 01:28:44.670
<v Sam>I've told myself I'm going to like put one video out a day until I'm caught

01:28:44.670 --> 01:28:46.610
<v Sam>up, but I haven't been meeting that target.

01:28:46.950 --> 01:28:51.990
<v Sam>Anyway, you can always contact us and of course our Patreon where we can,

01:28:52.190 --> 01:28:57.510
<v Sam>where you can give us money and giving us money is good because at various levels,

01:28:57.710 --> 01:29:01.130
<v Sam>you will get like, you know, mentioned on the show. We will ring a bell.

01:29:01.350 --> 01:29:04.590
<v Sam>You'll get a postcard like Yvonne is working on right now. He's going to do

01:29:04.590 --> 01:29:06.450
<v Sam>something amazingly creative.

01:29:06.790 --> 01:29:07.190
<v Ivan>Woo!

01:29:07.670 --> 01:29:10.670
<v Sam>Like some sort of massive arts and crafts. Oh, yeah.

01:29:10.830 --> 01:29:12.790
<v Ivan>This thing will be worth millions.

01:29:13.510 --> 01:29:17.750
<v Sam>Exactly. Like, you know, it'll be jeweled with diamonds.

01:29:20.650 --> 01:29:24.410
<v Ivan>You know, this whole thing, diamonds are being so devalued now with all these

01:29:24.410 --> 01:29:25.830
<v Ivan>artificial diamonds, you know?

01:29:26.010 --> 01:29:30.430
<v Ivan>So it's not exactly right now. I got to probably need to use like gold leaf.

01:29:30.890 --> 01:29:37.410
<v Sam>There you go. Gold leaf. There you go. Gold leaf. styled yeah yeah got a Donald Trump this is.

01:29:37.410 --> 01:29:42.070
<v Ivan>20 25 yes you're gonna get a Donald Trump style postcard yes.

01:29:42.070 --> 01:29:44.790
<v Sam>Yeah anyway yeah you get a postcard you can get a

01:29:44.790 --> 01:29:48.050
<v Sam>mug you can get like stuff you know it's fun but

01:29:48.050 --> 01:29:50.810
<v Sam>most importantly at two dollars a month

01:29:50.810 --> 01:29:53.790
<v Sam>or more we will invite you to the curmudgeon's corner slack or

01:29:53.790 --> 01:29:56.830
<v Sam>we'll we'll do that for free if you ask you know

01:29:56.830 --> 01:29:59.790
<v Sam>but you know we love for the two dollars anyway you know

01:29:59.790 --> 01:30:02.750
<v Sam>anyway on the curmudgeon's corner slack yvonne and

01:30:02.750 --> 01:30:07.970
<v Sam>i are sitting around chatting we're always sitting right when we're when we're

01:30:07.970 --> 01:30:13.570
<v Sam>dealing with the slack we're sitting i mean i could be walking maybe but most

01:30:13.570 --> 01:30:17.850
<v Sam>of the time most of the time i'm sure we are we are sitting around a campfire

01:30:17.850 --> 01:30:22.710
<v Sam>with s'mores talking on the curmudgeon's corner slack,

01:30:23.610 --> 01:30:28.910
<v Sam>Yeah, no. Anyway, so Yvonne, what is something that we discussed on the Curmudgeon's

01:30:28.910 --> 01:30:34.310
<v Sam>Corner Slack this week that we have not discussed on the show at all and would

01:30:34.310 --> 01:30:36.270
<v Sam>entice people to join the Slack?

01:30:36.290 --> 01:30:39.290
<v Ivan>Okay, look, I shared this. Nobody made a comment on this.

01:30:39.510 --> 01:30:41.410
<v Sam>So nobody cares about it, so you're bringing it up.

01:30:41.410 --> 01:30:47.030
<v Ivan>Apparently, but I am going to bring it up. Taste testing battery-flavored tortilla chips, okay?

01:30:48.070 --> 01:30:52.490
<v Ivan>They're there you know this these marginally

01:30:52.490 --> 01:30:55.630
<v Ivan>tastier than licking an actual nine volt battery so

01:30:55.630 --> 01:30:58.630
<v Ivan>some company went and like tried to create

01:30:58.630 --> 01:31:03.970
<v Ivan>chips that taste like how it tasted when you went and i'm sure that i'm not

01:31:03.970 --> 01:31:07.790
<v Ivan>the only one that did this i've absolutely done this you know put your tongue

01:31:07.790 --> 01:31:12.590
<v Ivan>and licked the two ends of a nine volt battery and he actually went the guy

01:31:12.590 --> 01:31:16.210
<v Ivan>went that actually bought a 9-volt battery and licked it, okay,

01:31:16.430 --> 01:31:21.010
<v Ivan>just to compare the flavor of the chips.

01:31:21.450 --> 01:31:27.550
<v Ivan>I think in summary, let me see. It says here, let's see.

01:31:27.810 --> 01:31:31.790
<v Ivan>It's been a while since I last licked a battery, so in the name of science, I bought my own.

01:31:31.930 --> 01:31:35.830
<v Ivan>Licking a 9-volt battery is probably safe. The Rewind is clearly that it does

01:31:35.830 --> 01:31:40.290
<v Ivan>not recommend or condone licking, biting, or otherwise ingesting real batteries.

01:31:40.350 --> 01:31:43.350
<v Ivan>But I figure if it's good enough for my colleague, Sean, it's good enough for

01:31:43.350 --> 01:31:45.210
<v Ivan>me. I found the experience pretty unpleasant.

01:31:45.410 --> 01:31:51.430
<v Ivan>A small, sharp shock and lingering metallic aftertaste. Not what I usually look for in a tortilla chip.

01:31:51.970 --> 01:31:55.150
<v Ivan>Rewind's taste, that's the brand of the chips, is a little less intense.

01:31:55.370 --> 01:31:59.330
<v Ivan>There is a sharp, acidic flavor at first, but it's milder than I expected.

01:31:59.550 --> 01:32:04.010
<v Ivan>I love salt and vinegar chips, and I've had packs that make me wince much more than these.

01:32:04.230 --> 01:32:08.790
<v Ivan>What stands out a little more is that there is a mineral taste underlying it

01:32:08.790 --> 01:32:13.450
<v Ivan>all, an odd tankiness that isn't a million miles from battery metal.

01:32:13.650 --> 01:32:17.290
<v Ivan>The chips themselves are a little thinner than I like. I prefer a more substantial

01:32:17.290 --> 01:32:22.030
<v Ivan>crunch for protein chips, but aren't bad at all. So there you go.

01:32:22.610 --> 01:32:25.570
<v Ivan>Apparently, these guys developed a chip...

01:32:26.190 --> 01:32:33.050
<v Ivan>Kind of, sort of, tries to bring to the tortilla chip the taste of licking a 9-volt battery.

01:32:33.050 --> 01:32:36.950
<v Sam>I was just looking around to see if I had one, like, just sitting on a shelf.

01:32:37.050 --> 01:32:38.070
<v Ivan>I have one, and I am not licking it.

01:32:38.230 --> 01:32:43.030
<v Sam>If I had turned to the left to my shelf and actually seen one,

01:32:43.090 --> 01:32:44.750
<v Sam>I would have licked it right now.

01:32:45.230 --> 01:32:49.610
<v Ivan>No, no, I know where I have my 9-volt batteries. I'm not doing it.

01:32:49.830 --> 01:32:53.610
<v Sam>I mean, I know I've got some somewhere. I just don't think they're within reach

01:32:53.610 --> 01:32:55.350
<v Sam>of where I'm sitting right now.

01:32:55.350 --> 01:32:58.330
<v Sam>But you know i did see a video on tiktok

01:32:58.330 --> 01:33:02.770
<v Sam>this week as well it was probably an old one being recycled but it had a slight

01:33:02.770 --> 01:33:08.710
<v Sam>variant on this it had some like woman probably around 20 years old like college

01:33:08.710 --> 01:33:16.570
<v Sam>aged woman with a metal nose ring and and she decided that sort of like,

01:33:17.190 --> 01:33:23.950
<v Sam>you had two ends sticking one out of each nostril yeah and so of course she decided oh god she.

01:33:23.950 --> 01:33:27.770
<v Ivan>Put She connected the 9-volt battery to the fucking... Oh, God.

01:33:28.310 --> 01:33:32.130
<v Sam>Yes, exactly. She connected the 9-volt battery to the nose thing.

01:33:32.510 --> 01:33:35.990
<v Sam>And it worked out just about as you would expect. Oh, shit.

01:33:36.870 --> 01:33:37.730
<v Ivan>No, shit.

01:33:40.950 --> 01:33:45.810
<v Sam>Anyway, this is how you tested to see if a 9-volt battery was still good.

01:33:46.390 --> 01:33:46.830
<v Ivan>True.

01:33:47.190 --> 01:33:50.770
<v Sam>How strong was it? You don't need some fancy electrical tester.

01:33:50.910 --> 01:33:54.210
<v Sam>You just stick it in your mouth. Well, not in your mouth. You lick the terminals.

01:33:54.210 --> 01:33:57.750
<v Ivan>You just lick the terminals. You lick the terminals. You don't swallow it.

01:33:57.810 --> 01:34:05.070
<v Sam>Yeah. And you know, it's sort of felt, it's one of those feelings that, yes, it's unpleasant.

01:34:06.120 --> 01:34:08.000
<v Sam>But somehow you're drawn to it.

01:34:08.520 --> 01:34:12.320
<v Ivan>I, look, I did it once and was cured.

01:34:12.800 --> 01:34:14.720
<v Sam>You were cured after one try?

01:34:15.220 --> 01:34:16.200
<v Ivan>Yep, never again.

01:34:16.360 --> 01:34:21.040
<v Sam>I must say, I have done this many times in my life, not just once.

01:34:21.540 --> 01:34:23.340
<v Ivan>No, I did it once, but I said never again.

01:34:23.340 --> 01:34:27.180
<v Sam>To be fair, this was not something where I decided, oh, this is cool.

01:34:27.180 --> 01:34:28.920
<v Sam>I'm going to do it for fun all the time.

01:34:28.940 --> 01:34:33.000
<v Ivan>That reminds me about the same thing. It's like, look, things that I've done

01:34:33.000 --> 01:34:36.380
<v Ivan>like that electrically once, never again. A, lick the battery.

01:34:36.700 --> 01:34:41.380
<v Ivan>B, also, like, when I was little, put my finger in between the prongs as I went

01:34:41.380 --> 01:34:44.620
<v Ivan>to plug in something into a socket and get shocked by that.

01:34:45.000 --> 01:34:49.060
<v Ivan>Yeah, that's also unpleasant. I said, that's never happening again.

01:34:49.300 --> 01:34:54.680
<v Sam>When you're dealing with AC power as opposed to DC power, there are serious

01:34:54.680 --> 01:34:58.180
<v Sam>health risks. You can get burnt. You can have heart issues.

01:34:58.520 --> 01:35:01.620
<v Sam>You can die from that. now most of

01:35:01.620 --> 01:35:04.320
<v Sam>the time you'll get lucky and you're like i i've i've been

01:35:04.320 --> 01:35:07.380
<v Sam>shocked by ac house power on a

01:35:07.380 --> 01:35:11.200
<v Sam>variety of occasions and i clearly have not died but

01:35:11.200 --> 01:35:14.300
<v Sam>you know i'm lucky also that varies like depending on like

01:35:14.300 --> 01:35:17.520
<v Sam>part of the world like in places that have 220 voltage it's

01:35:17.520 --> 01:35:20.400
<v Sam>worse than places that have 110 or whatever like we

01:35:20.400 --> 01:35:23.420
<v Sam>have or 120 i forget whatever whatever it

01:35:23.420 --> 01:35:26.900
<v Sam>is like some places in the world have double what we have or you

01:35:26.900 --> 01:35:29.760
<v Sam>know and you don't want to do that with like your your you know

01:35:29.760 --> 01:35:33.460
<v Sam>some u.s outlets are high voltage for major appliances and things like that

01:35:33.460 --> 01:35:36.840
<v Sam>you don't want to be you know trying to stick your tongue in between the plug

01:35:36.840 --> 01:35:44.440
<v Sam>and the wall no no no no absolutely not be safe whatever but but yeah nine volt

01:35:44.440 --> 01:35:47.980
<v Sam>battery you know it's probably not going to kill you you don't want to swallow it.

01:35:48.750 --> 01:35:49.610
<v Ivan>You don't want to swallow it.

01:35:49.650 --> 01:35:52.190
<v Sam>The other batteries you don't want to swallow that are particularly bad.

01:35:52.290 --> 01:35:53.370
<v Sam>You know those little button batteries.

01:35:53.430 --> 01:35:55.390
<v Ivan>The little, yeah, the little button batteries. That's it.

01:35:55.590 --> 01:36:01.650
<v Sam>Because if you actually swallow them, they can destroy your intestines.

01:36:02.030 --> 01:36:02.310
<v Ivan>Yes.

01:36:02.470 --> 01:36:06.930
<v Sam>Like that's a major, like go to the ER right now if you ever accidentally swallow

01:36:06.930 --> 01:36:09.630
<v Sam>one of those. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. Or if your pet swallows it or whatever.

01:36:10.250 --> 01:36:15.210
<v Sam>It can be, you can die a long, painful death from, you know,

01:36:15.370 --> 01:36:18.450
<v Sam>destroying your internals.

01:36:18.750 --> 01:36:20.070
<v Sam>In your digestive system.

01:36:20.190 --> 01:36:22.230
<v Ivan>Let's try to avoid doing that. Okay.

01:36:22.450 --> 01:36:29.470
<v Sam>So wait, you, you are not advocating opening a food truck that is 100% battery flavored foods.

01:36:29.810 --> 01:36:30.210
<v Ivan>Correct.

01:36:30.810 --> 01:36:33.790
<v Sam>No, I don't think it'll be success. No actual batteries either.

01:36:33.910 --> 01:36:38.590
<v Sam>Little, little bowl of button batteries as like candy appetizers.

01:36:38.790 --> 01:36:40.070
<v Ivan>No, no, no, no, no.

01:36:40.230 --> 01:36:42.370
<v Sam>Just like, just like some places give you those little mint.

01:36:42.410 --> 01:36:46.150
<v Ivan>Hey, let's wrap them in chocolate. Yeah. You know, let's go try to kill some people. Yay.

01:36:47.070 --> 01:36:52.450
<v Sam>Let's not. Just in case anybody's listed who might want to throw us in jail,

01:36:52.650 --> 01:37:00.310
<v Sam>we're not actually going to distribute batteries at Halloween inside the candy. No.

01:37:00.770 --> 01:37:00.990
<v Ivan>Yeah.

01:37:01.270 --> 01:37:05.630
<v Sam>Not happening. Okay, we are done. Thank you, everybody, for joining us yet again.

01:37:05.630 --> 01:37:08.170
<v Sam>Have a great week. Stay safe. All that kind of stuff.

01:37:09.070 --> 01:37:14.390
<v Sam>And here comes the goodbye music. Well, first, we have to say goodbye. Goodbye.

01:37:14.910 --> 01:37:15.250
<v Ivan>Goodbye.

01:37:17.670 --> 01:37:27.030
<v Break>Thank you.

01:37:46.270 --> 01:37:51.210
<v Sam>Okay, have a great birthday party. Say happy birthday to Manu for me.

01:37:51.510 --> 01:37:52.230
<v Ivan>All right, I will.

01:37:52.910 --> 01:37:53.330
<v Sam>Later.

01:37:53.870 --> 01:37:54.230
<v Ivan>All right.

