WEBVTT

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<v Sam>Okay, here we go. Intro, go!

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<v Sam>Welcome to Curmudgeon's Corner for Friday, February 14th, 2025.

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<v Sam>It's just after three UTC.

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<v Sam>I'm Sam Minter and Yvonne Boas here. Hello, Yvonne.

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<v Ivan>Hello.

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<v Sam>So as usual, I guess we're going to do a but first.

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<v Sam>And as I've promised, I am ready to resume media and talking about movies and TV and stuff.

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<v Sam>And then we'll do more serious topics later on, as time allows.

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<v Sam>Some from Yvonne, some from me. so you got any light and frothy stuff to start

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<v Sam>with or should i jump in i don't.

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<v Ivan>Have time today so i i've got a

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<v Ivan>5 a.m flight i'm back in puerto rico again i don't i don't i don't know what

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<v Ivan>what's what what what is you know i know i okay i guess the the only one tidbit

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<v Ivan>now we'll mention this and I'll make sure I keep it super short like right now for one minute.

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<v Ivan>I keep coming back to San Juan. There is one thing. This island's too fucking small.

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<v Ivan>Because I keep going to places and I keep bumping into people I know from high

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<v Ivan>school. I go around where I live.

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<v Sam>I think one recent time like last year when you were in Puerto Rico you mentioned the same thing.

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<v Ivan>This fucking island is way too damn small man. Look,

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<v Ivan>I mean I go to like the gym in Boca and

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<v Ivan>I bump into people i know but the reality is that

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<v Ivan>me going to a restaurant there whatever blah

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<v Ivan>blah blah bumping up people that doesn't happen okay it

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<v Ivan>doesn't fucking happen okay and i went to i went to a restaurant last week for

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<v Ivan>lunch and one of my high school classmates was there and came across from the

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<v Ivan>other side hey how you doing and then you know and then um and then it's a very

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<v Ivan>loud dog And then yesterday,

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<v Ivan>I went to work out at – there's a local – I go to Orange Theory Fitness.

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<v Ivan>There's one actually near the hotel.

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<v Ivan>And I went there, and there's another high school classmate of mine there saying

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<v Ivan>hi to me. I'm like, what the fuck is this?

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<v Ivan>We're only 90 – listen, dude. We're only 90 people and about 100 people that

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<v Ivan>went – my high school class. It's not like we're 3,000.

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<v Ivan>It's like two in two straight weeks. Like, you know, two straight weeks here.

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<v Ivan>It's fucking ridiculous.

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<v Ivan>So, yeah, this fucking island is way too damn small is what I realized.

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<v Sam>Very good. Okay. Good enough. I will do one.

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<v Sam>I may, I mean, going forward, need to do like two a week to catch up.

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<v Sam>But I'm only going to do one. I'm going to do one.

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<v Ivan>Okay.

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<v Sam>And that is Mitchell and the Machines.

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<v Ivan>I thought you were going to talk about Mitch McConnell for a second, but no. Okay.

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<v Sam>No, not this time. Now, to be fair, I have talked about Mitchell versus the

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<v Sam>Machines. Let me get it right.

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<v Sam>But I have talked about it on the show once before. I watched it in 2022,

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<v Sam>and apparently, for whatever reason, it came up again, and I watched it again in 2024, in May.

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<v Sam>And I'm going to give this one a thumbs up. It is a, it was a movie that was

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<v Sam>here in the U S it was a Netflix movie.

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<v Sam>I don't know if they introduced it internationally and other places,

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<v Sam>but it was, uh, it was, it was a Netflix movie.

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<v Ivan>I see 2021.

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<v Sam>Yeah. And it's a cartoon. It's sort of a, it's a little bit of a comedy slash

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<v Sam>adventure slash whatever. Anyway, big thumbs up.

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<v Sam>I, I, I really enjoyed this movie. Like I watched it twice. I enjoyed it just

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<v Sam>as much the second time around.

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<v Ivan>What was it about?

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<v Sam>Okay, so basically...

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<v Ivan>You know, just took the super short, short cliff notes.

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<v Sam>The super high-level version of it. There is this guy who is clearly modeled

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<v Sam>on Steve Jobs and Apple. Okay.

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<v Ivan>Okay.

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<v Sam>And he is introducing the newest version of the personal assistant.

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<v Sam>So the old one was like Siri and he's on a phone.

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<v Sam>The new one, the new one is like an actual robot.

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<v Ivan>Okay.

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<v Sam>And so the thing is, surprise, surprise, the robots turn evil and try to take over the world.

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<v Ivan>Such an original plot at this point.

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<v Sam>And basically, this one family, you know, ends up being the family that ends

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<v Sam>up having to fight and deal with this invasion.

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<v Ivan>Beat the robot.

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<v Sam>Like, because for whatever reason, and you see it happen in the thing,

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<v Sam>they end up not captured by the robots.

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<v Sam>Whereas, like, the entire rest of the population of Earth was captured by the robots.

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<v Ivan>Okay.

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<v Sam>And the thing is, it's funny. It's heartwarming in the right places because

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<v Sam>it's got like, you know, there's the thing about them going,

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<v Sam>going off, you know, fighting the robots and all that kind of stuff.

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<v Sam>But also there's a thing about the daughter's relationship with her dad and

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<v Sam>the, you know, and there's, you know, some family dynamic stuff going on because

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<v Sam>it's all, they're also having a road trip together and not getting along while

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<v Sam>they're having the road trip.

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<v Sam>And then there's a couple of robots that are comic relief type of things.

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<v Sam>Furbies make a cameo at one point.

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<v Ivan>Oh, Furby! Furby! Yeah!

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<v Sam>Anyway, I give it a thumbs up. I enjoyed the movie. Let's see.

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<v Sam>Reception, 53 million households watched it in the first 28 days.

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<v Sam>The Rotten Tomatoes score is 97%.

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<v Ivan>Milds, pretty good. Okay.

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<v Sam>That's pretty good. The site's critic consensus reads,

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<v Sam>eye-catching and energetic, the Mitchells versus the machines delivers a funny

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<v Sam>feel-good story that the whole family can enjoy. There you go. Anyway.

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<v Ivan>Okay. There you go.

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<v Sam>There's my media. So we can wrap up the but first really fast and get to the

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<v Sam>serious stuff so you can get the hell out of here.

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<v Ivan>Go sleep.

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<v Sam>Leave.

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<v Ivan>Oh, come on. Yeah, we have to be up early.

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<v Sam>Okay, well, this break will do. Here we go.

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<v Sam>I need to make more music. That's clearly my real career.

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<v Ivan>Yes. That's my future. Yes.

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<v Sam>That thing right there, it's amazing. It hasn't won a Grammy already.

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<v Ivan>I know. I'm shocked.

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<v Sam>Yeah, exactly.

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<v Ivan>Shocked and appalled. Just like Susan.

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<v Sam>Okay.

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<v Ivan>Always shocked and appalled.

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<v Sam>She's concerned.

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<v Ivan>Concerned. She's always concerned. Very concerned. It's always very concerned.

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<v Sam>Okay. So a lot has actually happened this week. including some stuff just in

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<v Sam>the last few hours. Where do you want to start, Yvonne?

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<v Ivan>Which stuff are you talking about the last few hours? Which ones? The tariffs?

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<v Sam>No, the last few hours is the Mayor Adams stuff with all the people resigning.

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<v Ivan>Well, no, there was other tariff stuff that happened during those hours,

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<v Ivan>too, if you didn't notice.

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<v Sam>Oh, so why don't you start with tariffs, and then I can talk about Mayor Adams

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<v Sam>and some of the other stuff in the next thing.

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<v Ivan>Well, the thing is that Trump went and announced this whole thing about,

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<v Ivan>reciprocal tariffs, which Sam remembered that it wasn't a Clancy novel back

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<v Ivan>in the 90s, but you remembered the wrong novel.

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<v Sam>Yeah, I said some of all fears, because that's really the one I always go to

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<v Sam>whenever I mention a Clancy novel.

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<v Ivan>It was the one after it was a debt of honor, not some of all fears,

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<v Ivan>which that was the start of a conflict with Japan specifically was the reciprocal tariffs.

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<v Ivan>And so he did the announcement,

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<v Ivan>And then very shortly after, but they were starting immediately,

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<v Ivan>then said that he postponed them. I don't know.

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<v Sam>This is what he's done with every tariff so far. Every single one so far.

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<v Ivan>Except the China ones.

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<v Sam>True China did go into effect.

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<v Ivan>Yeah, except the China one. But every single other one, it's been,

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<v Ivan>I mean, he literally went, like, not, like, I mean,

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<v Ivan>it's probably why you missed it, because it happened almost like,

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<v Ivan>I'm like, I'm reading the announcement first about the tariffs and then I'm going to wait. Huh?

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<v Sam>Well, I missed the immediate part because I saw an update earlier today.

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<v Sam>There's like some group is going to study it and blah, blah,

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<v Sam>blah, and come back with recommendations, blah, blah, blah.

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<v Ivan>So look, this was...

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<v Sam>I mean, I know a few days ago he said it was going to start today.

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<v Ivan>1910 UTC.

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<v Sam>Yes.

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<v Ivan>Trump moved... Bloomberg News, breaking news.

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<v Ivan>trump moved to impose reciprocal

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<v Ivan>tariffs on u.s training partners with no clear doubt

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<v Ivan>there okay yeah because then he said with no clear date

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<v Ivan>when it would take effect because originally said immediate and so

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<v Ivan>that's why it actually happened so quickly then bloomberg

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<v Ivan>was able to combine it into

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<v Ivan>the one breaking news thing

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<v Ivan>because others said oh trump announced let

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<v Ivan>me see it's got to be let me see in

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<v Ivan>in in in in cnbc they

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<v Ivan>because they went and i saw hey tariffs tariffs tariffs are coming okay trump

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<v Ivan>signed sweeping reciprocal tariff plan says more coming that was seven hours

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<v Ivan>ago okay okay and then so that one that i wrote from Bloomberg was a little bit later.

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<v Ivan>Oh, yeah, we don't know the date.

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<v Ivan>So, people said that the stock market went up today because they were like, yeah, whatever.

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<v Ivan>He's just going to say every week there's fucking tariffs to somebody.

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<v Ivan>I'm like, whatever. Who cares?

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<v Ivan>And then he's going to back off most of them. And so, who the fuck cares?

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<v Sam>Well, yeah, and this, like, at least in theory, the notion is for each one of

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<v Sam>these individual countries, they'll give some sort of concession and it'll result

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<v Sam>in the backing off or there'll be the holes and exceptions.

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<v Ivan>There'll be some victory, yeah. Well, I mean, I'm sure that,

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<v Ivan>you know, also we had the aluminum and steel tariffs that he announced.

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<v Sam>Right, right. Those were like a day.

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<v Ivan>Which those were also a couple of days ago. I'm going to guess that he's going

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<v Ivan>to back them off pretty quick.

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<v Ivan>Coke Cola today. You know, we know he loves Diet Coke.

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<v Ivan>And I don't know if you've noticed that for the most part, he drinks it out

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<v Ivan>of a can. And I don't know if you've noticed that.

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<v Sam>I have not noticed, but okay.

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<v Ivan>But usually he is drinking it out of a can.

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<v Ivan>Coke said today that if they do put those aluminum tariffs in,

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<v Ivan>that they may have to reduce making almost any of their products in aluminum

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<v Ivan>and have to use plastic in the U.S.

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<v Sam>Okay.

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<v Ivan>So if he gets a hold of that, well, that will put a hole already in the aluminum tariffs right away.

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<v Sam>Just Donald Trump's consumption of Diet Coke.

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<v Ivan>Yes.

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<v Ivan>oh you don't think i'm being you don't think i'm being rational i'm not analyzing

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<v Ivan>this rationally of course he's like if they tell him hey boss yeah he said they

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<v Ivan>can't make the diet coke anymore because of your aluminum tears i'll cancel him it.

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<v Sam>Wouldn't be surprising.

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<v Ivan>I mean And I mean, I fully expect that's going to be the case.

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<v Sam>Look, I mean, the things to remember here are all of these are performative

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<v Sam>and all of them are transactional and nothing is well thought out either.

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<v Ivan>No, no, no.

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<v Sam>Yeah. And this applies not just to the tariffs, but practically anything else

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<v Sam>he's been doing so far, because the whole theory of operations is, hey, nobody can stop me.

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<v Sam>I can do whatever the fuck I want. So I'm just going to like order what I want

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<v Sam>and then figure it out later.

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<v Sam>and so sometimes that means things are getting stopped by the courts sometimes

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<v Sam>that means things are having unintended consequences beyond what he wanted.

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<v Ivan>Sometimes it means that here's another one that he said today well here's another

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<v Ivan>one that he said today that led to a massive drop in defense stocks real quickly

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<v Ivan>this was today this is all fucking today this fucking i hate this goddamn administration,

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<v Ivan>today this was at 3.53pm this was like after the fucking tarot thing the Fed

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<v Ivan>stocks dropped after Trump says pentabon,

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<v Ivan>Pentagon spending. Yes, Pentagon spending.

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<v Sam>Yes.

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<v Ivan>Halved. Okay?

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<v Sam>Yes.

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<v Ivan>And then a couple of hours later, he's telling the Europeans,

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<v Ivan>hey, you need to buy more American weapons.

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<v Ivan>And then right afterwards, he tells Modi, hey, can I tell you some F-35s?

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<v Ivan>That was this afternoon.

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<v Sam>I don't even know what to say. Like, look.

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<v Ivan>What the heck did he talk to? Was that today, too?

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<v Sam>I think so. Wasn't it this morning?

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<v Ivan>What the heck did this goddamn illustration?

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<v Sam>For those of you on audio only, Yvonne is, like, holding his head in his hands. And, yeah.

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<v Ivan>That was all today!

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<v Sam>Yes. That is all today. Like, he...

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<v Sam>And here's the thing. And this, this, this comes back to several themes we've

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<v Sam>had before. Like we've talked about, look at what they do, not what they say.

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<v Sam>And we've, we've talked about, you know, I don't know, like I have a note here.

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<v Sam>One of the things I wanted to talk about process versus results versus appearance.

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<v Sam>Like, because on the one hand, he's saying all of these really alarming things,

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<v Sam>but only some of them actually end up translating into actions.

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<v Sam>Now, the ones that do translate into actions are almost universally bad.

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<v Sam>But even when it's just him talking like you're it's the president of the fucking United States.

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<v Ivan>Exactly.

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<v Sam>You know, when he says something, people can't just ignore it.

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<v Sam>They have. Yeah. So. So, yes, he says something about, you know,

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<v Sam>cutting the Pentagon spending in half and the stock market goes crazy.

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<v Ivan>Right.

00:16:01.500 --> 00:16:08.080
<v Sam>You know, and, and, and, and meanwhile, people are also having to take seriously,

00:16:08.260 --> 00:16:10.920
<v Sam>okay, if you actually did cut it in half, what would that look like?

00:16:11.280 --> 00:16:15.740
<v Sam>What would happen? Like, what, what would that mean to our defense posture and

00:16:15.740 --> 00:16:17.680
<v Sam>all of this kind of stuff? And,

00:16:18.740 --> 00:16:25.080
<v Sam>So you have to pay some attention to what he says, even if it doesn't, like, happen.

00:16:26.480 --> 00:16:33.780
<v Sam>But you also have to, like, sort of calm down, wait a little bit, see what does happen.

00:16:34.060 --> 00:16:37.660
<v Sam>Because, like you said, announce tariffs and then unannounce them five minutes later.

00:16:38.260 --> 00:16:44.760
<v Ivan>Did you see what Elon's kid said? I sent the video. I don't think that was doctored.

00:16:45.120 --> 00:16:48.720
<v Sam>No, he said several things. One of them was sort of like, you're,

00:16:48.720 --> 00:16:51.160
<v Sam>you're not the real president. You have to get out of here.

00:16:51.520 --> 00:16:53.420
<v Ivan>Uh, one of the things he said.

00:16:53.420 --> 00:17:00.680
<v Sam>Yes, yes, he did.

00:17:01.640 --> 00:17:06.460
<v Sam>He, I think he also said something about you have to shut up now as well.

00:17:06.620 --> 00:17:11.160
<v Sam>At one point it was something similar. I might not be word for word.

00:17:11.720 --> 00:17:17.940
<v Sam>Um, you know, and, and people are like, of course he's just imitating his dad. what his dad says.

00:17:18.120 --> 00:17:22.580
<v Ivan>Right? It has to be. I didn't come up with that shit. He's like, what, four?

00:17:23.240 --> 00:17:24.400
<v Sam>Something like that four.

00:17:25.360 --> 00:17:26.720
<v Ivan>I'm sure you're his dad.

00:17:26.860 --> 00:17:29.100
<v Sam>Named Axe, of course. His name is Axe.

00:17:29.320 --> 00:17:34.040
<v Ivan>Fuck, I swear to God. You know, that kid, when he turns into a teenager,

00:17:34.340 --> 00:17:36.280
<v Ivan>will fucking hate his father.

00:17:37.060 --> 00:17:41.820
<v Ivan>I mean, I can put money right now down and guarantee that one right now.

00:17:42.660 --> 00:17:44.140
<v Sam>Like the rest of Elon's kids.

00:17:44.300 --> 00:17:48.040
<v Ivan>Like the rest of his kids. I mean, not exactly. I'm not exactly.

00:17:48.060 --> 00:17:49.900
<v Sam>What's he got now, like 15 or something?

00:17:50.020 --> 00:17:51.780
<v Ivan>Oh, who knows? I don't know.

00:17:52.340 --> 00:17:55.540
<v Sam>You know, because Elon's also, of course, said that, you know,

00:17:55.580 --> 00:17:59.520
<v Sam>it's part of his mission to sort of impregnate as many women as possible with

00:17:59.520 --> 00:18:00.660
<v Sam>as many kids as possible.

00:18:01.560 --> 00:18:05.640
<v Sam>You know, you know, you have to preserve his magnificent genes.

00:18:06.100 --> 00:18:12.060
<v Ivan>Well, speaking of of this whole thing with with with how, you know,

00:18:12.180 --> 00:18:14.900
<v Ivan>what he says versus what actually happened on that.

00:18:15.080 --> 00:18:15.200
<v Sam>Right.

00:18:15.320 --> 00:18:19.720
<v Ivan>Right. You know, we've heard all the noise around what he's done,

00:18:19.740 --> 00:18:24.200
<v Ivan>you know, with Elon in terms of job cuts and stuff. Right. OK,

00:18:24.320 --> 00:18:25.820
<v Ivan>so we've heard a lot of that.

00:18:26.180 --> 00:18:31.000
<v Ivan>And there was the New York Times had an actual like little tracker that they

00:18:31.000 --> 00:18:34.300
<v Ivan>put on how much he's actually done so far.

00:18:35.680 --> 00:18:39.860
<v Ivan>And, you know, we're talking really at this point.

00:18:40.710 --> 00:18:45.730
<v Ivan>Really a handful of employees. Okay. And the thing is that the big thing was USAID.

00:18:46.070 --> 00:18:52.590
<v Ivan>Where he did take that agency. You know, it's been, all their work has been stopped.

00:18:53.470 --> 00:18:53.630
<v Sam>Right.

00:18:54.510 --> 00:19:00.770
<v Ivan>And there was a financial impact to a lot of farmers.

00:19:01.570 --> 00:19:06.230
<v Ivan>Because they were, there was a big buyer of U.S.

00:19:06.950 --> 00:19:10.370
<v Ivan>farm products. Billions of dollars of it.

00:19:10.710 --> 00:19:16.930
<v Ivan>And so he completely screwed, Elon, a whole bunch of farmers that are now,

00:19:17.110 --> 00:19:20.590
<v Ivan>of course, that they voted for Trump and now are pissed off.

00:19:20.810 --> 00:19:24.050
<v Sam>We mentioned that last week. Part of it was the USAID, but apparently there

00:19:24.050 --> 00:19:27.390
<v Sam>are other grants to farmers that were also paused.

00:19:27.610 --> 00:19:29.530
<v Sam>So they're basically getting screwed left and right.

00:19:29.590 --> 00:19:34.750
<v Ivan>No, no, no. They were buying those farm products to give away the vote.

00:19:34.750 --> 00:19:38.870
<v Sam>No, I'm saying, yeah, yes, the USAID thing that you were mentioning,

00:19:39.030 --> 00:19:42.430
<v Sam>but also other grants to farmers were also paused.

00:19:42.630 --> 00:19:44.910
<v Sam>So they're getting screwed left and right, you know?

00:19:45.010 --> 00:19:48.050
<v Ivan>Yeah, so the farmers are like, you know, but all of a sudden,

00:19:48.250 --> 00:19:49.850
<v Ivan>as we have been mentioning,

00:19:50.710 --> 00:19:57.470
<v Ivan>this is, the only people that seem to be MAGA that are complaining about stuff

00:19:57.470 --> 00:20:00.570
<v Ivan>is when, now that they're actually, because they're not hurting the other people

00:20:00.570 --> 00:20:04.670
<v Ivan>they expected to get hurt, because they're getting hurt, okay? Right.

00:20:04.870 --> 00:20:06.850
<v Ivan>That's the only reason. That's the only reason.

00:20:07.110 --> 00:20:11.070
<v Ivan>But the number of employees right now that has been impacted has been relatively

00:20:11.070 --> 00:20:13.470
<v Ivan>small at this at this stage.

00:20:14.050 --> 00:20:19.850
<v Ivan>I know that they're asking for, you know, you know, the all these people to be cut.

00:20:19.850 --> 00:20:25.630
<v Ivan>The one group of employees that seems to be really getting hammered like right

00:20:25.630 --> 00:20:29.470
<v Ivan>away is anybody that, you know, I don't even know.

00:20:29.650 --> 00:20:34.250
<v Ivan>I've never been at a company that puts employees on probation for more than 30 days.

00:20:34.710 --> 00:20:37.770
<v Ivan>Well, I didn't realize that the federal government like does that for,

00:20:37.890 --> 00:20:39.730
<v Ivan>you know, for so many employees that for such.

00:20:40.070 --> 00:20:44.050
<v Ivan>I saw that some provisions in federal government can last up to two years.

00:20:44.570 --> 00:20:47.590
<v Sam>Oh, OK. Yeah, because I was reading that and I was thinking,

00:20:47.750 --> 00:20:50.010
<v Sam>OK, that's just the 60 days or something.

00:20:50.230 --> 00:20:53.130
<v Ivan>No, it was like probations that could be one to two years.

00:20:54.450 --> 00:20:55.170
<v Sam>That's crazy.

00:20:55.410 --> 00:20:59.010
<v Ivan>It is a crazy amount of time. You

00:20:59.010 --> 00:21:02.170
<v Ivan>know, yeah, I mean, I've never heard of probations that were that long.

00:21:02.370 --> 00:21:06.550
<v Ivan>So so a lot of those people have been getting, you know, getting,

00:21:06.810 --> 00:21:12.110
<v Ivan>you know, just just yeah, just fireball, which is just, you know,

00:21:12.490 --> 00:21:15.610
<v Ivan>the whole thing about a lot of this.

00:21:15.690 --> 00:21:19.350
<v Ivan>It's just There's just so There's just so,

00:21:20.850 --> 00:21:26.870
<v Ivan>There's no thought to it. And, you know, it goes into, like,

00:21:27.030 --> 00:21:31.490
<v Ivan>what Elon already did at Twitter, where he got rid of a whole bunch of people

00:21:31.490 --> 00:21:33.290
<v Ivan>and then had to go call him.

00:21:33.470 --> 00:21:40.410
<v Ivan>Hey, can you come back? We can't run this shit without you. You know?

00:21:40.550 --> 00:21:40.710
<v Sam>Right.

00:21:41.390 --> 00:21:50.310
<v Ivan>Kind of a thing. So there's no method to the madness in any of this.

00:21:50.310 --> 00:21:57.550
<v Ivan>And like you mentioned, they talk about the deficit, talk about the deficit,

00:21:57.550 --> 00:22:03.150
<v Ivan>and that's why they're cutting the employees. The current annual deficit is

00:22:03.150 --> 00:22:05.130
<v Ivan>about to be two trillion dollars.

00:22:06.050 --> 00:22:13.050
<v Ivan>You fired all the employees in the federal government. You could fire them all, all, all.

00:22:13.470 --> 00:22:17.290
<v Ivan>My estimate is that maybe you could save 100 to 200 billion dollars total.

00:22:17.530 --> 00:22:20.250
<v Ivan>That's it. That's firing them all. all of

00:22:20.250 --> 00:22:23.610
<v Ivan>them the employee head count and the

00:22:23.610 --> 00:22:26.810
<v Ivan>federal government is is like not even

00:22:26.810 --> 00:22:29.690
<v Ivan>i mean it's like it's you know the the budget

00:22:29.690 --> 00:22:33.110
<v Ivan>the budget is like four trillion dollars if i remember correctly right right

00:22:33.110 --> 00:22:37.530
<v Ivan>now five trillion no more like five six trillion dollars 200 billion dollars

00:22:37.530 --> 00:22:43.110
<v Ivan>is nothing it's nothing out of that budget it's just nothing so they are going

00:22:43.110 --> 00:22:47.070
<v Ivan>it's the entire performative thing because this goes and does shock and awe.

00:22:47.450 --> 00:22:49.870
<v Ivan>This shows that we are in charge.

00:22:50.410 --> 00:22:53.930
<v Ivan>We are going in and we're marching in and we're doing this.

00:22:54.110 --> 00:22:59.130
<v Ivan>But really in terms of addressing the deficit, it's a complete joke.

00:22:59.350 --> 00:23:03.430
<v Ivan>And it's a total joke, especially with the tax cuts they're talking about trying

00:23:03.430 --> 00:23:07.390
<v Ivan>to do on the other end because, I mean, all of that will be eaten up with one

00:23:07.390 --> 00:23:10.370
<v Ivan>of those tax cuts like that. Okay? Okay.

00:23:10.790 --> 00:23:14.130
<v Sam>So, so that's what I was going to say.

00:23:14.270 --> 00:23:20.050
<v Sam>Like lately, like, yes, in the past, there has been a lot of talk about deficits recently.

00:23:20.670 --> 00:23:25.790
<v Sam>Like when you hear Elon talk or whatever, it's all about like waste and inefficiency

00:23:25.790 --> 00:23:28.410
<v Sam>and fraud. That's what he keeps saying.

00:23:29.090 --> 00:23:33.270
<v Sam>Like, and saying that this, this or that is like, we shouldn't be spending money

00:23:33.270 --> 00:23:34.930
<v Sam>on that. We shouldn't be spending money on this.

00:23:35.090 --> 00:23:37.990
<v Sam>Of course, ignoring the fact that in almost all cases we're

00:23:37.990 --> 00:23:41.790
<v Sam>spending money because there was a law passed that said we should but yeah

00:23:41.790 --> 00:23:48.070
<v Sam>but you know basically fraud efficiency blah blah blah blah blah but that that's

00:23:48.070 --> 00:23:52.110
<v Sam>clearly not what they're actually doing and like you said like it's not about

00:23:52.110 --> 00:24:00.510
<v Sam>deficit either if anything it's about trying to pay for his tax cuts that he wants to do but now but.

00:24:00.510 --> 00:24:04.610
<v Ivan>Even that isn't enough here here's a problem and i and i pulled this information

00:24:04.610 --> 00:24:11.110
<v Ivan>today to try to understand why we are where we are related to the deficit in

00:24:11.110 --> 00:24:13.210
<v Ivan>taxes. And look, since 2015.

00:24:14.510 --> 00:24:18.370
<v Ivan>The last 10 years, our U.S.

00:24:18.510 --> 00:24:22.670
<v Ivan>GDP has grown about somewhere over 50 odd percent.

00:24:22.970 --> 00:24:28.070
<v Ivan>Okay. So the economy has had huge growth over the last 10 years.

00:24:28.330 --> 00:24:33.910
<v Ivan>The problem is tax receipts have barely gone up less than 10 percent.

00:24:34.210 --> 00:24:37.210
<v Ivan>And that does not compute. That is not sustainable.

00:24:37.550 --> 00:24:42.490
<v Ivan>You can't be in an economy that is growing that added $10 trillion,

00:24:42.910 --> 00:24:45.950
<v Ivan>okay, to the economy over that

00:24:45.950 --> 00:24:50.410
<v Ivan>time period and only collect an extra few hundred billion in extra taxes.

00:24:50.670 --> 00:24:53.870
<v Ivan>There's just no way. It shouldn't be that way.

00:24:54.010 --> 00:24:58.790
<v Ivan>And that's a big thing with all these damn tax cuts that have come in with the

00:24:58.790 --> 00:25:00.830
<v Ivan>Trump administration and, you know,

00:25:00.890 --> 00:25:06.890
<v Ivan>in his administration at first that went and like took revenues down 2020 you

00:25:06.890 --> 00:25:10.310
<v Ivan>know the the pandemic also caused an expansion of the deficit,

00:25:10.870 --> 00:25:15.290
<v Ivan>and the reality is that tax receipts did not start growing again until biden

00:25:15.290 --> 00:25:20.090
<v Ivan>came into office again okay because there were some tax increases there were

00:25:20.090 --> 00:25:23.770
<v Ivan>some loophole schools there were because he went and he put people in the irs

00:25:23.770 --> 00:25:26.430
<v Ivan>so they would go after collecting taxes from people,

00:25:27.110 --> 00:25:33.970
<v Ivan>These guys, what they want, they want to move IRS agents to go do immigration shit.

00:25:34.290 --> 00:25:37.150
<v Ivan>Like, they don't even know what the fuck they're doing.

00:25:38.570 --> 00:25:44.870
<v Ivan>And so, that's going to dent receipts. You can't run a fucking business where

00:25:44.870 --> 00:25:48.430
<v Ivan>you don't get money. I mean, you need to collect money.

00:25:48.810 --> 00:25:52.730
<v Ivan>It's not just about spending money. Of course, Elon's doing that with Twitter.

00:25:52.730 --> 00:25:57.270
<v Ivan>I mean, right now, we basically, you know, fucking like drove revenue down 90%.

00:25:57.270 --> 00:26:01.470
<v Ivan>And also, he's doing a great job with Tesla right now because in January,

00:26:01.910 --> 00:26:08.350
<v Ivan>globally, electric car sales were soared and his sales plummeted.

00:26:09.010 --> 00:26:14.470
<v Ivan>Great job, Elon. You're doing great. I really am looking forward to the next

00:26:14.470 --> 00:26:16.870
<v Ivan>quarter's fucking financial results from Tesla.

00:26:16.870 --> 00:26:20.510
<v Ivan>Because unless there's a head fake somewhere in those numbers,

00:26:20.730 --> 00:26:25.390
<v Ivan>it's going to be a monumental disaster for the company.

00:26:25.830 --> 00:26:30.770
<v Ivan>Why? Because he's fucking around with a whole bunch of goddamn Nazi teenagers

00:26:30.770 --> 00:26:36.150
<v Ivan>going around, pulling reports, ordering people to do shit, and none of them

00:26:36.150 --> 00:26:38.650
<v Ivan>have any clue about what the fuck they're telling them to do.

00:26:39.420 --> 00:26:46.060
<v Sam>Well, look, the key important part to remember on what the Trumpies are trying

00:26:46.060 --> 00:26:51.320
<v Sam>to do to the government is that, of course, they're not looking to make it more efficient.

00:26:51.540 --> 00:26:53.860
<v Sam>Of course, they're not looking to make it work better.

00:26:54.180 --> 00:27:00.560
<v Sam>Of course, fundamentally, what they want is to break it.

00:27:02.500 --> 00:27:06.340
<v Sam>They're anti-government. They want to break it. It's not about money.

00:27:06.480 --> 00:27:10.780
<v Sam>It's not about deficits. It's not about any of that stuff.

00:27:10.940 --> 00:27:17.220
<v Sam>It's about breaking it, with the possible exception of any parts of government

00:27:17.220 --> 00:27:19.660
<v Sam>that they can directly use for their personal benefit.

00:27:21.060 --> 00:27:28.960
<v Ivan>The thing is that those things and those goals will wind up hurting a lot of people.

00:27:29.820 --> 00:27:32.180
<v Ivan>And I mean, it's going to happen.

00:27:32.580 --> 00:27:33.220
<v Sam>Yes.

00:27:33.580 --> 00:27:37.500
<v Ivan>It's going to happen. It's not kind of like it's going to happen.

00:27:37.500 --> 00:27:38.820
<v Sam>It's already happening.

00:27:39.300 --> 00:27:45.060
<v Ivan>Like, small scale stuff. Look, what I'm talking, I'm talking about recession,

00:27:45.320 --> 00:27:48.140
<v Ivan>financial crisis, kind of fucking horse shit again.

00:27:48.500 --> 00:27:51.960
<v Ivan>I mean, that's the kind of level shit I'm talking about.

00:27:52.240 --> 00:27:58.060
<v Sam>I mean, there, if you ramp up the firing of government employees,

00:27:58.060 --> 00:28:02.980
<v Sam>you got to remember the government's a significant employer in this country. You're going to have.

00:28:04.320 --> 00:28:06.180
<v Ivan>It's going to create a recession.

00:28:06.180 --> 00:28:09.100
<v Sam>You're you're gonna drive up unemployment you're gonna

00:28:09.100 --> 00:28:12.680
<v Sam>cause people to not spend money other folks

00:28:12.680 --> 00:28:15.760
<v Sam>are gonna panic like you said it's all psychological

00:28:15.760 --> 00:28:18.840
<v Sam>and this stuff builds on itself and yeah you're you're

00:28:18.840 --> 00:28:22.500
<v Sam>gonna cause a recession and it's like

00:28:22.500 --> 00:28:27.860
<v Sam>you know you you and when these folks came in things were actually in pretty

00:28:27.860 --> 00:28:34.780
<v Sam>good shape it's like they're purposely cracking it yes yes i mean the tariffs

00:28:34.780 --> 00:28:39.420
<v Sam>too for that matter yeah you know if any of them ever actually get put on and

00:28:39.420 --> 00:28:41.860
<v Sam>stay on of course it's inflationary.

00:28:41.860 --> 00:28:42.600
<v Ivan>Yes,

00:28:45.940 --> 00:28:47.080
<v Ivan>loud kaboom.

00:28:47.080 --> 00:28:52.980
<v Sam>Yes there was a loud kaboom on my side okay i don't know who knows they happen

00:28:52.980 --> 00:28:56.060
<v Sam>here I don't know. Can't tell you why.

00:28:56.540 --> 00:28:58.980
<v Ivan>Okay, as long as you're not worried. Okay.

00:28:59.480 --> 00:29:03.020
<v Sam>I am not worried at the moment. No bullet has come through the window.

00:29:03.640 --> 00:29:07.480
<v Ivan>No, that did not sound like a bullet. I've heard bullets. That sounded more like an explosion.

00:29:08.500 --> 00:29:12.100
<v Sam>There are explosions here all the time. I don't know what to tell you. Okay, all right.

00:29:12.860 --> 00:29:16.200
<v Sam>Unlike last time you heard an explosion while we were recording,

00:29:16.400 --> 00:29:20.800
<v Sam>we determined the Seahawks had just won a game. I don't think that's the case right now.

00:29:21.000 --> 00:29:24.540
<v Ivan>No, that's not. That's right. Yeah. Yeah, yeah, yeah. That's true.

00:29:25.020 --> 00:29:28.000
<v Ivan>Yes. Yeah, there's no. Okay. All right.

00:29:28.940 --> 00:29:35.780
<v Ivan>Anyway, you know, I had shared this polling data about how people reacted,

00:29:36.360 --> 00:29:37.900
<v Ivan>have been reacting to this.

00:29:38.600 --> 00:29:45.320
<v Ivan>You go did this, did this survey of they were doing the, you know,

00:29:45.460 --> 00:29:50.300
<v Ivan>is the country on a good track, bad track bullshit thing? OK, right.

00:29:50.820 --> 00:29:53.560
<v Ivan>Pretty interesting inflections that happened over the last.

00:29:53.660 --> 00:29:57.260
<v Sam>Which, by the way, I've always disliked that particular. metric.

00:29:57.720 --> 00:29:58.580
<v Ivan>It's a terrible metric.

00:29:58.940 --> 00:30:04.080
<v Sam>Because you can be unhappy with the right track,

00:30:04.080 --> 00:30:09.080
<v Sam>wrong track because you think they're not doing enough of something or they're

00:30:09.080 --> 00:30:14.120
<v Sam>doing too much of something and either way you think it's wrong track. Go ahead.

00:30:14.400 --> 00:30:21.800
<v Ivan>The interesting thing was just because I also always find a question also it's

00:30:21.800 --> 00:30:26.320
<v Ivan>kind of like it's not, I don't think it's the right question the way it's posed.

00:30:26.320 --> 00:30:31.440
<v Sam>OK, but it's useful because this this particular question has been tracked for

00:30:31.440 --> 00:30:32.680
<v Sam>decades and decades and decades.

00:30:33.060 --> 00:30:36.000
<v Ivan>But regardless, the one thing that was more important that I that I found with

00:30:36.000 --> 00:30:38.060
<v Ivan>this was the trends that were in it.

00:30:38.160 --> 00:30:42.060
<v Ivan>OK, because it did it did have, you know, it did have things that were done

00:30:42.060 --> 00:30:46.280
<v Ivan>by by age group and other things and so forth.

00:30:46.660 --> 00:30:51.740
<v Ivan>And it had what happened, say, since the election.

00:30:51.740 --> 00:30:55.000
<v Ivan>okay and what's happened at the inaugural and

00:30:55.000 --> 00:30:58.380
<v Ivan>post the election okay very interesting

00:30:58.380 --> 00:31:01.240
<v Ivan>things that i saw in there about this like one thing

00:31:01.240 --> 00:31:05.140
<v Ivan>was the reaction by a lot of people after

00:31:05.140 --> 00:31:13.160
<v Ivan>the election okay how wrong track like uh good you know on the right track surged

00:31:13.160 --> 00:31:19.540
<v Ivan>by quite a lot okay according the day before the election it was like uh let's

00:31:19.540 --> 00:31:23.280
<v Ivan>see it was like somewhere in the uh 54.

00:31:24.300 --> 00:31:27.300
<v Ivan>It was like you know let me see 21st

00:31:27.300 --> 00:31:32.440
<v Ivan>of january 2021 54.5 to 30.5 i'm looking at on my phone because i don't another

00:31:32.440 --> 00:31:36.360
<v Ivan>place to look at it where i can look at more in detail but you look at right

00:31:36.360 --> 00:31:43.080
<v Ivan>after the election it dipped like like it went down to like it was like at 48

00:31:43.080 --> 00:31:47.060
<v Ivan>or 42 so it was Whereas before,

00:31:47.220 --> 00:31:50.140
<v Ivan>there was a 40-point gap to it.

00:31:50.300 --> 00:31:54.260
<v Ivan>It closed to a 7-point gap right after the election.

00:31:55.040 --> 00:31:58.700
<v Ivan>So that was a big shift in sentiment.

00:31:59.200 --> 00:32:04.900
<v Ivan>Now, the one thing that I found interesting was how the move really was different by age group.

00:32:06.430 --> 00:32:13.750
<v Ivan>The biggest mover in the age groups that I saw was under 30 years old.

00:32:14.210 --> 00:32:20.470
<v Ivan>The under 30 years old, okay, before the election, now I finally was able to narrow it here.

00:32:20.690 --> 00:32:27.630
<v Ivan>Right before the election, they were at 54.6 wrong track, 35.2 right track.

00:32:27.630 --> 00:32:37.090
<v Ivan>The day after the election, it flipped 54% right track, 32% wrong track,

00:32:37.390 --> 00:32:39.330
<v Ivan>right after the election. Okay?

00:32:39.670 --> 00:32:39.890
<v Sam>Okay.

00:32:40.290 --> 00:32:47.590
<v Ivan>Now, but, but, since, you know, stuff has been happening, and especially you

00:32:47.590 --> 00:32:53.090
<v Ivan>can see that after the inauguration, it started just flipping again.

00:32:53.090 --> 00:33:00.170
<v Ivan>I mean, in the weeks just post the inauguration, it's like the wrong track is

00:33:00.170 --> 00:33:04.630
<v Ivan>now it took like a dull it was like it seems like, according to this,

00:33:04.710 --> 00:33:07.890
<v Ivan>like sometime in 30th by by December,

00:33:08.450 --> 00:33:13.390
<v Ivan>by the 23rd of December, about about then late December, wrong track was back

00:33:13.390 --> 00:33:14.910
<v Ivan>ahead on the young group.

00:33:14.910 --> 00:33:20.510
<v Ivan>I guess, like, 40 days later, they realize, oh, fuck, okay, after the election,

00:33:20.630 --> 00:33:24.230
<v Ivan>this was really bad that we voted for this clown, okay?

00:33:24.490 --> 00:33:26.710
<v Ivan>So it was back to 47-38.

00:33:27.130 --> 00:33:33.850
<v Ivan>Right now, it's at 49-36. So basically, the right track went down from the election day.

00:33:34.090 --> 00:33:40.910
<v Ivan>From 54, they went green right track, to 36, two months later.

00:33:41.410 --> 00:33:46.910
<v Ivan>I mean, it's a 20-point drop. But that under 30 group is nuts.

00:33:47.210 --> 00:33:51.610
<v Ivan>It's all I can say about this right now. This fucking group is fucked up.

00:33:51.670 --> 00:33:54.410
<v Ivan>Because if you look at the older groups, here's the one thing.

00:33:54.710 --> 00:33:57.950
<v Ivan>The 65 group did have a change.

00:33:58.770 --> 00:34:02.590
<v Ivan>It was post-election more than anything.

00:34:02.890 --> 00:34:08.450
<v Ivan>It was actually post-inauguration. Where it was 67, wrong track,

00:34:08.610 --> 00:34:11.530
<v Ivan>and it's dropped now to 55. Okay?

00:34:12.150 --> 00:34:17.210
<v Ivan>It's still they think it's mostly wrong track But only went from 67 to 55 After

00:34:17.210 --> 00:34:20.390
<v Ivan>he got he got voted 45 to 64 45.

00:34:21.470 --> 00:34:24.990
<v Ivan>We were at 68% wrong track before the inauguration.

00:34:25.490 --> 00:34:30.390
<v Ivan>Now it's like 50-40 still, you know, wrong track, you know, but,

00:34:30.430 --> 00:34:36.790
<v Ivan>but, you know, yeah, it's like for some reason that group, you know, now 30 to 44.

00:34:37.470 --> 00:34:40.770
<v Ivan>Here's the interesting thing. They went, they were.

00:34:40.770 --> 00:34:42.090
<v Sam>There's an interesting thing. Go ahead.

00:34:42.310 --> 00:34:46.370
<v Ivan>There's a very interesting thing about this one. They were right before inauguration.

00:34:46.370 --> 00:34:49.570
<v Ivan>they had been wrong track 60 percent

00:34:49.570 --> 00:34:52.410
<v Ivan>right track 30 right after the

00:34:52.410 --> 00:34:55.270
<v Ivan>inauguration they went they were half of that 50 50

00:34:55.270 --> 00:35:02.790
<v Ivan>44 44 they tied it now two weeks later wrong track surged to get the 58 percent

00:35:02.790 --> 00:35:08.130
<v Ivan>to 33 they're back in the other way okay so it's like that those that young

00:35:08.130 --> 00:35:13.930
<v Ivan>group under 40 The volatility of how they are seeing this,

00:35:15.430 --> 00:35:21.970
<v Ivan>Is ridiculously wide I guess what it looks like is that Oh my god,

00:35:22.170 --> 00:35:25.270
<v Ivan>we're changing the government We're getting rid of the old guy Biden Yeah,

00:35:25.470 --> 00:35:28.130
<v Ivan>yeah, yeah, Trump's gonna come in and fix it Yeah, yeah, yeah,

00:35:28.190 --> 00:35:29.470
<v Ivan>then like a little bit later,

00:35:30.350 --> 00:35:33.410
<v Ivan>Holy shit, what the fuck were we talking about?

00:35:33.850 --> 00:35:38.530
<v Ivan>Oh my god, this is terrible Okay, so now they're going back the other way Only

00:35:38.530 --> 00:35:40.350
<v Ivan>in a span of like three months.

00:35:40.350 --> 00:35:47.430
<v Sam>Yeah i i think i think there are a few things there i mean one is the younger

00:35:47.430 --> 00:35:54.410
<v Sam>you are the less you've seen and this is a truism but like there's been less

00:35:54.410 --> 00:35:57.210
<v Sam>back and forth that is within your experience more of that massive.

00:35:57.210 --> 00:35:59.970
<v Ivan>Insight so the younger you are the less you've seen really.

00:35:59.970 --> 00:36:04.130
<v Sam>Okay thank you thanks sam okay yeah we're.

00:36:04.130 --> 00:36:05.850
<v Ivan>Really giving the people you know the.

00:36:05.850 --> 00:36:11.950
<v Sam>The point is, if it's the first new president since you've really been paying

00:36:11.950 --> 00:36:16.370
<v Sam>attention, for instance, then like, oh, everything's going to change,

00:36:16.490 --> 00:36:17.450
<v Sam>new president, blah, blah, blah.

00:36:17.650 --> 00:36:19.930
<v Sam>Once you've been through four or five presidents.

00:36:20.690 --> 00:36:24.830
<v Sam>You're like, okay, it's a new president until proven otherwise.

00:36:25.410 --> 00:36:30.490
<v Sam>We assume things are going to basically be the same with a few little changes here and there.

00:36:30.630 --> 00:36:33.450
<v Sam>And then of course you get Donald Trump blowing everything fucking up,

00:36:33.450 --> 00:36:37.470
<v Sam>but you know where, and so I think that's part of it.

00:36:37.570 --> 00:36:39.910
<v Sam>And I think part of it is like what we've talked about before,

00:36:39.910 --> 00:36:44.730
<v Sam>just in terms of attention economy and people are paying attention at all or

00:36:44.730 --> 00:36:50.750
<v Sam>knowing what, or understanding what they're seeing or the import of it you know you have all.

00:36:50.750 --> 00:36:55.430
<v Ivan>Believing trump in his word like for example yes i mean like i don't know i

00:36:55.430 --> 00:36:56.770
<v Ivan>guess in the last the chinese pay.

00:36:56.770 --> 00:36:57.550
<v Sam>The tariffs right.

00:36:57.550 --> 00:37:02.450
<v Ivan>The chinese pay the tariffs he was gonna he's gonna eliminate inflation on day

00:37:02.450 --> 00:37:08.310
<v Ivan>one or a day what i don't know 20 something how's inflation doing sam should.

00:37:08.310 --> 00:37:09.890
<v Sam>We do an egg price check.

00:37:09.890 --> 00:37:13.310
<v Ivan>Yeah should we do an egg price check as a matter of fact i heard that eggs are

00:37:13.310 --> 00:37:18.130
<v Ivan>at a record high right now so he he was not able They've.

00:37:18.130 --> 00:37:21.470
<v Sam>Been in record highs for like at least a week, maybe two now.

00:37:22.030 --> 00:37:26.470
<v Sam>I thought I saw someone say that like the average price nationwide was like

00:37:26.470 --> 00:37:28.110
<v Sam>double what it was a few weeks ago.

00:37:28.110 --> 00:37:31.710
<v Ivan>Correct. So so so he didn't just lower egg prices.

00:37:32.390 --> 00:37:36.270
<v Ivan>And oh, by the way, how is that Palestinian?

00:37:36.650 --> 00:37:42.730
<v Ivan>How is that that plan? So because many people turned on Biden because he didn't

00:37:42.730 --> 00:37:48.050
<v Ivan>have the right plan to stop Israel and what they were doing in Gaza.

00:37:48.310 --> 00:37:50.230
<v Ivan>How is that new plan coming, Sam?

00:37:51.200 --> 00:37:55.500
<v Sam>Um, we're going to bulldoze the whole place and make all the condos.

00:37:56.220 --> 00:38:00.360
<v Sam>Oh, by, by the way, based on like I had said last week, like if Donald Trump

00:38:00.360 --> 00:38:06.040
<v Sam>really was at all sincere on this, he'd invite all the Palestinians to the U

00:38:06.040 --> 00:38:09.400
<v Sam>S he specifically set was asked that question.

00:38:09.680 --> 00:38:15.180
<v Sam>It was like, no, no, it's too far away. They, they need to go somewhere closer.

00:38:15.720 --> 00:38:20.640
<v Sam>Like it's, you know, they, it wouldn't know. So yeah, no, he doesn't want any of them here.

00:38:21.800 --> 00:38:28.500
<v Ivan>Oh my god you didn't want him here oh you know poor thing you know so yeah so

00:38:28.500 --> 00:38:32.780
<v Ivan>I mean you know I don't know,

00:38:35.400 --> 00:38:39.680
<v Ivan>he's doing what he said he was I mean he's doing what he said he was gonna do

00:38:39.680 --> 00:38:43.720
<v Ivan>many people didn't believe him now all of a sudden people are realizing oh he

00:38:43.720 --> 00:38:50.340
<v Ivan>is really gonna eat our faces like he said he was oh I mean shit I thought he was just kidding.

00:38:51.000 --> 00:38:57.800
<v Sam>Yeah it's all bluster well and look some of it is bluster that's the thing you like what.

00:38:57.800 --> 00:39:03.600
<v Ivan>No some of it is bluster but a lot of it is really hurting well and frankly even.

00:39:03.600 --> 00:39:09.500
<v Sam>The thing even the things that are bluster like if he could do it he would.

00:39:09.500 --> 00:39:11.080
<v Ivan>Oh yeah like.

00:39:11.080 --> 00:39:12.760
<v Sam>Like you know like you could.

00:39:12.760 --> 00:39:16.080
<v Ivan>Like the citizen like a birthright citizenship thing like.

00:39:16.080 --> 00:39:19.660
<v Sam>Birthright citizenship like canada the 51st state Like Greenland,

00:39:20.120 --> 00:39:23.600
<v Sam>like you can give all these reasons why these things might not happen,

00:39:23.600 --> 00:39:30.120
<v Sam>but you like more than one person has now said like Trudeau on Canada was like,

00:39:30.300 --> 00:39:32.860
<v Sam>was caught on an off mic moment this week,

00:39:33.540 --> 00:39:37.960
<v Sam>basically telling people, oh yeah, Donald's completely serious about the 51st state thing.

00:39:37.960 --> 00:39:41.100
<v Ivan>Well, that they should be, you know, that he said that they should be rightfully

00:39:41.100 --> 00:39:43.460
<v Ivan>concerned about it. Absolutely. Yes.

00:39:44.040 --> 00:39:48.820
<v Ivan>No, absolutely. They shouldn't just, like, ignore the threat. Yes.

00:39:49.060 --> 00:39:49.240
<v Sam>Right.

00:39:50.100 --> 00:39:50.500
<v Ivan>Absolutely.

00:39:52.560 --> 00:39:56.100
<v Ivan>So, I derailed you at one point. You wanted to talk about Eric Adams.

00:39:56.900 --> 00:40:00.380
<v Sam>Well, I said you could do this stuff for this segment, and we can take a break,

00:40:00.400 --> 00:40:02.120
<v Sam>and we'll come back and talk about that other stuff.

00:40:02.460 --> 00:40:06.140
<v Sam>And I was just about to say, let's take that break.

00:40:06.440 --> 00:40:06.840
<v Ivan>Okay.

00:40:06.840 --> 00:40:11.120
<v Sam>And, you know, we'll come back. I'll start with Eric Adams and maybe a couple

00:40:11.120 --> 00:40:14.160
<v Sam>other little things. We'll see back after this.

00:41:14.260 --> 00:41:20.860
<v Sam>Okay, before I get to Eric Adams, I'm just noticing one piece of unconfirmed breaking news.

00:41:21.140 --> 00:41:22.320
<v Ivan>Oh, God, now what?

00:41:23.020 --> 00:41:26.120
<v Sam>Well, it's just weird, and maybe it's not even real.

00:41:26.400 --> 00:41:31.100
<v Sam>I haven't—usually I would wait until see confirmation from somewhere else.

00:41:31.160 --> 00:41:32.160
<v Sam>But what the hell, we're recording.

00:41:32.860 --> 00:41:37.180
<v Sam>U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's plane, which was on the way to Germany

00:41:37.180 --> 00:41:40.920
<v Sam>for the Munich Security Conference, has turned around for unknown reasons.

00:41:41.740 --> 00:41:44.180
<v Sam>Yeah, well, we should be happy.

00:41:44.260 --> 00:41:45.320
<v Ivan>It's just a problem.

00:41:45.420 --> 00:41:47.300
<v Sam>Could be anything. Mechanical issue.

00:41:47.780 --> 00:41:48.220
<v Ivan>Yeah.

00:41:48.360 --> 00:41:51.960
<v Sam>Somebody threw up on the plane and they need to clean the rug. You know.

00:41:52.500 --> 00:41:54.580
<v Ivan>Your shit is bad. I mean, who knows?

00:41:57.220 --> 00:42:00.400
<v Sam>Probably nothing, but just still weird. Like, usually for these,

00:42:00.400 --> 00:42:06.380
<v Sam>like, diplomatic flights, they're fairly, you know, it's notable when anything happens, you know?

00:42:07.200 --> 00:42:08.240
<v Ivan>Okay. Well.

00:42:08.400 --> 00:42:17.320
<v Sam>Okay. Anyway, Eric Adams, mayor of New York, indicted for a variety of corruption-related

00:42:17.320 --> 00:42:21.640
<v Sam>stuff. I think he was doing some work for the government of Turkey.

00:42:22.080 --> 00:42:27.340
<v Sam>He was taking, you know, all kinds of stuff. Basically, guy's shady as fuck, okay?

00:42:27.840 --> 00:42:30.120
<v Ivan>Yes. And, you know, the— That much is certain.

00:42:30.760 --> 00:42:35.280
<v Sam>Yeah. I mean, and, like, New York elected him anyway because he was anti-crime,

00:42:35.440 --> 00:42:38.880
<v Sam>whatever, whatever, but, like— I mean.

00:42:38.980 --> 00:42:41.380
<v Ivan>There were some questions about him, but he wasn't.

00:42:41.400 --> 00:42:42.540
<v Sam>There were already questions.

00:42:42.720 --> 00:42:46.540
<v Ivan>No, no, no. There were questions. There's no doubt a question.

00:42:46.780 --> 00:42:47.440
<v Sam>But no answer.

00:42:48.960 --> 00:42:55.660
<v Ivan>But it wasn't like there were like some clear smoking guns. He was a cop.

00:42:55.860 --> 00:42:58.340
<v Ivan>He's whatever. There were some questions about some of this stuff.

00:42:58.760 --> 00:43:02.060
<v Ivan>But, you know, they didn't seem to be.

00:43:02.700 --> 00:43:07.160
<v Ivan>They didn't seem to reach the level of like, OK, we need to be really,

00:43:07.160 --> 00:43:11.980
<v Ivan>you know. Well, he still voted me, basically. That's what I see.

00:43:12.760 --> 00:43:19.360
<v Sam>So anyway, he was indicted by the Justice Department, and the court things were

00:43:19.360 --> 00:43:22.100
<v Sam>still going on. But basically, he looks really guilty.

00:43:22.720 --> 00:43:26.820
<v Sam>Yes. I know he has not yet been convicted by a jury of his peers.

00:43:26.980 --> 00:43:32.720
<v Ivan>But look, there's been a lot of investigations around him by a lot of the local

00:43:32.720 --> 00:43:36.960
<v Ivan>media that uncovered quite a lot of shady things. and he was associated with

00:43:36.960 --> 00:43:38.500
<v Ivan>quite a lot of shady people.

00:43:38.800 --> 00:43:43.040
<v Ivan>And it pretty much seems that, yeah, based on what we have seen,

00:43:43.360 --> 00:43:45.020
<v Ivan>yeah, he looks pretty good.

00:43:45.600 --> 00:43:50.640
<v Sam>Yes. So now here's the thing. Starting...

00:43:51.470 --> 00:43:54.890
<v Sam>even before the inauguration, but accelerating after the inauguration,

00:43:55.110 --> 00:44:02.210
<v Sam>there was talk about how Adams was trying to negotiate with Trump to get the charges dropped.

00:44:03.450 --> 00:44:12.030
<v Sam>And a few days ago, Trump did indeed announce that they were dropping the charges.

00:44:12.270 --> 00:44:18.190
<v Sam>And very specifically, they were going to, and by the way, the way it works,

00:44:18.270 --> 00:44:24.250
<v Sam>you have to request the Judd. You have to make a request to the judge to dismiss the case.

00:44:24.450 --> 00:44:27.250
<v Sam>So it's not, you know, they can't do it unilaterally.

00:44:28.050 --> 00:44:34.950
<v Sam>The judge has to agree. But they were making a request specifically to dismiss

00:44:34.950 --> 00:44:39.830
<v Sam>without prejudice, which means that they could bring back charges.

00:44:40.190 --> 00:44:44.430
<v Ivan>By the way, update is a crack in the windshield. And there will be a point.

00:44:44.890 --> 00:44:50.530
<v Sam>Ah, OK. There you go. Answer given. So presumably they're going to land and

00:44:50.530 --> 00:44:51.630
<v Sam>switch planes and then he's going to go.

00:44:51.630 --> 00:44:51.850
<v Ivan>Yes.

00:44:52.890 --> 00:44:53.610
<v Sam>No one dead?

00:44:54.050 --> 00:44:54.450
<v Ivan>No.

00:44:55.050 --> 00:44:59.270
<v Sam>No. Oh, well. No, that sounded wrong. Not, oh, well, like sad,

00:44:59.590 --> 00:45:02.970
<v Sam>you know, too bad at that, you know. Anyway.

00:45:04.690 --> 00:45:08.850
<v Sam>All the best to Mr. Rubio and his staff and other people on the plane. Okay.

00:45:10.090 --> 00:45:13.470
<v Sam>Adams, so they said, we're going to do it without prejudice.

00:45:13.470 --> 00:45:17.990
<v Sam>And so people started pointing out, look, what this means is essentially that

00:45:17.990 --> 00:45:21.710
<v Sam>the Trump administration has leverage.

00:45:22.030 --> 00:45:26.310
<v Sam>Like there's this stuff going on all over the country where they're trying to

00:45:26.310 --> 00:45:31.810
<v Sam>pressure states and cities to cooperate with the immigration stuff,

00:45:32.030 --> 00:45:35.350
<v Sam>you know, to help kick people out.

00:45:35.350 --> 00:45:40.870
<v Sam>And now they've basically got something that says, hey, Eric Adams,

00:45:41.310 --> 00:45:43.490
<v Sam>you do what the administration wants.

00:45:44.130 --> 00:45:51.650
<v Sam>These charges never come back. But if, on the other hand, you don't do what we want, guess what?

00:45:51.730 --> 00:45:52.570
<v Sam>We're going to charge you again.

00:45:52.570 --> 00:45:57.770
<v Sam>And in the memo announcing that they were going to do these pardons,

00:45:58.010 --> 00:46:04.910
<v Sam>it even explicitly said that one of the reasons is that the mayor could not

00:46:04.910 --> 00:46:10.870
<v Sam>properly execute on his duties while he was under indictment and had to go to

00:46:10.870 --> 00:46:13.190
<v Sam>trial and this was politically motivated.

00:46:13.370 --> 00:46:17.730
<v Sam>Oh, and we will reassess whether or not to put these charges after the next

00:46:17.730 --> 00:46:19.390
<v Sam>mayoral election in New York.

00:46:20.400 --> 00:46:25.640
<v Sam>So, but, so it was almost explicit, right?

00:46:25.920 --> 00:46:32.860
<v Sam>And, but then today we're, we're basically getting one of these Saturday night massacre situations.

00:46:33.300 --> 00:46:40.140
<v Sam>Of course it's Thursday night, but the, because central department of justice

00:46:40.140 --> 00:46:46.880
<v Sam>told the, you know, the, the New York AG to drop the case.

00:46:47.220 --> 00:46:47.740
<v Ivan>Right.

00:46:47.980 --> 00:46:49.240
<v Sam>And she wouldn't.

00:46:49.580 --> 00:46:50.040
<v Ivan>Right.

00:46:50.040 --> 00:46:52.420
<v Sam>She issued a long memo.

00:46:52.440 --> 00:46:54.060
<v Ivan>And by the way, this is a Trump-appointed AG.

00:46:54.680 --> 00:46:59.520
<v Sam>Yeah, this is an acting AG that's only been on a job a few weeks because she

00:46:59.520 --> 00:47:02.960
<v Sam>was appointed by Trump to be acting during this time period.

00:47:04.020 --> 00:47:10.700
<v Sam>And she refused, basically saying that there's no basis in law to drop this

00:47:10.700 --> 00:47:11.700
<v Sam>and I'm not going to cooperate.

00:47:12.340 --> 00:47:17.480
<v Sam>And then there's this footnote that she added. She just threw this in a footnote.

00:47:17.660 --> 00:47:18.980
<v Sam>Did you read the footnote, Yvonne?

00:47:18.980 --> 00:47:21.860
<v Ivan>I did not get to read the footnote. What did the footnote say?

00:47:22.700 --> 00:47:26.160
<v Sam>Footnote on her message that said, by the way, I'm not going to do this.

00:47:26.240 --> 00:47:28.820
<v Sam>And if you have a problem with that, I will submit my resignation.

00:47:29.660 --> 00:47:35.540
<v Sam>Footnote. I attended a meeting on January 31st, 2025 with Mr.

00:47:35.700 --> 00:47:39.300
<v Sam>Bove, Adams' counsel, and members of my office.

00:47:39.900 --> 00:47:44.600
<v Sam>Adams' attorney repeatedly urged what amounted to a quid pro quo,

00:47:44.600 --> 00:47:50.240
<v Sam>indicating that Adams would be in a position to assist with the department's

00:47:50.240 --> 00:47:53.360
<v Sam>enforcement priorities only if the indictment were dismissed.

00:47:53.820 --> 00:47:59.340
<v Sam>Mr. Bove admonished a member of my team who took notes during that meeting and

00:47:59.340 --> 00:48:02.340
<v Sam>directed the collection of those notes at the meeting's conclusions.

00:48:03.070 --> 00:48:11.070
<v Sam>So, basically, in her letter saying no, she provided witness testimony of the

00:48:11.070 --> 00:48:12.330
<v Sam>fact that they were making this.

00:48:12.730 --> 00:48:15.690
<v Sam>Well, at least that the quid pro quo was offered.

00:48:15.830 --> 00:48:16.210
<v Ivan>Offered.

00:48:16.670 --> 00:48:20.370
<v Sam>And then add that to the text of the memo itself.

00:48:21.710 --> 00:48:25.850
<v Ivan>And then dismiss it without prejudice, which means, yeah, we're, yeah.

00:48:26.550 --> 00:48:33.410
<v Sam>And so, she refused. Apparently, a couple other members of her staff also refused

00:48:33.410 --> 00:48:35.670
<v Sam>and also resigned when asked to do this.

00:48:36.030 --> 00:48:41.150
<v Sam>Then the request was sent back to Maine Justice, and I guess three more people

00:48:41.150 --> 00:48:43.530
<v Sam>at Maine Justice also resigned over this.

00:48:43.970 --> 00:48:49.470
<v Sam>Last I heard, which was like an hour and a half ago, we were up to six Department

00:48:49.470 --> 00:48:53.190
<v Sam>of Justice attorneys refusing to do this.

00:48:53.190 --> 00:48:58.770
<v Sam>and as of now the paperwork has not actually been filed to request the dismissal

00:48:58.770 --> 00:49:03.470
<v Sam>of charges which makes you after all of this also wonder even if they get a

00:49:03.470 --> 00:49:07.970
<v Sam>lawyer i mean i'm sure they'll eventually fire enough people they'll get the judge.

00:49:07.970 --> 00:49:11.330
<v Ivan>Will dismiss it because the one thing is the judge may go and just say fuck

00:49:11.330 --> 00:49:13.570
<v Ivan>you know this is not being dismissed which.

00:49:13.570 --> 00:49:18.370
<v Sam>They can do and they can also appoint somebody else to be the prosecutor correct

00:49:18.370 --> 00:49:22.490
<v Sam>yes like that that has happened in a couple of cases before where the government

00:49:22.490 --> 00:49:26.730
<v Sam>has it's very unusual from what i understand and i think yeah but this.

00:49:26.730 --> 00:49:29.290
<v Ivan>Is this but this but this is a kind of situation that.

00:49:29.290 --> 00:49:33.450
<v Sam>Basically and i'm not i'm not sure yeah i'm not sure i've heard of it happening

00:49:33.450 --> 00:49:37.610
<v Sam>in criminal charges i know i've had it's happened in civil cases i've.

00:49:37.610 --> 00:49:38.690
<v Ivan>Heard it in criminal charges.

00:49:38.690 --> 00:49:40.370
<v Sam>Okay yeah,

00:49:41.190 --> 00:49:45.430
<v Sam>So, so yeah, I I'm thinking like the judge is going to be like, screw you.

00:49:45.610 --> 00:49:52.890
<v Sam>I read all this stuff, you know, because, because even the memo from Pam Bondi

00:49:52.890 --> 00:49:56.510
<v Sam>or whatever, saying that they were going to do this specifically said,

00:49:56.510 --> 00:50:00.410
<v Sam>this is not because of the law or the facts. This is because of this other stuff.

00:50:00.910 --> 00:50:05.770
<v Sam>And, and so like, so I don't know what,

00:50:05.770 --> 00:50:15.090
<v Sam>what's interesting here is that this is one of the first cases where we're seeing

00:50:15.090 --> 00:50:21.690
<v Sam>this level of resistance to the Trump orders from Trumpies.

00:50:21.790 --> 00:50:23.490
<v Sam>Like you said, this was a Trump nominee.

00:50:24.050 --> 00:50:30.830
<v Sam>She apparently has the acting New York AG, whatever her title was,

00:50:30.950 --> 00:50:34.710
<v Sam>was apparently full of conservative credentials.

00:50:34.950 --> 00:50:39.310
<v Sam>She clerked for Scalia. She's on the Federalist Society.

00:50:39.710 --> 00:50:42.770
<v Sam>She's like, blah, blah, blah. All of the things you could see.

00:50:43.390 --> 00:50:45.630
<v Sam>And she's still like, no, no.

00:50:45.990 --> 00:50:53.090
<v Ivan>But look, man, I mean, it's one of those things where Trump is not surrounding

00:50:53.090 --> 00:50:54.570
<v Ivan>himself with conservatives.

00:50:55.210 --> 00:50:55.690
<v Sam>No.

00:50:55.890 --> 00:51:02.010
<v Ivan>He is surrounding himself with criminals. If you're a criminal, you're a friend.

00:51:02.350 --> 00:51:06.170
<v Ivan>I mean, he went and he pardoned Blagojevic, okay?

00:51:06.350 --> 00:51:09.250
<v Sam>Yes. who he commuted previously four years ago.

00:51:09.270 --> 00:51:11.470
<v Ivan>And now he fully pardoned, okay?

00:51:11.630 --> 00:51:11.770
<v Sam>Yep.

00:51:12.770 --> 00:51:17.730
<v Ivan>You know, now he wants to pardon Adams. He pardoned all the J6ers.

00:51:18.050 --> 00:51:20.690
<v Ivan>He pardoned a whole bunch of other fucking criminals.

00:51:21.050 --> 00:51:26.230
<v Ivan>I mean, it's people that were out and out fucking criminals.

00:51:26.970 --> 00:51:33.110
<v Ivan>And just because, hey, if you're a criminal, you're with me. We're in a crime family.

00:51:33.930 --> 00:51:41.810
<v Sam>Yes. I mean, there's so many moves here that are directly related to enabling corruption.

00:51:42.770 --> 00:51:47.250
<v Ivan>Jesus Christ, talk about, you want to talk about, and I was talking about this

00:51:47.250 --> 00:51:49.890
<v Ivan>week, a move to enable corruption.

00:51:50.290 --> 00:51:58.290
<v Ivan>It's this whole thing where they ordered the DOJ to not investigate violations

00:51:58.290 --> 00:52:00.850
<v Ivan>of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act.

00:52:00.850 --> 00:52:01.690
<v Sam>Yes.

00:52:01.890 --> 00:52:08.810
<v Ivan>Which is basically the act that makes it that people that work at multinational

00:52:08.810 --> 00:52:14.750
<v Ivan>companies doing business in other countries cannot go and bribe foreign government officials.

00:52:15.130 --> 00:52:19.770
<v Ivan>You cannot. And if you do so, you will be prosecuted in the United States.

00:52:19.990 --> 00:52:26.070
<v Ivan>I had a boss of mine that was prosecuted and jailed for FCPA violations. Okay.

00:52:26.330 --> 00:52:30.670
<v Sam>All right. And by the way, this is not like a new law that came up under Biden

00:52:30.670 --> 00:52:31.990
<v Sam>or something. This has been a long time.

00:52:31.990 --> 00:52:33.090
<v Ivan>It was from the 70s.

00:52:33.270 --> 00:52:33.430
<v Sam>Okay?

00:52:34.210 --> 00:52:38.490
<v Ivan>Many people I know have been investigated and gone to jail for this,

00:52:38.730 --> 00:52:40.930
<v Ivan>okay? Companies have been investigated.

00:52:42.710 --> 00:52:48.390
<v Ivan>But here is the thing about this. The fact that they order to not prosecute

00:52:48.390 --> 00:52:50.770
<v Ivan>doesn't mean the law is gone.

00:52:51.590 --> 00:52:51.690
<v Sam>Right.

00:52:52.270 --> 00:52:57.810
<v Ivan>So what does that make? So what creates is a situation where,

00:52:58.710 --> 00:53:04.270
<v Ivan>If you are a company that is friends with this administration,

00:53:04.270 --> 00:53:08.270
<v Ivan>you can go to try to earn business in another country.

00:53:08.630 --> 00:53:14.210
<v Ivan>You can feel probably free to provide any of the bribes that you want to earn that business.

00:53:14.970 --> 00:53:19.150
<v Ivan>And you will not be prosecuted. Hell, you'll probably be pardoned,

00:53:19.150 --> 00:53:22.130
<v Ivan>even if you just in case, just to cover your tracks.

00:53:22.130 --> 00:53:25.610
<v Ivan>OK, and if you're a competitor of them and try to offer the same money,

00:53:25.770 --> 00:53:28.830
<v Ivan>you might wind up being the one being prosecuted because you're going against

00:53:28.830 --> 00:53:33.490
<v Ivan>it because you're going against the guy that wants that they want to win the business.

00:53:33.650 --> 00:53:35.810
<v Sam>Right. Because it can be completely selective.

00:53:36.330 --> 00:53:42.590
<v Ivan>Exactly. So this is this is an it just creates an insane situation.

00:53:42.590 --> 00:53:47.590
<v Ivan>I mean, all I know is that anybody, look, I know that I'm not,

00:53:47.750 --> 00:53:52.970
<v Ivan>I, listen, if I'm an employee of a company that is under, you know,

00:53:53.430 --> 00:53:55.650
<v Ivan>that does this, I mean, I would be,

00:53:56.250 --> 00:53:58.910
<v Ivan>look, I don't care that they're not being prosecuted.

00:53:58.910 --> 00:54:03.790
<v Ivan>And I can't, we can't be involved in this, but the reality is that there will

00:54:03.790 --> 00:54:08.950
<v Ivan>be companies that will completely disregard this because they have gone to Mar-a-Lago

00:54:08.950 --> 00:54:11.190
<v Ivan>many times and wine and dine them and whatever,

00:54:11.390 --> 00:54:14.030
<v Ivan>and they feel confident that, you know, they're not going to be prosecuted.

00:54:14.190 --> 00:54:18.310
<v Ivan>And so, therefore, they will go all out, basically pay off anybody they got

00:54:18.310 --> 00:54:21.870
<v Ivan>to get the business, and their competitors can't do anything about it.

00:54:22.870 --> 00:54:31.690
<v Ivan>This is the kind of Robert Barron capitalism that we haven't had in this country

00:54:31.690 --> 00:54:34.870
<v Ivan>for really more for 100 years at that level.

00:54:35.070 --> 00:54:39.550
<v Sam>And by the way, the one thing you mentioned, the Farah law or whatever,

00:54:39.810 --> 00:54:47.870
<v Sam>is only one of like half a dozen examples of them eliminating groups that do

00:54:47.870 --> 00:54:49.270
<v Sam>enforcement of these things.

00:54:50.070 --> 00:54:56.630
<v Sam>Or telling them not to. Or openly saying, well, this is how we're going to do it.

00:54:56.750 --> 00:55:00.610
<v Sam>I mean, the stupid Adams thing that we started this conversation.

00:55:00.870 --> 00:55:05.930
<v Sam>Right. How this is like as blatant a corruption is okay with us.

00:55:06.150 --> 00:55:10.650
<v Sam>As long as you do what we want, what we want you to message as you possibly can do.

00:55:10.930 --> 00:55:11.470
<v Ivan>Yes.

00:55:11.970 --> 00:55:23.090
<v Sam>You know? And so I expect more like, you know, it's just blatant and open.

00:55:23.090 --> 00:55:32.950
<v Sam>And this is something that has been part of Donald's modus operandi for years and years and years.

00:55:33.050 --> 00:55:38.550
<v Sam>He refined it some during his first presidency, but he'd been doing it even before,

00:55:38.810 --> 00:55:46.730
<v Sam>is that if you do the crime out in the open, then just people are like,

00:55:46.850 --> 00:55:48.590
<v Sam>oh, well, he did that, I guess.

00:55:48.590 --> 00:55:51.970
<v Sam>I guess it must be okay. Like, if it was wrong, he'd be hiding it.

00:55:51.970 --> 00:55:58.750
<v Sam>But instead, it is completely about like, hey, no, yes, I'm doing quid pro quos.

00:55:59.070 --> 00:56:02.110
<v Sam>That's just how you do business. That's how it should be.

00:56:02.430 --> 00:56:06.810
<v Sam>That's how it should be. You know, if you want something from me,

00:56:06.990 --> 00:56:09.250
<v Sam>you give me something, you know?

00:56:09.510 --> 00:56:17.070
<v Ivan>By the way, apparently this news at 6 o'clock Eastern had come out on inflation,

00:56:17.290 --> 00:56:22.850
<v Ivan>just a newsflash. Wholesale prices also in January rose by a,

00:56:23.670 --> 00:56:26.350
<v Ivan>way higher number than expected so.

00:56:26.350 --> 00:56:29.530
<v Sam>Okay so moving away from

00:56:29.530 --> 00:56:33.270
<v Sam>uh corruption for a minute or to a different kind of corruption uh

00:56:33.270 --> 00:56:36.370
<v Sam>we we we mentioned musk's kid

00:56:36.370 --> 00:56:39.890
<v Sam>in the oval office but let's talk

00:56:39.890 --> 00:56:43.290
<v Sam>about that whole thing for a little bit because i was

00:56:43.290 --> 00:56:46.890
<v Sam>i was actually listening to like last week's show and i

00:56:46.890 --> 00:56:49.970
<v Sam>said something about how yeah musk was doing xyz

00:56:49.970 --> 00:56:52.850
<v Sam>and he was tweeting and stuff but he wasn't as much like

00:56:52.850 --> 00:56:55.830
<v Sam>you know on tv and stuff and then

00:56:55.830 --> 00:56:59.470
<v Sam>like right after we put out that show he

00:56:59.470 --> 00:57:02.890
<v Sam>goes and like has this media thing

00:57:02.890 --> 00:57:05.970
<v Sam>in the oval office donald trump like

00:57:05.970 --> 00:57:09.110
<v Sam>basically introduces him and says like okay elon's gonna

00:57:09.110 --> 00:57:12.010
<v Sam>talk now and then donald trump just sits there

00:57:12.010 --> 00:57:15.850
<v Sam>while elon talks for like 90 minutes or something wasn't

00:57:15.850 --> 00:57:18.730
<v Sam>that long maybe not quite but it was a long

00:57:18.730 --> 00:57:21.610
<v Sam>time it was like at least

00:57:21.610 --> 00:57:24.470
<v Sam>more than half an hour i think it was like 45 minutes or something

00:57:24.470 --> 00:57:30.450
<v Sam>i i'm making shit up i'm pulling numbers out of my ass so it was long let's

00:57:30.450 --> 00:57:37.390
<v Sam>just say that it was a long time i there were there were uh people like covering

00:57:37.390 --> 00:57:43.590
<v Sam>on the news going like is he still talking he's still talking i guess he's still talking i didn't watch.

00:57:43.590 --> 00:57:44.790
<v Ivan>It but but.

00:57:44.790 --> 00:57:49.250
<v Sam>Well obviously i didn't watch it either. But, you know, from the highlights,

00:57:49.490 --> 00:57:52.710
<v Sam>I mean, he's doing the same kind of bullshit Trump does.

00:57:52.870 --> 00:57:56.230
<v Sam>And Elon does it too. He's known for it.

00:57:56.710 --> 00:58:01.890
<v Sam>Like making stuff up, telling, I mean, he was called on one of the things that

00:58:01.890 --> 00:58:07.890
<v Sam>came out of his effort that had spread all over the right-wing media ecosystem,

00:58:08.110 --> 00:58:09.610
<v Sam>including Donald Trump saying it himself,

00:58:09.850 --> 00:58:14.810
<v Sam>was this whole thing about one of the things USAID doing being spending $50

00:58:14.810 --> 00:58:17.030
<v Sam>million for condoms to Gaza.

00:58:18.490 --> 00:58:19.450
<v Ivan>Okay.

00:58:19.910 --> 00:58:25.210
<v Sam>Turns out there were condoms,

00:58:26.270 --> 00:58:31.150
<v Sam>But it was going to a different Gaza. There's a Gaza province in Mozambique.

00:58:32.050 --> 00:58:32.210
<v Ivan>Oh.

00:58:32.850 --> 00:58:37.150
<v Sam>Okay. Now, I think the 50 million number was wrong, too, because it was condoms

00:58:37.150 --> 00:58:39.890
<v Sam>to a larger area. Yeah, because that's how.

00:58:40.630 --> 00:58:44.890
<v Sam>And, like, Elon, when asked about this, there were a couple things he said.

00:58:45.030 --> 00:58:47.930
<v Sam>One was, well, you know, I'm going to make mistakes.

00:58:49.290 --> 00:58:52.690
<v Sam>I'll correct them when I find them. But, you know, I'll make mistakes occasionally.

00:58:52.690 --> 00:58:56.910
<v Sam>That's okay. But I don't understand why we're buying condoms for anybody.

00:58:57.290 --> 00:59:01.010
<v Sam>And of course, it's part of the anti-AIDS program.

00:59:02.110 --> 00:59:05.090
<v Sam>It's part of the program to reduce the spread of AIDS.

00:59:07.390 --> 00:59:14.730
<v Sam>And of course, nobody in this, not that they would care anyway that it was about

00:59:14.730 --> 00:59:20.470
<v Sam>reducing the spread of AIDS, but there's not even looking at things deeply enough to know that.

00:59:21.270 --> 00:59:25.490
<v Sam>They've got the wrong physical location. They've got the wrong number.

00:59:25.950 --> 00:59:29.470
<v Sam>They understand, oh, condoms were bought. They don't understand why.

00:59:29.470 --> 00:59:32.610
<v Sam>They didn't even bother to look into it, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera.

00:59:33.650 --> 00:59:39.050
<v Sam>And you could make an argument that says, okay, maybe we shouldn't be buying

00:59:39.050 --> 00:59:41.970
<v Sam>condoms as part of an anti-AIDS effort in Southern Africa.

00:59:42.410 --> 00:59:45.970
<v Sam>You could make that argument. I would probably disagree with you and say it's

00:59:45.970 --> 00:59:50.350
<v Sam>actually a good use of money. but you could make that argument in a,

00:59:50.350 --> 00:59:53.870
<v Sam>in a honest way. They're not even close to that.

00:59:54.110 --> 00:59:56.830
<v Sam>They're just like, they don't know. They're just, they're just like,

00:59:56.890 --> 00:59:58.390
<v Sam>Oh, look at this number. This is funny.

00:59:58.530 --> 01:00:02.130
<v Sam>And this doesn't make sense. And so we'll, we'll, we'll make a stink about it

01:00:02.130 --> 01:00:03.330
<v Sam>without even looking into it.

01:00:04.230 --> 01:00:12.690
<v Sam>But the thing is with, you know, not Elon took over the Oval Office for that time period.

01:00:12.890 --> 01:00:16.110
<v Sam>Donald Trump was just sitting there twiddling his freaking thumbs.

01:00:16.890 --> 01:00:22.930
<v Sam>Musk was pontificating. Musk, as I think Lawrence O'Donnell on MSNBC pointed

01:00:22.930 --> 01:00:29.430
<v Sam>out, he also sort of exerted his influence by the fact that he dressed down. He was not in a suit.

01:00:29.650 --> 01:00:34.490
<v Sam>He did sort of the billionaire casual sort of thing.

01:00:35.110 --> 01:00:40.770
<v Sam>He brought his kid in and brought his kid in in a way where he just let his

01:00:40.770 --> 01:00:44.450
<v Sam>kid run around and say stuff and tell the president he wasn't really the president.

01:00:44.990 --> 01:00:47.790
<v Sam>All of these are sort of power dominance moves.

01:00:48.810 --> 01:00:52.010
<v Sam>I'm going to come in there without a suit, I'm going to come in there without

01:00:52.010 --> 01:00:53.990
<v Sam>a kid, and there's not a damn thing you can do about it.

01:00:55.460 --> 01:00:55.880
<v Ivan>With a kid.

01:00:56.200 --> 01:01:01.000
<v Sam>With a kid. With, you know, yes. With a kid who's not being,

01:01:01.020 --> 01:01:03.280
<v Sam>like, politely behaved, by the way.

01:01:03.500 --> 01:01:06.980
<v Sam>Like, there are appropriate places to bring kids to the White House.

01:01:07.100 --> 01:01:12.000
<v Sam>I mean, you know, there's all kinds of pictures of all presidents going back,

01:01:12.080 --> 01:01:17.220
<v Sam>as long as there were photographs, of kids in the White House doing stuff with the president.

01:01:17.460 --> 01:01:21.760
<v Ivan>You know, I'm sure Elon knows this. Donald Trump doesn't really like kids.

01:01:21.980 --> 01:01:22.460
<v Sam>Yes.

01:01:22.460 --> 01:01:22.740
<v Ivan>Either.

01:01:22.960 --> 01:01:26.760
<v Sam>Yes. The only thing he could have done worse than bringing a kid would be to bring a dog.

01:01:27.180 --> 01:01:32.300
<v Ivan>Right. He doesn't like dogs either. So, you know, bringing an eagle,

01:01:32.500 --> 01:01:35.900
<v Ivan>like, you know, that eagle that he had that picture of that scared the shit

01:01:35.900 --> 01:01:38.700
<v Ivan>out of him at his office, you know, Trump Tower.

01:01:39.060 --> 01:01:42.940
<v Sam>So here's the thing, Yvonne. What do you think is going on with this dynamic?

01:01:43.100 --> 01:01:49.000
<v Sam>Because we talked even before Inauguration Day about how eventually this Donald

01:01:49.000 --> 01:01:50.380
<v Sam>Elon thing is going to break.

01:01:50.380 --> 01:01:57.980
<v Ivan>I think that right now he sees them as useful because the reality is so much.

01:01:58.320 --> 01:02:00.720
<v Sam>Donald thinks Elon is useful or the other way around.

01:02:00.900 --> 01:02:05.260
<v Ivan>Donald thinks that Elon is useful because who's taking the heat for most of

01:02:05.260 --> 01:02:09.340
<v Ivan>this right now for all the doge stuff for all the government like stuff for.

01:02:09.740 --> 01:02:13.920
<v Ivan>And by the way, stuff that that shit is popular with his base.

01:02:14.480 --> 01:02:18.300
<v Ivan>They owe, you know, all these lazy federal federal employees.

01:02:18.580 --> 01:02:22.380
<v Ivan>You know, we need to get rid of these bastards. too many of them, you know?

01:02:22.980 --> 01:02:28.200
<v Sam>Yeah, it's one of those things, and this goes back to the, I'll talk a little

01:02:28.200 --> 01:02:31.520
<v Sam>bit more about this in a second, but it all comes down to process versus results

01:02:31.520 --> 01:02:33.460
<v Sam>versus appearance kind of stuff. Right.

01:02:33.940 --> 01:02:38.480
<v Sam>You know, because the thing that his base loves is the, yeah,

01:02:38.620 --> 01:02:41.600
<v Sam>we hate government, kill government, kill the waste, like eliminate.

01:02:41.860 --> 01:02:44.940
<v Sam>Oh, let's get rid of the Department of Education. What good could that possibly

01:02:44.940 --> 01:02:46.920
<v Sam>be? Let's get rid of USAID.

01:02:47.100 --> 01:02:51.260
<v Sam>What good could it possibly be? which is entirely separate from a couple of

01:02:51.260 --> 01:02:54.000
<v Sam>weeks later, the farmers figure out no one's buying their crops anymore.

01:02:54.300 --> 01:02:54.740
<v Ivan>Right.

01:02:55.360 --> 01:02:58.760
<v Sam>You know, because the dots are not connected.

01:02:59.000 --> 01:03:03.100
<v Ivan>They're not connecting the dots. Right. They're not connecting dots until they get screwed.

01:03:03.860 --> 01:03:08.060
<v Sam>So, so let me talk about this process versus results versus appearance thing for a second.

01:03:08.100 --> 01:03:12.820
<v Sam>And I know we've, we've touched on things like this before, but specifically

01:03:12.820 --> 01:03:22.140
<v Sam>what got me this week is like, look, there, Donald Trump is losing more court cases every day.

01:03:22.560 --> 01:03:28.500
<v Sam>While we've been sitting here, I saw a news alert about some judge saying that

01:03:28.500 --> 01:03:31.560
<v Sam>the foreign aid stuff had to resume. They had been frozen.

01:03:32.260 --> 01:03:39.940
<v Sam>But he's losing more cases every day. And a lot of this is because he is trying to just...

01:03:41.370 --> 01:03:45.370
<v Sam>Bull in a China shop kind of thing. Just do stuff. Don't worry about the process.

01:03:45.830 --> 01:03:47.270
<v Sam>That'll all work out later.

01:03:47.750 --> 01:03:54.390
<v Sam>But I realize this goes with the tariffs and how he won against Colombia and

01:03:54.390 --> 01:03:58.170
<v Sam>Mexico and Canada the other week with tariffs, even though he didn't actually get anything,

01:03:58.650 --> 01:04:05.310
<v Sam>is that the perception among, what did we call them, low information voters,

01:04:05.670 --> 01:04:08.030
<v Sam>is just that there's action.

01:04:08.030 --> 01:04:15.170
<v Sam>and he's doing stuff and he won in the end, like the details never get through.

01:04:15.590 --> 01:04:21.530
<v Sam>Whereas the process stuff, like, you know, there, and I think this was a fundamental

01:04:21.530 --> 01:04:25.810
<v Sam>problem with the Democrats during the election season, when they,

01:04:25.830 --> 01:04:28.310
<v Sam>when they pivoted to, he's a danger to democracy.

01:04:28.650 --> 01:04:32.150
<v Sam>And even now, when, when you hear people complain, like,

01:04:32.750 --> 01:04:38.710
<v Sam>well, Elon doesn't actually have the authority to do that is that a lot of people

01:04:38.710 --> 01:04:44.110
<v Sam>just hear, so wait, you're just complaining about the way he did it?

01:04:44.450 --> 01:04:48.210
<v Sam>Like, you agree that we should get rid of waste and corruption,

01:04:48.410 --> 01:04:51.190
<v Sam>right? You're just complaining that Elon's doing it wrong?

01:04:51.570 --> 01:04:55.390
<v Sam>Who cares that Donald Trump is doing it wrong, that Elon is doing it wrong?

01:04:55.590 --> 01:05:01.170
<v Sam>What matters is he's doing stuff and he's going to fix the problem.

01:05:01.570 --> 01:05:04.330
<v Sam>Now, whether or not he actually fixes the problem is a separate issue.

01:05:04.510 --> 01:05:07.250
<v Sam>But I think fundamentally, like a lot of people.

01:05:08.130 --> 01:05:14.770
<v Sam>Like if you start talking about, well, he's just not following the right process,

01:05:15.610 --> 01:05:17.390
<v Sam>they completely tune that out.

01:05:17.510 --> 01:05:21.590
<v Sam>And I think the whole democracy thing was that it's like, that's just the process.

01:05:21.590 --> 01:05:25.950
<v Sam>What about what you're trying to, what he's trying to do, What are the results?

01:05:26.290 --> 01:05:34.970
<v Sam>And, and, you know, and I think one of Trump's master strokes of realization,

01:05:34.970 --> 01:05:38.070
<v Sam>besides realizing how many people were racist and sexist,

01:05:38.230 --> 01:05:42.610
<v Sam>was figuring out that, like, it's, it's all about it.

01:05:42.750 --> 01:05:46.310
<v Sam>It's all about no one cares about process, the number of people who really and

01:05:46.310 --> 01:05:50.090
<v Sam>truly care about process to the point where they will depend,

01:05:50.330 --> 01:05:56.290
<v Sam>defend the process vigorously, even if it results in something they don't like. is very small.

01:05:56.710 --> 01:06:00.110
<v Sam>Most people view process only instrumentally.

01:06:00.830 --> 01:06:04.410
<v Sam>We like the process because it helps us get what we want.

01:06:04.590 --> 01:06:09.270
<v Sam>And if it doesn't help us get what we want, then we don't like the process.

01:06:09.390 --> 01:06:12.130
<v Sam>And the process is a problem, and we should figure out how to get around it.

01:06:12.430 --> 01:06:16.570
<v Sam>So the number of people who sort of on a principled level care about having

01:06:16.570 --> 01:06:18.990
<v Sam>a good process is vanishingly small.

01:06:19.570 --> 01:06:27.730
<v Sam>And meanwhile, what gets through the media ecosystem, especially like when you add in, you know,

01:06:28.710 --> 01:06:33.170
<v Sam>sort of the motivated media ecosystem is just action are.

01:06:33.170 --> 01:06:38.870
<v Ivan>They doing something are they doing something yeah and that's and what's our first impression.

01:06:38.870 --> 01:06:43.210
<v Sam>So like if he if his first impression is like oh he was really tough on them

01:06:43.210 --> 01:06:46.270
<v Sam>he put on the sanctions the fact that like less than.

01:06:46.270 --> 01:06:48.410
<v Ivan>24 hours later he undid it.

01:06:48.410 --> 01:06:50.490
<v Sam>All and without getting any real.

01:06:50.490 --> 01:06:54.530
<v Ivan>Concessions and he claims the win anyway i'm

01:06:54.530 --> 01:06:57.470
<v Ivan>seeing a whole bunch of people like posting about getting

01:06:57.470 --> 01:07:00.650
<v Ivan>laid off support fire getting fired for

01:07:00.650 --> 01:07:03.650
<v Ivan>cause okay uh you know

01:07:03.650 --> 01:07:06.490
<v Ivan>terminations like at the federal government i

01:07:06.490 --> 01:07:10.310
<v Ivan>was looking at somebody to post something about being at the usda and

01:07:10.310 --> 01:07:13.850
<v Ivan>four out of five people in the area got fired for cause listen

01:07:13.850 --> 01:07:16.990
<v Ivan>uh for cause you know termination

01:07:16.990 --> 01:07:19.790
<v Ivan>like that the federal government isn't just something that happens in one day

01:07:19.790 --> 01:07:23.430
<v Ivan>there's a there is a process documentation not all

01:07:23.430 --> 01:07:26.250
<v Ivan>of this shit whatever all of these things if you take them

01:07:26.250 --> 01:07:29.690
<v Ivan>to even the shittiest labor lawyer okay

01:07:29.690 --> 01:07:32.490
<v Ivan>all right they will go to court they will win this

01:07:32.490 --> 01:07:35.330
<v Ivan>case okay it's not even it's a slam dunk

01:07:35.330 --> 01:07:39.950
<v Ivan>of a win but like you said he is going to put them through that he's going to

01:07:39.950 --> 01:07:42.930
<v Ivan>put them through that he's going to make them go to court he's going to make

01:07:42.930 --> 01:07:46.850
<v Ivan>them get their money and and it'll probably wind of costing a federal government

01:07:46.850 --> 01:07:53.130
<v Ivan>a ton more money instead of like them having to do something like with the law, working with Congress.

01:07:53.870 --> 01:07:55.370
<v Ivan>Figuring out how to cut employees.

01:07:55.730 --> 01:07:59.110
<v Ivan>Somebody was talking about that Bill Clinton together with Newt Greenwich back

01:07:59.110 --> 01:08:03.510
<v Ivan>in the 90s. They actually cut like a few hundred thousand federal employees.

01:08:03.890 --> 01:08:07.390
<v Ivan>Okay. You know, they did it, but they agreed to it. There was a process.

01:08:07.590 --> 01:08:09.290
<v Ivan>How are we going to do this? Blah, blah, blah.

01:08:09.950 --> 01:08:15.010
<v Ivan>But that's not what we have right now. This is not thought out, planned, whatever.

01:08:15.370 --> 01:08:20.370
<v Ivan>This is just, you know, we'll fire them now, we'll deal with the consequences later, sue us.

01:08:21.030 --> 01:08:26.530
<v Sam>Right. Yeah. And also news alerts while we've been recording.

01:08:26.770 --> 01:08:31.270
<v Sam>I saw some with some additional, like, another thousand people at the VA were

01:08:31.270 --> 01:08:33.610
<v Sam>cut, apparently, today. Got their notices.

01:08:34.050 --> 01:08:37.450
<v Sam>I don't know if it was for cause or what excuse they used this time.

01:08:37.790 --> 01:08:40.650
<v Sam>You know, but, you know, it's just boom, boom, boom.

01:08:40.770 --> 01:08:44.430
<v Sam>There's more of this. And like you said, small, tiny numbers compared to the

01:08:44.430 --> 01:08:48.630
<v Sam>overall federal workforce, even more so according to the deficit.

01:08:48.770 --> 01:08:54.190
<v Ivan>Yeah, the VA, which we know has been historically an area that has been super

01:08:54.190 --> 01:09:00.270
<v Ivan>overfunded because veterans have been getting such great care from the federal

01:09:00.270 --> 01:09:03.330
<v Ivan>government that definitely that's a place where they need to cut.

01:09:04.030 --> 01:09:04.610
<v Sam>Exactly.

01:09:04.610 --> 01:09:12.270
<v Ivan>And I mean, if there's a group of people have gotten fucked in this country, it's veterans.

01:09:12.810 --> 01:09:13.590
<v Sam>Mm hmm.

01:09:14.520 --> 01:09:18.640
<v Sam>Yeah. Okay. One, one more thing and then let's wrap it up so you can go to sleep.

01:09:19.040 --> 01:09:24.000
<v Sam>I just wanted to mention that we did have, how do you say his name? Hogarth.

01:09:24.200 --> 01:09:27.780
<v Sam>Hogarth. The secretary of defense guy.

01:09:28.340 --> 01:09:30.480
<v Ivan>Hagseth. Is it Hagseth?

01:09:31.020 --> 01:09:31.380
<v Sam>Yeah, Hagseth.

01:09:31.380 --> 01:09:32.580
<v Ivan>Whatever the fuck his name is. Okay.

01:09:32.820 --> 01:09:33.780
<v Sam>Whatever. Anyway.

01:09:34.020 --> 01:09:35.260
<v Ivan>Hogarth? I don't know.

01:09:35.480 --> 01:09:39.660
<v Sam>Uh-uh. Wow. I had an H. I was good enough.

01:09:39.740 --> 01:09:40.920
<v Ivan>You didn't start with an H. Okay.

01:09:42.400 --> 01:09:49.100
<v Sam>Anyway, he apparently, he was in Europe talking about the Ukraine situation

01:09:49.100 --> 01:09:50.660
<v Sam>and about Europe more generally.

01:09:50.940 --> 01:09:56.380
<v Sam>The key elements he said is he explicitly, this had been implied for a long

01:09:56.380 --> 01:10:04.240
<v Sam>time, but he very explicitly said that, you know, going back to pre-2014 borders

01:10:04.240 --> 01:10:05.660
<v Sam>for Ukraine is not going to happen.

01:10:06.040 --> 01:10:10.280
<v Sam>He explicitly said Ukraine being in NATO is not going to happen.

01:10:11.500 --> 01:10:18.180
<v Sam>and he he basically laid all that out and look we've been we've been talking that's probably true,

01:10:18.840 --> 01:10:25.200
<v Sam>even without that even without him saying that but he's basically kick-starting

01:10:25.200 --> 01:10:29.420
<v Sam>the negotiations with russia that they're going to force ukraine into by saying

01:10:29.420 --> 01:10:35.640
<v Sam>right off the bat you know those those things aren't even on the table you know which is a dumb.

01:10:35.640 --> 01:10:39.460
<v Ivan>Negotiating stance to start from But by the way, they're doing this without

01:10:39.460 --> 01:10:41.020
<v Ivan>Ukraine being at the fucking table.

01:10:41.580 --> 01:10:44.920
<v Sam>Exactly. Ukraine is not even at the table. They are negotiating.

01:10:45.800 --> 01:10:46.820
<v Sam>The Trump administration.

01:10:46.860 --> 01:10:49.880
<v Ivan>Which is another fucking. I mean, and I'm like, okay.

01:10:49.880 --> 01:10:53.100
<v Sam>They're doing the same thing they did like in Israel about the Palestinians

01:10:53.100 --> 01:10:57.420
<v Sam>where like in the first administration when they did the Abraham Accords or

01:10:57.420 --> 01:11:01.280
<v Sam>whatever, didn't even ask the Palestinians. Didn't talk to them at all.

01:11:01.820 --> 01:11:05.660
<v Sam>You know, we're going to make a deal about you without you. And that's what

01:11:05.660 --> 01:11:07.100
<v Sam>they're doing so far with Ukraine

01:11:07.100 --> 01:11:10.240
<v Sam>too. Apparently, he's going to talk to Zelensky tomorrow or something.

01:11:10.420 --> 01:11:16.520
<v Sam>But, you know, but they're starting out this process clearly with the mode of, look,

01:11:17.370 --> 01:11:22.610
<v Sam>Russia and the U.S. are going to carve this up how they want and then just tell

01:11:22.610 --> 01:11:24.470
<v Sam>the Ukrainians that they have to deal with it.

01:11:25.410 --> 01:11:33.130
<v Sam>The other thing that he said at that same conversation was he went further than that and said,

01:11:34.230 --> 01:11:35.750
<v Sam>Europe is going to have to get

01:11:35.750 --> 01:11:40.950
<v Sam>used to the idea that their primary defense does not come from the U.S.

01:11:42.010 --> 01:11:46.230
<v Ivan>Listen, he is basically trying to put a stake in the heart of NATO.

01:11:46.630 --> 01:11:47.070
<v Sam>Yep.

01:11:47.370 --> 01:11:52.010
<v Ivan>So he said that, you know, there are going to be in NATO, but at the same time,

01:11:52.090 --> 01:11:55.910
<v Ivan>I'm like, I mean, is NATO going to survive this administration?

01:11:56.770 --> 01:12:01.310
<v Sam>I mean, Trump has said repeatedly he wants to leave NATO. He thinks it's a useless organization.

01:12:01.610 --> 01:12:08.110
<v Sam>And his current thing is he's trying to push them to go from a target of 3%

01:12:08.110 --> 01:12:12.290
<v Sam>of GDP spending on defense to 5% now.

01:12:12.490 --> 01:12:14.090
<v Ivan>Where we're not even at that!

01:12:14.750 --> 01:12:19.430
<v Sam>Where we're not even with that. And of course he keeps, maybe he's slightly better.

01:12:19.530 --> 01:12:23.470
<v Sam>He keeps saying that it's the amount they have to pay, the dues they have to

01:12:23.470 --> 01:12:24.910
<v Sam>pay. Or that's not how it works.

01:12:24.910 --> 01:12:29.130
<v Ivan>That is complete horse shit. I mean, we're not even at that.

01:12:29.550 --> 01:12:32.430
<v Ivan>We're like at 3.3% ourselves.

01:12:32.850 --> 01:12:35.890
<v Sam>But wait, Ivan. He's going to cut it in half.

01:12:36.170 --> 01:12:38.510
<v Ivan>Right, so he wants to take us down to 1.5!

01:12:40.050 --> 01:12:42.690
<v Sam>Well, if we're not defending Europe anymore, why do we need that?

01:12:43.270 --> 01:12:43.890
<v Ivan>I guess.

01:12:44.090 --> 01:12:50.290
<v Sam>I mean, and look, there are a lot of reasons that, you know,

01:12:50.450 --> 01:12:55.150
<v Sam>look, maybe it would have been smart for Europe to be doing more of their own

01:12:55.150 --> 01:12:56.410
<v Sam>defense for a long time, maybe.

01:12:56.890 --> 01:13:01.270
<v Sam>But at the same time, like the whole thing with all of this is like,

01:13:02.520 --> 01:13:08.080
<v Sam>There's no sense of the history of it at all or the reasons that was in place in the first place.

01:13:08.280 --> 01:13:08.440
<v Ivan>No.

01:13:08.820 --> 01:13:16.720
<v Sam>You know, all of this was set up post-World War II, not just to defend against the Soviet Union.

01:13:17.280 --> 01:13:18.920
<v Ivan>But against everybody else.

01:13:19.120 --> 01:13:23.280
<v Sam>I remember to say Soviet Union instead of Russia because we were talking about the past there.

01:13:23.800 --> 01:13:28.060
<v Sam>But no, but also to tame Europe itself.

01:13:28.700 --> 01:13:33.920
<v Sam>Yeah. You know, Europe had— From all the fucking wars! At two major world wars

01:13:33.920 --> 01:13:37.800
<v Sam>in the 20th century, and if you go back to the 19th or 18th century,

01:13:37.920 --> 01:13:39.000
<v Sam>there were wars all the time.

01:13:39.300 --> 01:13:40.400
<v Ivan>There were wars all the time.

01:13:40.880 --> 01:13:49.820
<v Sam>And the time period from World War II until the invasion of Ukraine by Russia

01:13:49.820 --> 01:13:57.200
<v Sam>was the longest period of peace in that continent in centuries ever, probably.

01:13:57.400 --> 01:13:58.540
<v Ivan>Ever. I'm sure.

01:13:58.840 --> 01:14:01.020
<v Sam>Maybe Roman Empire times. I don't know.

01:14:01.560 --> 01:14:05.260
<v Ivan>Maybe, maybe. There was that Pax Romana.

01:14:05.400 --> 01:14:10.120
<v Sam>Pax Romana. Yeah. So there were reasons for this.

01:14:10.360 --> 01:14:15.900
<v Sam>The same thing we were talking about, USAID being sort of the soft diplomacy stuff.

01:14:16.940 --> 01:14:22.300
<v Sam>The existence of NATO and all of the arrangements there that we had and,

01:14:22.300 --> 01:14:26.680
<v Sam>you know, help to stabilize the continent.

01:14:27.660 --> 01:14:31.880
<v Sam>And, you know, if we're saying, if we essentially end up saying,

01:14:32.040 --> 01:14:36.120
<v Sam>okay, we're done with NATO, we're out of here, you guys are on your own.

01:14:36.760 --> 01:14:42.240
<v Sam>It's just inviting. I mean, I don't know if Putin would be crazy enough to go

01:14:42.240 --> 01:14:44.620
<v Sam>after the Baltics or to invade more countries.

01:14:44.980 --> 01:14:47.620
<v Sam>Certainly, he's going to lick his wounds for a while after Ukraine,

01:14:47.720 --> 01:14:50.600
<v Sam>because that, like, in the end, that has not worked out great for him.

01:14:50.600 --> 01:14:53.860
<v Sam>But if we end up saying, okay,

01:14:54.200 --> 01:15:02.580
<v Sam>you can keep part of Ukraine and we're clearly retreating from Europe,

01:15:02.580 --> 01:15:08.880
<v Sam>is it going to embolden him for whatever the next thing is? I don't know.

01:15:08.880 --> 01:15:09.300
<v Ivan>Yes.

01:15:09.760 --> 01:15:17.540
<v Sam>You know? And if the end result of this is Europe itself militarizing further,

01:15:17.760 --> 01:15:20.860
<v Sam>which is already happening, is that good?

01:15:21.940 --> 01:15:26.800
<v Sam>You know? I don't think so. Anyway.

01:15:27.900 --> 01:15:32.720
<v Sam>I think that's it, Yvonne. I mean, it's short, but it's late for you. We should let you go.

01:15:33.100 --> 01:15:36.040
<v Sam>Unless you have something else that we missed that you want to make sure we hit.

01:15:36.200 --> 01:15:40.020
<v Ivan>No, no, but I do have my one thing. Okay.

01:15:40.240 --> 01:15:42.480
<v Sam>The Slack. Oh, okay. Yes.

01:15:42.660 --> 01:15:46.220
<v Ivan>Okay. Well, you know, we're all concerned about our investments.

01:15:46.220 --> 01:15:49.420
<v Ivan>And I think I mentioned recently that I was buying gold.

01:15:50.020 --> 01:15:53.480
<v Ivan>Okay. Because of my concerns, which I did do that.

01:15:54.100 --> 01:15:55.920
<v Ivan>One thing that came in the news.

01:15:55.920 --> 01:16:01.680
<v Ivan>global funds turned to Pakistan as an 84% stock rally set to an extent.

01:16:02.000 --> 01:16:06.380
<v Ivan>Some of the world's top money managers are once again favoring Pakistani stocks

01:16:06.380 --> 01:16:11.500
<v Ivan>after market returns last year were among the best globally. So, Sam?

01:16:11.900 --> 01:16:13.280
<v Sam>Put it all in Pakistan.

01:16:13.820 --> 01:16:14.960
<v Ivan>All our money.

01:16:15.400 --> 01:16:20.440
<v Sam>All our money. But I already put it all in Trump coin.

01:16:21.360 --> 01:16:25.800
<v Ivan>Well, I saw here somewhere. I have bad news for you.

01:16:25.920 --> 01:16:31.680
<v Ivan>uh if i read over here correctly i can't remember what the losses were but they

01:16:31.680 --> 01:16:38.540
<v Ivan>were talking about over here i mean 80 percent losses and like people that invested

01:16:38.540 --> 01:16:41.340
<v Ivan>in the trump coin so i'm sorry it's.

01:16:41.340 --> 01:16:45.720
<v Sam>Okay i'm gonna shift it all over to the hawk to a coin and make it all back.

01:16:45.720 --> 01:16:51.180
<v Ivan>That way go up right now it's already plunged like 90 nobody knows where hawk

01:16:51.180 --> 01:16:57.520
<v Ivan>to what is do you realize that after I thought she resurfaced a couple of days ago. Did she?

01:16:57.900 --> 01:16:59.620
<v Sam>I thought so, but I could be wrong.

01:17:00.120 --> 01:17:06.080
<v Ivan>Maybe? I don't know. But she basically took the money and just disappeared.

01:17:06.500 --> 01:17:15.760
<v Ivan>And you know what? She really got a whole bunch of crypto bros for all money.

01:17:16.020 --> 01:17:23.720
<v Ivan>And so I'm like, I hear what I hear is here something in the news was that Hawk

01:17:23.720 --> 01:17:29.380
<v Ivan>Tua's girl boyfriend wants money back after MeanCoin Fallout that's the one story I'm seeing,

01:17:30.100 --> 01:17:35.500
<v Ivan>so I see that that her ex-boyfriend apparently,

01:17:36.680 --> 01:17:40.660
<v Ivan>there was something in the news about it but not that she appeared it's that

01:17:40.660 --> 01:17:45.680
<v Ivan>her ex-boyfriend Hawk Tua girl's boyfriend wants money backed after MeanCoin

01:17:45.680 --> 01:17:51.520
<v Ivan>Fallout That's the news story I found right now when I Googled her.

01:17:51.720 --> 01:17:52.920
<v Ivan>Not that she reappeared.

01:17:53.160 --> 01:17:55.960
<v Ivan>It's that also apparently probably someone of these.

01:17:56.400 --> 01:18:00.200
<v Ivan>Oh, no, no, there it is six days ago. Off to a girl, Hayley Winsch breaks her

01:18:00.200 --> 01:18:03.540
<v Ivan>two-month silence and addresses her cryptocurrency scandal. There she is.

01:18:04.260 --> 01:18:04.440
<v Sam>There?

01:18:04.780 --> 01:18:07.920
<v Ivan>Yeah, there you go. So, yes. I think she apologized.

01:18:09.560 --> 01:18:15.480
<v Sam>I mean, basically her excuse, which I completely buy, is that, like,

01:18:16.450 --> 01:18:19.850
<v Sam>She didn't know what she was doing. She was manipulated into it by all these

01:18:19.850 --> 01:18:22.370
<v Sam>crypto folks around her trying to do this.

01:18:22.590 --> 01:18:25.730
<v Ivan>I totally, I 100% believe.

01:18:26.350 --> 01:18:26.670
<v Sam>Yeah.

01:18:26.990 --> 01:18:28.070
<v Ivan>I 100% believe.

01:18:28.430 --> 01:18:32.650
<v Sam>And meanwhile, like if you get that moment of fame from your viral moment,

01:18:33.050 --> 01:18:35.730
<v Sam>absolutely cash in in every fucking way you can.

01:18:36.210 --> 01:18:40.190
<v Ivan>Yeah. And just, you know, whatever. I mean, you know, look, I'm pretty sure

01:18:40.190 --> 01:18:44.390
<v Ivan>she didn't know anything about Quaint. they put it here to her.

01:18:44.490 --> 01:18:47.310
<v Ivan>She got some money and then these people screwed everybody and she's like,

01:18:47.390 --> 01:18:50.670
<v Ivan>well, what the fuck? I didn't even do this. I didn't even understand what the fuck was going on.

01:18:51.390 --> 01:18:51.510
<v Sam>Right.

01:18:52.710 --> 01:18:53.550
<v Ivan>I believe that.

01:18:53.790 --> 01:18:58.690
<v Sam>Anyway, that was the thing you usually do after I tell people to go to the website.

01:18:59.030 --> 01:19:00.710
<v Sam>I'll tell people to go to the website now.

01:19:01.970 --> 01:19:06.710
<v Sam>curmudgeons-corner.com There you can find all the ways to contact us.

01:19:06.790 --> 01:19:09.070
<v Sam>You can find our archives and our transcripts.

01:19:09.550 --> 01:19:11.690
<v Sam>We have not made the curmudgeons coin.

01:19:11.690 --> 01:19:14.290
<v Ivan>You know, we should make one. I mean, what the hell? Why not?

01:19:14.810 --> 01:19:18.630
<v Sam>I know. And then we have to orchestrate the rug pull correctly.

01:19:18.990 --> 01:19:21.770
<v Sam>I mean, that's, you know, that's what these are for, right?

01:19:21.930 --> 01:19:24.410
<v Ivan>But you're not supposed to be saying that up front.

01:19:25.170 --> 01:19:30.310
<v Sam>Oh, oh, but if we say it up front and just tell everybody right up front,

01:19:30.450 --> 01:19:31.510
<v Sam>then it's not fraud, right?

01:19:32.090 --> 01:19:36.450
<v Ivan>Well, that is true. Yes. I mean, the reality is that we're telling you that we're doing it.

01:19:37.050 --> 01:19:40.910
<v Ivan>so basically we're adopting the trump like strategy hey i'm.

01:19:40.910 --> 01:19:41.370
<v Sam>Telling you.

01:19:41.370 --> 01:19:45.090
<v Ivan>That i'm gonna fuck you over so oh there you go so why are you surprised.

01:19:45.090 --> 01:19:48.590
<v Sam>Exactly so anyway you

01:19:48.590 --> 01:19:52.330
<v Sam>can find all that stuff there you can also find a link to our patreon where

01:19:52.330 --> 01:19:57.130
<v Sam>you can give us money for us to invest in trump coin and hawk to a girl coin

01:19:57.130 --> 01:20:05.550
<v Sam>and uh you know that that's that's what we'll do yeah So give us more Patreon money.

01:20:05.650 --> 01:20:08.670
<v Ivan>No, no, no. Pakistan. What are you talking about?

01:20:08.990 --> 01:20:09.730
<v Sam>Oh, yes, Pakistan.

01:20:10.090 --> 01:20:14.370
<v Ivan>What are you talking about? I'm going to have you in Pakistan.

01:20:15.230 --> 01:20:19.910
<v Sam>Can we invest in Pakistani stocks denominated in Trump coins?

01:20:21.310 --> 01:20:24.110
<v Ivan>You know what? I'd have to research that one. I'm not sure.

01:20:25.610 --> 01:20:30.170
<v Sam>Oh, well. Okay. I think we're done here.

01:20:30.170 --> 01:20:34.330
<v Ivan>I'm done. At this point, if I am able to fall asleep right away,

01:20:34.430 --> 01:20:37.050
<v Ivan>I'll have a beautiful four and a half hours of sleep.

01:20:37.770 --> 01:20:41.030
<v Sam>Beautiful. Okay. We're letting you go. Thanks, everybody, for joining us.

01:20:41.150 --> 01:20:45.070
<v Sam>Stay safe. Have a great week. We will talk to you next time.

01:20:46.150 --> 01:20:49.430
<v Sam>Goodbye. Let us know if you like shows this length. Maybe we should do this

01:20:49.430 --> 01:20:51.870
<v Sam>more often. Anyway, bye! Bye.

01:21:23.170 --> 01:21:26.010
<v Sam>Okay, that be it. I'm hitting stop. Go to sleep, Yvonne.

