WEBVTT

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<v Sam>Welcome to Curmudgeon's Corner for Saturday, June 29th, 2024.

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<v Sam>It is just after 2.30 UTC. I'm Sam Mentory. Von Bo is here.

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<v Sam>And yeah, it's another week.

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<v Ivan>Yeah, we're here. It's another week.

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<v Sam>It's another week.

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<v Ivan>We are going to talk about the Copa America tournament that is going on right now.

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<v Sam>Uh-huh.

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<v Ivan>How the U.S. was embarrassed by Panama yesterday.

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<v Sam>I know lots about this.

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<v Ivan>I'm sure that you're all, I know, I'm sure that you've been following this very closely.

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<v Sam>Very, very. I've been obsessively following every detail I could possibly find on that.

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<v Ivan>Of course. Yes.

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<v Sam>Now we're, we're going to do our butt first with casual stuff,

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<v Sam>and then we're going to do a couple of segments of newsy things.

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<v Sam>And I get, I bet you guys can guess what we're going to talk about.

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<v Sam>At least some of the things.

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<v Ivan>Uh the weather yes.

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<v Sam>The weather it's been hot.

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<v Ivan>It's been hot a lot of places not.

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<v Sam>Here here it's been fine where i am in the pacific northwest.

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<v Ivan>I you know this last it it got we had a spell where it was today was it was

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<v Ivan>like 10 degrees above normal above averages it's gotten closer to the averages

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<v Ivan>It's still above average,

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<v Ivan>but it's gotten closer to the averages, but, but we, we definitely have been a spell.

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<v Ivan>I did have somebody that recently moved to the U S that was,

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<v Ivan>I saw today and they were telling me that they went to, uh, DC last week and

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<v Ivan>DC was in the middle of, of,

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<v Ivan>you know, this heat wave we've had.

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<v Ivan>And I don't, my experience with DC heat, DC gets really humid,

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<v Ivan>far more humid than, wow.

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<v Ivan>I mean, I mean, I come from a place that's hot and humid.

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<v Ivan>And when I went to DC in the summer and it got hot and humid like that,

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<v Ivan>I felt it was so much worse than, than any of the heat that I usually experienced in Puerto Rico.

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<v Ivan>I don't know why that is, but that was the way I, I experienced it.

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<v Ivan>And yeah, these guys, you know, they, they went there and they were like,

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<v Ivan>whoa, no, they had moved in. They, they moved to the U S from Chile.

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<v Ivan>Okay. Uh, relatively recently.

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<v Ivan>So, you know, they, that was like, just, you know, that's one of the things

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<v Ivan>they actually, it's an interesting thing when you, you meet somebody that just

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<v Ivan>recently moved from another country.

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<v Ivan>As i think they they told me that they

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<v Ivan>had visited like new york before and i think

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<v Ivan>they had visited dc but never to philadelphia never to boston never to that

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<v Ivan>area you know so they they they really you know hadn't visited so they decided

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<v Ivan>to to to you know just to visit the country right i mean you moved here to the

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<v Ivan>u.s and they just wanted to go and like visit the of places.

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<v Ivan>And so that was one of the things that they did recently. And,

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<v Ivan>you know, they went to their first time to Boston Philadelphia.

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<v Ivan>It's sad that they had a really great time.

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<v Ivan>So, you know, doing, they did do, I guess it was pretty smart.

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<v Ivan>They did a road trip where they took a rental car, they drove all the way up

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<v Ivan>there, but they had airline tickets to return.

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<v Ivan>So they, they, they flew back from the road trip. So that was, that was interesting.

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<v Ivan>So anyway, that's our weather segment for today and travel that.

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<v Sam>That was that was very exciting I kind of tuned out I must admit I was looking at other things.

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<v Ivan>Oh it's not that thrilling it's it's not it's not thrilling you know and travel no no you're not yeah.

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<v Sam>So so given that yes what's the what's your real but first.

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<v Ivan>I went to the I went well not that we have I don't have an office anymore here,

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<v Ivan>but I kind of, one of the reasons I saw that person is because I kind of like went to the office.

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<v Ivan>Well, we had, we had a, like an all hands meeting for our region.

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<v Ivan>And so they went and over here, we don't have an office anymore.

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<v Ivan>So they, they got us a conference space at one of these coworking places.

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<v Ivan>And so I spent the whole day, I had to drive to the, to the, to downtown.

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<v Sam>Oh no.

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<v Ivan>And meet with all these.

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<v Sam>Oh no, I feel so awful for you. Oh, it's, it's, I, you know,

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<v Sam>it's, it's a horrible, horrible fate that you have had.

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<v Sam>And I can't possibly imagine anything so bad.

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<v Ivan>So. And I spent the whole day there.

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<v Ivan>And I got back like, oh, gosh, I don't know, close to seven, like around seven.

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<v Ivan>I'm going to tell you, that's it. It's tiring. I actually wound up taking a nap when I got home.

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<v Ivan>That's how tired I was from this whole thing.

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<v Sam>Yeah.

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<v Ivan>I mean.

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<v Sam>I feel you. I like, look, I, I am forced to go into the office three days a week.

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<v Sam>Most of the time it's pointless unless there's something specific I'm going in for.

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<v Sam>And, uh, it's annoying. It's, it's just annoying.

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<v Sam>Like, and, and look again, I have no issues whatsoever.

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<v Sam>When there's actually somebody there to like i'm gonna have a meeting i'm gonna

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<v Sam>have a conversation i'm gonna do some whiteboarding i'm having lunch with somebody

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<v Sam>whatever those are all fine it's the going in and sitting in an empty office

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<v Sam>after having to do the commute like for well.

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<v Ivan>I did meet well i well that was the thing that that's the positive i mean i did meet with people.

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<v Sam>Yeah yeah Yeah.

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<v Ivan>We did have something that we were discussing. One of the things is that because

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<v Ivan>we're doing the all hands,

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<v Ivan>I did prove to be a little bit of a guinea pig for the slides in the in the

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<v Ivan>all hands because, you know, trying to make sure that whatever was on there,

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<v Ivan>the content made sense, made sense.

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<v Ivan>Yeah, because they had been working on it. Right. You know, like our senior

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<v Ivan>VP and and his staff, you know, they go to one slide.

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<v Ivan>OK, well, you read this. This makes sense.

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<v Ivan>I went through it. It actually did. I mean, I actually went through all the bullet points.

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<v Ivan>And I think there may have been one that I didn't know what,

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<v Ivan>you know, I was a little bit fuzzy on some of the stuffs. Okay.

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<v Ivan>On some of the stuffs. Stuff.

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<v Sam>The stuffs. The stuff. The stuff.

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<v Ivan>I think, you know, because there's certain things that maybe some new stuff

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<v Ivan>that we're talking about, like one thing that we were talking about that we

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<v Ivan>talked about, heaven forbid, is AI, of course.

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<v Sam>Oh, of course. Of course. You can't have a meeting without talking about that.

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<v Ivan>No, apparently not anymore. I can't even escape it now.

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<v Ivan>So the one thing is that I know that we have been, you know,

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<v Ivan>a couple of things that we talk about sometimes is not just the capacity of

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<v Ivan>AI, but AI services and how to make AI practical.

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<v Ivan>So, uh, there was a good discussion around that, about, I think the things that

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<v Ivan>we have complained about and how to make sure that we, we can enable people

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<v Ivan>to be able to get value out of it.

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<v Sam>Yeah. Use it where it makes sense, not where it's stupid.

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<v Ivan>Yeah. Yeah. And, and, and actually we had the discussion about it and,

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<v Ivan>and by the way, I, one thing that our discussions on that proved to be very helpful.

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<v Sam>Oh, good. Good.

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<v Ivan>Related to that. Yes, that was good because I was able to provide some real

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<v Ivan>feedback related to that.

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<v Ivan>So that was received positively. So that's good.

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<v Ivan>I didn't mention that we had a discussion around that.

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<v Ivan>But the one thing, we did have a discussion about working from home in the office

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<v Ivan>and the fact that we were all together. I did bring that up.

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<v Ivan>Well, I think the one thing I brought it up was because we haven't had,

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<v Ivan>Like, we've onboarded a lot of new people.

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<v Sam>Okay.

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<v Ivan>And what I did bring up was very, you know, I took the opportunity to bring up specifically,

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<v Ivan>you know, the issue with sometimes, look, I get, you know, I know that many

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<v Ivan>times I don't find it productive to go to the office like you mentioned.

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<v Ivan>So I brought up specifically.

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<v Sam>But it's helpful for new people who are trying to figure out what's going on.

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<v Ivan>Right. And I was like, look, we need to figure out something with this.

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<v Ivan>And we also, I think one of the things that, I don't know how it's handled at your place of work,

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<v Ivan>and I know that this is inconsistent across different places,

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<v Ivan>but I mean, we're in a company,

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<v Ivan>I mean, at least us specifically.

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<v Ivan>I think many companies aren't in this situation, but where the product and the

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<v Ivan>portfolio are evolving very quickly.

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<v Ivan>And when that is happening, getting people up to speed on understanding what

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<v Ivan>the changes are and what's going into how to position those,

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<v Ivan>it's difficult if you don't have some kind of...

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<v Ivan>In classroom training or, or, or at least be with people and that it's not that it isn't virtual.

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<v Ivan>I, I, I just, I think a lot of people tune into these webinars and most of them tune them out.

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<v Sam>It's very easy to turn. Well, it also depends a lot on the quality and blah,

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<v Sam>blah, blah, but it's very easy to tune out those things.

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<v Sam>Like, like if, if you're stuck in a classroom room and there are people all

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<v Sam>around you, it's kind of, you know, if you goof off, people will notice.

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<v Ivan>Goof off, people will notice and you're more bound to wind up focusing on what the hell is going on.

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<v Sam>Yeah. If you're watching something, especially like it's, and what you're talking

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<v Sam>about in terms of like instruction is different than a meeting.

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<v Sam>Like in a meeting, you're talking back and forth and you're participating.

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<v Sam>And if you're not participating, you probably don't need to be at the meeting anyway.

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<v Sam>And so, but, but like with a thing that is,

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<v Sam>it's like either somebody talking at you or you going through slides or whatever,

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<v Sam>it's just really easy to be like, okay, well, this is interesting,

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<v Sam>but I'm going to check my phone real quick. And you're right.

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<v Sam>I'll, you know, I'll, I'll, I'll like, you know, I'll have it on my headphones,

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<v Sam>but maybe Maybe I'll like go do the dishes. I don't know.

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<v Sam>Like, yeah, it's very easy to like decide that the right thing to do is to multitask.

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<v Sam>And, you know, I know some people are better at this than others,

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<v Sam>but personally, like if I start doing something else that is even slightly more engaging,

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<v Sam>I can go minutes and then suddenly realize, oh crap, I should have been paying

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<v Sam>attention to that thing.

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<v Ivan>Yeah. What the hell was going on? Right.

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<v Sam>Yeah.

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<v Ivan>And so I, I, I guess that's the thing. I think that I'm going to say like 20 years ago,

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<v Ivan>it was a common practice that we would get taken to a training that was developed

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<v Ivan>in conjunction with actual people that design training,

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<v Ivan>not just, hey, you're the SME on something. Make up some slides. No.

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<v Ivan>Right. This was a training that was, you know, designed by people that,

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<v Ivan>you know, together with the SMEs, it's meant for to to teach.

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<v Ivan>And also, a lot of the times there were practical exercises and testing.

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<v Ivan>Interesting i mean just to see how much you learned and because that also helped

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<v Ivan>to like identify okay what what was absorbed what wasn't and so forth and so

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<v Ivan>on and i don't think we i don't think,

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<v Ivan>Companies do enough of that anymore. And that, that used to be quite a lot more common.

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<v Sam>I remember like when I was, when I was at Merrill Lynch and even in my early

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<v Sam>years here, I think I was sent to a couple of courses. It's been forever.

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<v Sam>Like, not that, not that like I actually want one, but, but it has been a long

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<v Sam>time. It used to be something that.

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<v Ivan>But if there is something that you want to really have people learn, that's the way to do it.

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<v Sam>Well, yeah. I mean, and you're even talking about like real courses on something that. Oh, yeah.

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<v Sam>But like, it's even worse when it's the stupid little mandatory training about

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<v Sam>harassment or bribery or whatever.

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<v Sam>Like, those are just so dumb.

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<v Ivan>But well those everybody has to do every year but but i but you know what we

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<v Ivan>did talk about that one but but again you know what they may be dumb but look

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<v Ivan>that shit happens still all the time.

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<v Sam>They guarantee that everybody has seen it so if you do the things you're not

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<v Sam>supposed to you can't You can't plead ignorance.

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<v Ivan>You don't have the fucking excuse exactly that you were not told and trained

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<v Ivan>that this is wrong. Yeah.

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<v Sam>I thought it was just fine. Like, you know, they only gave me a car.

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<v Ivan>Somebody was mentioning today how in some years past.

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<v Ivan>Yeah, because in the industries, and I've lived this, where you've got a company

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<v Ivan>with a product or service that's sold through a third party.

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<v Ivan>Man, those, especially that deals with government, man, those are wide open for abuse, okay?

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<v Ivan>You know, I think I probably mentioned that somebody that was our senior VP 20 years ago,

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<v Ivan>while he was working at another company, wound up going to jail on an FCPA investigation

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<v Ivan>sometime like, yes, this must have been about. Eight or nine years ago.

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<v Sam>Okay.

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<v Ivan>And, you know, this is something that is notorious.

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<v Ivan>And I know that I had somebody, somebody was mentioning today how I was talking

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<v Ivan>about that there was a series of people that I had heard had been terminated

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<v Ivan>some place or whatever, whatnot, that we knew.

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<v Ivan>And they mentioned to me that look

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<v Ivan>I've been through training I know what the hell is right

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<v Ivan>and wrong about this stuff and that

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<v Ivan>some years ago like a long time ago had to go to one person and they were on

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<v Ivan>a call they heard these people talk about stuff they didn't specify what they

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<v Ivan>said but he hung up the call and

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<v Ivan>called them called one of them I think reported and said listen Listen,

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<v Ivan>I don't know what the hell's going on with you guys,

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<v Ivan>but everything I just heard on that call is inappropriate.

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<v Ivan>And you guys were casually talking about it like it's no problem.

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<v Sam>That's lovely.

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<v Ivan>Yeah, I know. Yeah. And, you know, you said is that, you know,

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<v Ivan>taking this training, you know, over and over as at least Adam in his mind reminded

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<v Ivan>him that what the fuck it is that you're supposed to be looking for,

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<v Ivan>whether it's related to harassment,

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<v Ivan>whether it's related to inappropriate practices related to third parties,

00:16:46.290 --> 00:16:48.930
<v Ivan>customers and so forth and so on.

00:16:49.630 --> 00:16:53.090
<v Ivan>You know, I wound up having to terminate people for this shit.

00:16:54.670 --> 00:17:01.530
<v Ivan>And, you know, people will play dumb. People will say they didn't do anything.

00:17:03.430 --> 00:17:07.890
<v Ivan>It's not good. It's just, you know, it's not good.

00:17:08.030 --> 00:17:13.050
<v Ivan>So anyway, but I will say that despite the exhausting part of that,

00:17:13.190 --> 00:17:16.290
<v Ivan>I did have a good time going in and being with people.

00:17:17.870 --> 00:17:18.350
<v Sam>Yeah.

00:17:18.410 --> 00:17:20.070
<v Ivan>I was tired at the end of the day.

00:17:20.310 --> 00:17:23.210
<v Sam>It could be good, like, sometimes.

00:17:23.810 --> 00:17:26.930
<v Ivan>Sometimes yeah you know sometimes yeah well i'm not having i'm not gonna have

00:17:26.930 --> 00:17:31.750
<v Ivan>to do it again like next week well so there you go that's.

00:17:31.750 --> 00:17:32.750
<v Sam>Good i guess.

00:17:32.750 --> 00:17:34.950
<v Ivan>Okay is.

00:17:34.950 --> 00:17:35.390
<v Sam>It my turn.

00:17:35.390 --> 00:17:40.290
<v Ivan>Yes it's your turn okay so you're covering a movie no.

00:17:40.290 --> 00:17:41.830
<v Sam>Normally i would.

00:17:41.830 --> 00:17:42.230
<v Ivan>Cover a.

00:17:42.230 --> 00:17:47.150
<v Sam>Movie but i i need to give like an update.

00:17:47.330 --> 00:17:50.950
<v Sam>I took this week off to work on election graphs.

00:17:51.370 --> 00:17:52.650
<v Ivan>Ah, yeah.

00:17:53.270 --> 00:18:01.130
<v Sam>And so I'm adding the various things that show,

00:18:02.110 --> 00:18:06.730
<v Sam>probabilities that take into account the amount of time left before the election

00:18:06.730 --> 00:18:10.770
<v Sam>as opposed to just if the election was today all the time.

00:18:10.990 --> 00:18:11.590
<v Ivan>Okay.

00:18:11.590 --> 00:18:21.070
<v Sam>And Monday and Tuesday we're all dealing with the data like getting all my old data from 2008 and 2012,

00:18:21.310 --> 00:18:26.810
<v Sam>getting it into right formats making sure all my calculations were right,

00:18:26.990 --> 00:18:34.150
<v Sam>adjusting doing all the math stuff and I finally, I came out of all that and

00:18:34.150 --> 00:18:38.330
<v Sam>there was one thing that really annoyed me, I found,

00:18:39.450 --> 00:18:43.050
<v Sam>error in my spreadsheet from 2012.

00:18:43.990 --> 00:18:49.630
<v Sam>Okay. And apparently back in 2012, I had all, I had found it.

00:18:49.690 --> 00:18:54.870
<v Sam>Cause like I looked at my 2012 post-mortem and it included the correct number,

00:18:54.970 --> 00:18:57.730
<v Sam>but like in my spreadsheet was a wrong number.

00:18:57.810 --> 00:19:02.310
<v Sam>And that wrong number had been propagated through the stuff I'd done since then.

00:19:02.510 --> 00:19:07.790
<v Sam>And so I found it, I corrected it, but the curves that come out of the process

00:19:07.790 --> 00:19:12.530
<v Sam>looked better with the error than with the real data, which was kind of annoying.

00:19:13.050 --> 00:19:18.690
<v Sam>But, you know, and it took me like, I spent like an hour or two convincing myself,

00:19:20.130 --> 00:19:27.070
<v Sam>that it really had been an error before and the new numbers were better than

00:19:27.070 --> 00:19:30.370
<v Sam>the old numbers and I should go with the new numbers, not the old ones.

00:19:30.470 --> 00:19:32.090
<v Sam>Anyway, that was Monday and Tuesday.

00:19:32.310 --> 00:19:34.450
<v Sam>By the end of Tuesday, I'd gotten all that done.

00:19:36.150 --> 00:19:39.550
<v Sam>Wednesday I made the

00:19:39.550 --> 00:19:43.350
<v Sam>I don't even know what day it is like I'm getting

00:19:43.350 --> 00:19:49.130
<v Sam>confused Wednesday I did the state detail pages and added this functionality

00:19:49.130 --> 00:19:54.410
<v Sam>and it worked really well and by the end of the day I launched it I put out

00:19:54.410 --> 00:19:59.750
<v Sam>a toot on Mastodon saying hey this is on the state thing national National is coming soon.

00:20:00.590 --> 00:20:05.670
<v Sam>So I was really happy. Now I say Wednesday, but really it was,

00:20:05.750 --> 00:20:12.570
<v Sam>I did an all nighter Wednesday into Thursday morning, but, but I did it and

00:20:12.570 --> 00:20:14.010
<v Sam>I was really happy with the progress.

00:20:14.130 --> 00:20:17.630
<v Sam>I was, I felt like I was a little bit behind my intended schedule,

00:20:17.870 --> 00:20:22.030
<v Sam>but I was, I was okay. So Thursday I started working on the national stuff.

00:20:22.550 --> 00:20:28.530
<v Sam>Wait, I'm getting the timelines confused, whatever. It doesn't matter. I had the state stuff.

00:20:28.750 --> 00:20:33.350
<v Sam>Worked and I moved on to the national, like all the days have sort of merged into each other.

00:20:33.410 --> 00:20:37.630
<v Sam>Cause I pulled a couple all nighters and when I have slept, it's been like three

00:20:37.630 --> 00:20:39.370
<v Sam>or four hours and then I've gotten up again.

00:20:39.570 --> 00:20:43.270
<v Sam>And the first half of the week I was doing this thing where I was alternating

00:20:43.270 --> 00:20:45.770
<v Sam>with other activities I wanted to get done.

00:20:45.950 --> 00:20:50.590
<v Sam>Like for instance, I did an upgrade to wiki of the day early in the week as well.

00:20:51.150 --> 00:20:57.430
<v Sam>Uh, you know, I, let's see the, the, the two main things are one, uh.

00:20:58.830 --> 00:21:03.330
<v Sam>Has a wider variety of voices than it had before. Like the, the service I use to do it,

00:21:03.910 --> 00:21:09.450
<v Sam>Polly had added new voice engines and I had stuff in place to automatically

00:21:09.450 --> 00:21:14.750
<v Sam>take into account of new voices within existing engines, but they added new engines.

00:21:14.790 --> 00:21:20.290
<v Sam>So I had to like change things to, to, to take advantage of those new voices, which I did.

00:21:20.370 --> 00:21:24.290
<v Sam>And also one thing that's bugged me about wiki of the day from the very beginning

00:21:24.290 --> 00:21:28.830
<v Sam>was that compared to other podcasts, the volume was a little low. really.

00:21:28.830 --> 00:21:31.950
<v Ivan>Yeah i don't think so okay.

00:21:31.950 --> 00:21:35.450
<v Sam>It's it's just a little like normally like

00:21:35.450 --> 00:21:40.270
<v Sam>most podcasts are normalized to what's called like by something called luffs

00:21:40.270 --> 00:21:45.970
<v Sam>and it's like negative 16 luffs is standard and the wiki of the day was a little

00:21:45.970 --> 00:21:51.030
<v Sam>softer than that but i didn't have a good way to normalize to luffs i i it was

00:21:51.030 --> 00:21:55.130
<v Sam>only like you know i think there was a way you could just say louder butter, please.

00:21:55.590 --> 00:21:59.570
<v Sam>But anyway, I figured out how to normalize it to love. So it's now normalized

00:21:59.570 --> 00:22:03.130
<v Sam>to the same levels that curmudgeon's corners normalized to et cetera, et cetera.

00:22:03.230 --> 00:22:07.150
<v Sam>No one cares about that, but I did some, I did some, cause whenever I was listening

00:22:07.150 --> 00:22:10.530
<v Sam>to podcasts in the car and wiki of the day came on, I'd have to turn it up a

00:22:10.530 --> 00:22:12.010
<v Sam>little bit to be the same as the others.

00:22:12.110 --> 00:22:15.410
<v Sam>And that was, that's been bugging me for years. I finally fixed it.

00:22:16.010 --> 00:22:20.110
<v Sam>Anyway, the first half of the week I was doing other stuff. I was cleaning around

00:22:20.110 --> 00:22:23.050
<v Sam>the house. I was doing some dishes. I was doing some laundry.

00:22:23.290 --> 00:22:26.270
<v Sam>And by the time we got to Wednesday afternoon, I was like, no,

00:22:26.330 --> 00:22:27.990
<v Sam>I have to like concentrate on this.

00:22:28.350 --> 00:22:32.530
<v Sam>And so anyway, I got the state detail pages done. I was really happy with them,

00:22:32.550 --> 00:22:34.210
<v Sam>how they turned out. They looked great.

00:22:34.610 --> 00:22:39.750
<v Sam>And then I started doing the, the national stuff. And I have a test page where

00:22:39.750 --> 00:22:43.150
<v Sam>I'm sort of building all the stuff. And I was really, really happy with the progress there.

00:22:43.790 --> 00:22:46.970
<v Sam>And then I did something.

00:22:47.730 --> 00:22:50.690
<v Ivan>You did something. something wow i.

00:22:50.690 --> 00:22:52.790
<v Sam>I did something yeah.

00:22:52.790 --> 00:22:53.650
<v Ivan>What did you do.

00:22:53.650 --> 00:22:57.650
<v Sam>Basically i fucking broke everything ah.

00:22:57.650 --> 00:23:02.310
<v Ivan>Great that's always always always very you know.

00:23:02.310 --> 00:23:07.030
<v Sam>And of course like i do this crap by the seat of my pants editing things directly

00:23:07.030 --> 00:23:12.350
<v Sam>on the server without any version management whatever blah blah backups you.

00:23:12.350 --> 00:23:13.490
<v Ivan>Know yeah no.

00:23:13.490 --> 00:23:17.750
<v Sam>I have i had some backups well i did i did have like yeah.

00:23:17.750 --> 00:23:20.430
<v Ivan>But But not version management, I get, you know.

00:23:21.270 --> 00:23:26.130
<v Sam>Not recently enough. Like, I had a backup from before I started doing any of this work.

00:23:26.210 --> 00:23:29.470
<v Sam>I didn't have stuff that I could go back to, like, where I was an hour ago.

00:23:29.730 --> 00:23:30.990
<v Ivan>You could, exactly, yeah.

00:23:32.360 --> 00:23:34.020
<v Ivan>You couldn't roll. You couldn't just roll back.

00:23:34.520 --> 00:23:37.900
<v Sam>I couldn't just roll back. And of course, anybody out there in the software

00:23:37.900 --> 00:23:41.220
<v Sam>world is going to be like, well, Sam, you deserve everything you fucking get, you know?

00:23:41.580 --> 00:23:42.700
<v Ivan>Yes, you do. Yes, you do.

00:23:43.140 --> 00:23:48.920
<v Sam>Like this is best practices that people have known for decades, you know? And yes.

00:23:49.120 --> 00:23:55.500
<v Sam>Um, but no, no, I'm sitting there directly editing files on the server, on the live server.

00:23:55.860 --> 00:23:58.180
<v Sam>And like something breaks and I'm like, Oh, that's interesting.

00:23:58.260 --> 00:24:01.600
<v Sam>It breaks. And then I fix it. But then I got myself into a real mess.

00:24:02.360 --> 00:24:04.260
<v Sam>Like, all kinds of things weren't working right.

00:24:04.560 --> 00:24:07.940
<v Ivan>Yeah, right. And you could just roll it back.

00:24:08.540 --> 00:24:12.780
<v Sam>No. And right now, at this very second, like, I'm distracted as I'm talking

00:24:12.780 --> 00:24:16.680
<v Sam>to Yvonne because I'm discovering more things screwed up on the live site as

00:24:16.680 --> 00:24:19.300
<v Sam>we're speaking. Like, and...

00:24:19.300 --> 00:24:20.300
<v Ivan>Good work, Sam.

00:24:21.020 --> 00:24:26.700
<v Sam>Yeah, so... And my time is up. Like, I took the week off, not two weeks off.

00:24:26.880 --> 00:24:28.760
<v Sam>I do have the weekend, but I have...

00:24:28.760 --> 00:24:31.080
<v Ivan>I told you to take two fucking weeks off.

00:24:31.080 --> 00:24:35.260
<v Sam>Off i know i know i know but anyway so like i.

00:24:35.260 --> 00:24:37.800
<v Ivan>Mean next week is a fucking short week anyway.

00:24:38.540 --> 00:24:41.520
<v Sam>I know i know i've got the weekend and

00:24:41.520 --> 00:24:45.180
<v Sam>i've got blah blah blah but anyway so like i'm

00:24:45.180 --> 00:24:48.000
<v Sam>looking at like one of the graphs on there and i'm like that graph is completely

00:24:48.000 --> 00:24:52.740
<v Sam>wrong that graph is wrong why is that graph wrong what did i screw up on that

00:24:52.740 --> 00:25:00.040
<v Sam>one the other thing that i did was i had the way I originally set it up to do

00:25:00.040 --> 00:25:04.440
<v Sam>like some of the stuff was fast enough,

00:25:04.560 --> 00:25:06.860
<v Sam>but use too much memory.

00:25:07.160 --> 00:25:11.040
<v Sam>So like if I was trying to do deal with too many pages at the same time,

00:25:11.040 --> 00:25:12.700
<v Sam>it would blow up my server's memory.

00:25:12.840 --> 00:25:19.020
<v Sam>So I've been trying to change it to something that is, that would be faster,

00:25:19.200 --> 00:25:22.160
<v Sam>but I ended up making it slower instead.

00:25:22.800 --> 00:25:27.640
<v Sam>And so that's no good. Like, and, and like once it's cached.

00:25:27.780 --> 00:25:30.960
<v Sam>You can just bring up the cache. But the thing is, if something changes,

00:25:31.080 --> 00:25:36.900
<v Sam>then it like takes a little bit to like calculate the new results and cache

00:25:36.900 --> 00:25:39.160
<v Sam>the new version of the page and all this kind of stuff.

00:25:39.420 --> 00:25:44.220
<v Sam>And the problem is that time to do the caching moved from minutes to like an

00:25:44.220 --> 00:25:46.220
<v Sam>hour. And I'm like, oh man.

00:25:46.640 --> 00:25:49.620
<v Sam>And so like, anyway, so like I've been.

00:25:50.830 --> 00:25:59.950
<v Sam>I've been beside myself like all freaking day to day, like since about 11 a.m.

00:26:00.730 --> 00:26:04.530
<v Sam>Like was when whatever I did that started breaking things happened.

00:26:04.730 --> 00:26:09.850
<v Sam>And I've been trying to recover from that ever fucking since.

00:26:10.210 --> 00:26:16.790
<v Sam>And it is not there yet. I was actually, I think I was just realizing and during

00:26:16.790 --> 00:26:17.990
<v Sam>the next break, I'll do this.

00:26:18.010 --> 00:26:23.190
<v Sam>That it's, it's in a bad enough state right now that I'm going to put like a

00:26:23.190 --> 00:26:26.650
<v Sam>little red warning on the homepage or whatever saying things are screwed up

00:26:26.650 --> 00:26:27.730
<v Sam>right now. Come back later.

00:26:28.170 --> 00:26:31.770
<v Sam>You know, cause it's just, it's just a mess right now. Like some of these,

00:26:31.810 --> 00:26:33.650
<v Sam>I'm like, I don't know what the hell it's doing.

00:26:34.030 --> 00:26:39.590
<v Sam>And I like as recently as like, like I said, around 11 AM today,

00:26:39.810 --> 00:26:43.110
<v Sam>Friday, I was like, this is going really well.

00:26:43.150 --> 00:26:46.950
<v Sam>I might even finish this before I talk to Yvonne for the podcast.

00:26:47.450 --> 00:26:51.930
<v Sam>And then everything went to hell and then completely to hell and it's all messed up.

00:26:52.050 --> 00:26:57.210
<v Sam>And I I'm, I'm like, I was thinking that I'd be done with that and I do the

00:26:57.210 --> 00:26:59.130
<v Sam>podcast and then go get some sleep.

00:26:59.410 --> 00:27:03.110
<v Sam>And then in the morning, like, and then, you know, maybe clean up some stuff

00:27:03.110 --> 00:27:07.650
<v Sam>over the weekend, but it was, would be basically done and I could move on to other things.

00:27:07.930 --> 00:27:11.650
<v Sam>Instead, I'm now thinking as soon as I get done with this podcast,

00:27:11.990 --> 00:27:15.550
<v Sam>it's back to debugging bugging and it's another freaking all-nighter probably.

00:27:16.390 --> 00:27:20.830
<v Ivan>Nice. Yeah. There you go. Congratulations, Sam. Good work.

00:27:21.690 --> 00:27:26.030
<v Sam>Yeah, like even the stuff that I launched, even the stuff that I launched like

00:27:26.030 --> 00:27:29.010
<v Sam>Wednesday and put out the announcement about and everything,

00:27:29.110 --> 00:27:31.730
<v Sam>it was like, it was great. That stuff screwed up right now too.

00:27:32.070 --> 00:27:35.370
<v Sam>It's like, and anyway, so.

00:27:36.290 --> 00:27:40.390
<v Sam>So anyway, coming soon, I will fix all this stuff.

00:27:40.730 --> 00:27:46.110
<v Sam>It's just been a pain in my ass. And, and, and it's frustrating because it felt

00:27:46.110 --> 00:27:50.670
<v Sam>like it was all going so well and it was coming together exactly the way I had

00:27:50.670 --> 00:27:52.630
<v Sam>it planned. And then it all blew up.

00:27:53.360 --> 00:27:58.920
<v Sam>Nice good job congratulations yeah congratulations

00:27:58.920 --> 00:28:02.880
<v Sam>that's exactly right so i'm i'm researching

00:28:02.880 --> 00:28:09.180
<v Sam>stuff on how to like improve performance in one place and then in another in

00:28:09.180 --> 00:28:13.600
<v Sam>another place i'm like you know i'm like how do i do this in memory caches instead

00:28:13.600 --> 00:28:17.680
<v Sam>of off disk and stuff like that and then made one attempt and it didn't work

00:28:17.680 --> 00:28:20.220
<v Sam>right and then i'm making another attempt and that didn't work.

00:28:20.380 --> 00:28:25.240
<v Sam>And now I'm like, okay, this isn't working, so I have to set up this other thing,

00:28:25.280 --> 00:28:28.820
<v Sam>and I don't know, blah, blah, blah. And meanwhile, like I said, other things broke.

00:28:29.440 --> 00:28:34.460
<v Sam>And I feel like some of it is almost certainly like data's getting saved to

00:28:34.460 --> 00:28:37.580
<v Sam>the wrong place and overwriting something it shouldn't.

00:28:37.700 --> 00:28:41.280
<v Sam>And I know I can, it's just a matter of tracking it all down.

00:28:41.440 --> 00:28:43.280
<v Sam>And at this point, I'm tired.

00:28:44.000 --> 00:28:47.660
<v Sam>But the problem is live, so I need to fix it. yeah.

00:28:47.660 --> 00:28:51.220
<v Ivan>So is it is it is it because of your age sam it.

00:28:51.220 --> 00:28:54.780
<v Sam>Probably is because of my age it's it's because,

00:28:55.360 --> 00:28:58.800
<v Sam>i'm decrepit and over the hill yep and

00:28:58.800 --> 00:29:01.620
<v Sam>i'm cranky and the fact

00:29:01.620 --> 00:29:05.360
<v Sam>that i'm an old tech curmudgeon is one of the reasons i'm doing things like

00:29:05.360 --> 00:29:09.780
<v Sam>edit live on the damn server like if i'd been brought up any more recently than

00:29:09.780 --> 00:29:15.700
<v Sam>i was i would have been in indoctrinated into the proper use of all these these

00:29:15.700 --> 00:29:19.640
<v Sam>technologies to save you from shit like this from, from the very beginning,

00:29:19.820 --> 00:29:22.080
<v Sam>you know, I'd have, I'd have a staging server.

00:29:22.340 --> 00:29:25.560
<v Sam>I would have a version management. I'd have this, I'd have that.

00:29:25.680 --> 00:29:31.920
<v Sam>And in a professional capacity, I know all this stuff in a, what the hell I do at home.

00:29:32.180 --> 00:29:34.420
<v Sam>I'm just like, let's edit it live.

00:29:34.820 --> 00:29:39.120
<v Ivan>Ah, fuck it. Live, live in production, baby.

00:29:40.060 --> 00:29:44.220
<v Sam>Exactly. You know? And so, So, oh, man.

00:29:45.200 --> 00:29:51.680
<v Sam>So, yeah. Yeah. So I'm like, I'm frustrated right now because I was I was it

00:29:51.680 --> 00:29:55.520
<v Sam>was so close. I felt it to being done. And then kaboom.

00:29:56.890 --> 00:30:00.510
<v Sam>Everything's fucked now well um you'll.

00:30:00.510 --> 00:30:02.390
<v Ivan>Get you'll be you'll figure it out.

00:30:02.390 --> 00:30:05.250
<v Sam>I i'm sure i will figure it

00:30:05.250 --> 00:30:14.890
<v Sam>out but in the meantime i'm unhappy well i'm smiling while i say that it's like

00:30:14.890 --> 00:30:19.590
<v Sam>it's kind of been fun well the the get the making it actually work was kind

00:30:19.590 --> 00:30:25.090
<v Sam>of fun the stress of oh my god not everything's broken, less fun, less fun.

00:30:25.790 --> 00:30:27.430
<v Ivan>Less fun, but you know.

00:30:27.970 --> 00:30:32.730
<v Sam>It is what it is. So, all right, I should, I should eat sometime too.

00:30:32.830 --> 00:30:34.250
<v Sam>I don't think I've eaten in a while.

00:30:34.370 --> 00:30:35.530
<v Ivan>That, that would be good.

00:30:36.190 --> 00:30:40.350
<v Sam>But you know, whatever I eat, I'll, I'll eat the website.

00:30:41.210 --> 00:30:43.070
<v Ivan>Oh, that's that though. That'll be tasty.

00:30:43.310 --> 00:30:43.710
<v Sam>Yeah.

00:30:43.990 --> 00:30:47.550
<v Ivan>You just print it all, but it's just take all the code, just print,

00:30:47.610 --> 00:30:54.950
<v Ivan>print everything, print, you know, reveal all the, uh, html encoding and whatever on every page i.

00:30:54.950 --> 00:30:59.370
<v Sam>Was thinking more of a fax service where somebody could fax me a request for

00:30:59.370 --> 00:31:03.550
<v Sam>information on what's going on in a state and i would sort of manually write

00:31:03.550 --> 00:31:05.010
<v Sam>out a response and fax it back.

00:31:05.010 --> 00:31:10.410
<v Ivan>That's something i haven't done in quite a while you know i had somebody that

00:31:10.410 --> 00:31:14.970
<v Ivan>i think i can't remember what the heck it was this was like not that long ago

00:31:14.970 --> 00:31:20.550
<v Ivan>that was like the way this was communication was working i i i they they said

00:31:20.550 --> 00:31:23.670
<v Ivan>that they didn't use email, that they would just use fax.

00:31:24.050 --> 00:31:28.690
<v Ivan>So I would write out a fax and I could, I used to be able to fax from my computer.

00:31:28.770 --> 00:31:33.390
<v Ivan>I talked about this, that my service got discontinued, but that I could fax

00:31:33.390 --> 00:31:39.430
<v Ivan>from the computer and then they would write a note on paper and then fax it back to me.

00:31:40.030 --> 00:31:46.770
<v Sam>Lovely. Okay. Well, you mentioned our ages, so I think it's time to take a break.

00:31:46.770 --> 00:31:53.950
<v Sam>And I guess there's an obvious topic, which is the Biden-Trump debate.

00:31:54.550 --> 00:31:56.850
<v Sam>And then there might be some other things to talk about.

00:31:57.410 --> 00:31:57.810
<v Ivan>Maybe.

00:31:58.190 --> 00:31:59.470
<v Sam>We're going to start with that, right?

00:31:59.930 --> 00:32:01.870
<v Ivan>Yeah. Okay. We'll start with that.

00:32:01.910 --> 00:32:02.750
<v Sam>We'll start with that.

00:32:02.790 --> 00:32:03.690
<v Ivan>I guess we have to.

00:32:04.050 --> 00:32:11.770
<v Sam>We have to. There's no choice. There's no choice. We will be back after this.

00:33:55.550 --> 00:33:56.090
<v Sam>Okay.

00:33:56.530 --> 00:34:00.230
<v Ivan>Well, let me ask a question because this was recorded a while back.

00:34:00.790 --> 00:34:02.750
<v Ivan>Does Alex still hate curmudgeon's corner?

00:34:03.410 --> 00:34:07.470
<v Sam>Alex, do you still hate curmudgeon's corner? He nods. Yes, he does.

00:34:08.030 --> 00:34:10.910
<v Ivan>Okay. All right. Good. So, okay. So that hasn't changed. Okay.

00:34:11.270 --> 00:34:16.650
<v Sam>So during the break, I did, like I said, I put a big red note on election graphs.com.

00:34:17.110 --> 00:34:22.670
<v Sam>Oops. I've been trying to do some up, some upgrades to the site and instead broke a bunch of stuff.

00:34:23.090 --> 00:34:26.490
<v Sam>Don't trust anything you see at the moment. I'm working on it. Come back later.

00:34:26.890 --> 00:34:27.790
<v Ivan>Good job, Sam.

00:34:28.410 --> 00:34:32.090
<v Sam>Yeah. Yeah. I mean, there are some things that are still correct,

00:34:32.290 --> 00:34:36.030
<v Sam>but like there's a lot that's not. So yeah.

00:34:36.270 --> 00:34:39.530
<v Sam>Anyway, hopefully this will be fixed by the end of the weekend.

00:34:39.630 --> 00:34:44.170
<v Sam>Hopefully it'll be fixed tonight, but realistically, maybe not.

00:34:44.290 --> 00:34:46.170
<v Sam>We'll see. Cause I'm tired anyway.

00:34:46.530 --> 00:34:48.890
<v Sam>So somebody else was tired. Yvonne.

00:34:49.950 --> 00:34:53.310
<v Ivan>You mean the, the president of the United States?

00:34:53.830 --> 00:34:56.370
<v Sam>Yes. the president of the united states.

00:34:56.370 --> 00:35:00.610
<v Ivan>I'm gonna okay you know i

00:35:00.610 --> 00:35:03.230
<v Ivan>don't i don't i don't know

00:35:03.230 --> 00:35:07.570
<v Ivan>if it's worth going over any of the details of

00:35:07.570 --> 00:35:11.590
<v Ivan>the debate here here's my take about the the actual details

00:35:11.590 --> 00:35:14.690
<v Ivan>of the debate itself yeah and it's

00:35:14.690 --> 00:35:17.870
<v Ivan>and and a reason why i i haven't like really watched

00:35:17.870 --> 00:35:21.430
<v Ivan>a lot of these things in recent times it's more

00:35:21.430 --> 00:35:25.070
<v Ivan>important what whatever the conversation around

00:35:25.070 --> 00:35:28.730
<v Ivan>it is than anything that actually happens okay

00:35:28.730 --> 00:35:31.730
<v Ivan>yes yeah i mean you

00:35:31.730 --> 00:35:36.210
<v Ivan>know because that's irrelevant it doesn't matter it doesn't matter how i view

00:35:36.210 --> 00:35:43.070
<v Ivan>it because that that you know that it's just my view and i have my perspective

00:35:43.070 --> 00:35:47.890
<v Ivan>on what i believe about each of the candidates and so that that's it's really

00:35:47.890 --> 00:35:49.610
<v Ivan>irrelevant. What's irrelevant is what,

00:35:51.130 --> 00:35:57.610
<v Ivan>People's takeaways are from the thing. And so with that in mind,

00:35:57.770 --> 00:36:02.830
<v Ivan>you know, this, this morning was a morning of quite a lot of,

00:36:02.830 --> 00:36:08.030
<v Ivan>well, even last night and this morning has been of quite a lot of aggressive

00:36:08.030 --> 00:36:10.390
<v Ivan>reactions by many people,

00:36:10.490 --> 00:36:14.810
<v Ivan>you know, in, in the democratic side. I mean, I, I just saw.

00:36:15.250 --> 00:36:19.850
<v Sam>So, so since we didn't say it, let's just start with the fact.

00:36:19.970 --> 00:36:25.650
<v Sam>Yeah. All of this reaction has been due to the near universal feelings that

00:36:25.650 --> 00:36:28.490
<v Sam>Joe Biden did not do well at this debate.

00:36:28.570 --> 00:36:28.910
<v Ivan>Correct.

00:36:28.990 --> 00:36:35.810
<v Sam>And Donald Trump had his issues, but had to had Donald Trump came off better

00:36:35.810 --> 00:36:42.130
<v Sam>from a certain perspectives than than Joe Biden, at least relative to expectations.

00:36:42.130 --> 00:36:45.570
<v Ivan>Like, I think that that's the key thing.

00:36:45.670 --> 00:36:51.010
<v Ivan>Relative to expectations, Donald Trump significantly overperformed relative

00:36:51.010 --> 00:36:56.550
<v Ivan>to the average expectation and Biden significantly underperformed.

00:36:56.730 --> 00:36:58.670
<v Ivan>Yeah, that's the reality.

00:36:58.670 --> 00:37:03.750
<v Sam>I mean, when we talked about this debate over the last couple of weeks,

00:37:04.210 --> 00:37:06.770
<v Sam>we basically, we were focused on Donald Trump.

00:37:06.930 --> 00:37:11.890
<v Sam>We were like, look, in all of his recent public appearances,

00:37:12.270 --> 00:37:18.390
<v Sam>he's seemed scattered and addled and like not coherent, particularly.

00:37:18.810 --> 00:37:19.550
<v Ivan>And tired.

00:37:19.550 --> 00:37:27.330
<v Sam>And tired and whatever. The Donald Trump that showed up to the debate was the

00:37:27.330 --> 00:37:33.250
<v Sam>usual sort of lying bastard without a sense for the truth or without any morals

00:37:33.250 --> 00:37:36.570
<v Sam>and with horrible policy ideas.

00:37:36.790 --> 00:37:39.290
<v Sam>But he was energetic.

00:37:39.290 --> 00:37:40.410
<v Ivan>He was energetic.

00:37:40.690 --> 00:37:46.670
<v Sam>He was forceful. He was able, he was responding quickly on his feet.

00:37:47.170 --> 00:37:52.970
<v Sam>Meanwhile, the Joe Biden we got was not the Joe Biden from the state of the

00:37:52.970 --> 00:37:54.530
<v Sam>union or certain other events.

00:37:54.850 --> 00:37:58.470
<v Sam>He, he had a cold. yeah he

00:37:58.470 --> 00:38:01.290
<v Sam>his his voice was not

00:38:01.290 --> 00:38:04.390
<v Sam>strong he looked tired

00:38:04.390 --> 00:38:07.230
<v Sam>he would like just as he was standing there

00:38:07.230 --> 00:38:11.230
<v Sam>he often just had his mouth open while he was looking at donald trump giving

00:38:11.230 --> 00:38:17.790
<v Sam>his answers and then at various points in the conversation he sort of was trying

00:38:17.790 --> 00:38:22.590
<v Sam>to rattle off some things and sort of got lost and confused as to what he was

00:38:22.590 --> 00:38:26.050
<v Sam>trying to say and had to circle back and And basically,

00:38:26.050 --> 00:38:29.130
<v Sam>it was just not a good look for Joe Biden at all.

00:38:29.410 --> 00:38:40.670
<v Sam>And so to what you were starting to say, the entire political universe on the left has been in – well,

00:38:40.970 --> 00:38:45.250
<v Sam>I want to split this up into a couple of groups. There's some –.

00:38:46.290 --> 00:38:49.450
<v Sam>That have always been anti-Biden who are like, I told you so,

00:38:49.590 --> 00:38:51.210
<v Sam>you should have dumped him a long time ago.

00:38:51.690 --> 00:38:55.650
<v Sam>There are a lot of people who are Biden supporters who seem to be in somewhat of a panic.

00:38:56.270 --> 00:39:02.670
<v Sam>Meanwhile, of course, the MAGA guys are gloating and are very excited about how well their guy did.

00:39:02.870 --> 00:39:06.930
<v Sam>And they're also like, we told you so, Joe Biden's going senile, blah, blah, blah.

00:39:07.770 --> 00:39:15.570
<v Sam>And so it's been a spiral of negativity from the moment the debate started frankly

00:39:15.570 --> 00:39:19.110
<v Sam>i mean i i've sent my first negative comment about oh shit this isn't going

00:39:19.110 --> 00:39:21.410
<v Sam>well within like a minute like.

00:39:21.410 --> 00:39:24.970
<v Ivan>Like in the first minute first couple of minutes yeah yeah it was very quickly.

00:39:24.970 --> 00:39:32.210
<v Sam>Yeah and and but it's spiraled to like all kinds of people talking about how

00:39:32.210 --> 00:39:37.570
<v Sam>joe biden should pull out talking about brokered conventions talking about like

00:39:37.570 --> 00:39:41.630
<v Sam>one one person even suggested that he should resign the presidency not just

00:39:41.630 --> 00:39:43.830
<v Sam>the candidacy yeah you know the.

00:39:43.830 --> 00:39:45.410
<v Ivan>New york times editorial board.

00:39:45.410 --> 00:39:45.810
<v Sam>Is saying.

00:39:45.810 --> 00:39:48.650
<v Ivan>That he should resign which is just i i.

00:39:48.650 --> 00:39:52.270
<v Sam>Not run or resign from the presidency or.

00:39:52.270 --> 00:39:53.250
<v Ivan>Not run right.

00:39:53.250 --> 00:39:56.810
<v Sam>Because one person said he should resign from the presidency but right.

00:39:56.810 --> 00:40:02.530
<v Ivan>Right okay but but can i look i'm gonna Today, like later in the afternoon,

00:40:02.630 --> 00:40:07.910
<v Ivan>as I was driving home from my long day, one thing dawned upon me very quickly.

00:40:09.870 --> 00:40:16.950
<v Ivan>We did have a conversation at our late lunch about this, but one thing dawned upon me very quickly.

00:40:17.950 --> 00:40:25.230
<v Ivan>You know, Sam, that in two weeks, no one is going to remember this fucking thing.

00:40:25.890 --> 00:40:27.610
<v Ivan>But let me listen.

00:40:28.190 --> 00:40:30.250
<v Sam>Yeah, okay, finish, and then I'll counter.

00:40:30.570 --> 00:40:35.370
<v Ivan>Okay, maybe they'll remember it, but it's immaterial.

00:40:35.510 --> 00:40:41.510
<v Ivan>And I'm going to tell you, look, you remember when the Grab Him By The Pussy tapes came out?

00:40:42.150 --> 00:40:42.990
<v Sam>Yes, I do.

00:40:42.990 --> 00:40:50.410
<v Ivan>How quickly after that did anybody not give two fucks about what's-his-name

00:40:50.410 --> 00:40:52.190
<v Ivan>and the Grambyte pussy tapes?

00:40:52.570 --> 00:40:56.910
<v Sam>Well, it's all a question of what news comes up to supplant it, right?

00:40:57.410 --> 00:41:01.430
<v Ivan>Correct. Well, here's the thing that's coming to supplant it, Sam.

00:41:01.810 --> 00:41:03.570
<v Sam>The Supreme Court ruling on Monday?

00:41:04.010 --> 00:41:04.470
<v Ivan>No.

00:41:05.470 --> 00:41:06.510
<v Sam>Trump's sentencing?

00:41:07.010 --> 00:41:12.510
<v Ivan>That's right. And that's coming up pretty damn soon.

00:41:12.990 --> 00:41:16.870
<v Ivan>Okay and i i'm just like it's.

00:41:16.870 --> 00:41:18.470
<v Sam>On the 11th i think right.

00:41:18.470 --> 00:41:21.430
<v Ivan>On the 11th yeah let me

00:41:21.430 --> 00:41:24.830
<v Ivan>tell you something these cycles with

00:41:24.830 --> 00:41:28.150
<v Ivan>this shit okay i mean

00:41:28.150 --> 00:41:31.430
<v Ivan>listen if this is not

00:41:31.430 --> 00:41:34.690
<v Ivan>forgotten just like the state

00:41:34.690 --> 00:41:37.730
<v Ivan>of the union right was what february yeah

00:41:37.730 --> 00:41:40.610
<v Ivan>how quickly did people forget about the state

00:41:40.610 --> 00:41:43.990
<v Ivan>of the union and i mean 50 about a large

00:41:43.990 --> 00:41:46.910
<v Ivan>number of people saw that too okay yeah yeah

00:41:46.910 --> 00:41:52.830
<v Ivan>i mean how quickly now it seems that nobody remembers that three weeks ago we're

00:41:52.830 --> 00:41:58.450
<v Ivan>all jumping up and down in joy because trump was convicted he was convinced

00:41:58.450 --> 00:42:02.850
<v Ivan>that he's now a convicted felon yeah it doesn't seem like it was an eternity

00:42:02.850 --> 00:42:04.990
<v Ivan>when trump was convicted it's.

00:42:04.990 --> 00:42:06.110
<v Sam>Always been that way hasn't it.

00:42:06.110 --> 00:42:10.010
<v Ivan>Yeah and so So attention.

00:42:10.010 --> 00:42:14.270
<v Sam>Spans are really small. Lots of people still aren't focused.

00:42:14.470 --> 00:42:16.290
<v Sam>But look, I mean, here's everybody.

00:42:16.450 --> 00:42:27.090
<v Ivan>Listen here. But look, the reality is that related to what we saw and from what

00:42:27.090 --> 00:42:29.590
<v Ivan>I've been hearing, because I was out talking to people,

00:42:29.690 --> 00:42:32.550
<v Ivan>listen, most people have these opinions formed already.

00:42:32.830 --> 00:42:33.390
<v Sam>Yeah.

00:42:33.710 --> 00:42:36.350
<v Ivan>Biden's old. Trump's a piece of shit.

00:42:36.350 --> 00:42:39.590
<v Sam>Well, we've, we've always said everything is about the margins.

00:42:39.630 --> 00:42:45.490
<v Sam>Like, you know, there, there's this small slice of people who actually could

00:42:45.490 --> 00:42:46.450
<v Sam>change what they're doing.

00:42:46.690 --> 00:42:51.050
<v Ivan>But the question is about this, right? And, and that's the question is what

00:42:51.050 --> 00:42:53.990
<v Ivan>the hell their reaction is to this.

00:42:54.050 --> 00:42:57.370
<v Ivan>And will they remember it by the time it's supposed to matter?

00:42:57.710 --> 00:43:04.690
<v Ivan>Okay. When we're talking that it's June and the election is in November. Okay. Okay.

00:43:06.030 --> 00:43:16.530
<v Ivan>And so again, I really think that this entire crazy, ridiculous reaction is, is,

00:43:16.650 --> 00:43:22.650
<v Ivan>is way over the top because as much as Biden under, you know,

00:43:22.650 --> 00:43:30.650
<v Ivan>did not come off, did not perform well yesterday and he didn't, and he didn't. Okay.

00:43:30.710 --> 00:43:38.490
<v Ivan>I agree that he didn't. And I'm just, you know, maybe I think that one of the

00:43:38.490 --> 00:43:44.670
<v Ivan>things that I measured today that colors my thinking about this is that, I don't know.

00:43:44.750 --> 00:43:53.150
<v Ivan>I mean, you and I have seen Biden in the public stage for what, over 30 years.

00:43:53.150 --> 00:44:02.730
<v Ivan>OK, Biden had a fucking presidential campaign already derailed by him,

00:44:02.910 --> 00:44:06.250
<v Ivan>his mistakes in public speaking.

00:44:06.650 --> 00:44:12.290
<v Ivan>Literally, this is what derailed one of his first presidential campaigns,

00:44:12.550 --> 00:44:19.890
<v Ivan>a series of gaffes that he kept committing that were related to him in public.

00:44:19.890 --> 00:44:22.850
<v Ivan>Public he has been he went

00:44:22.850 --> 00:44:26.150
<v Ivan>to this debate obviously prepared

00:44:26.150 --> 00:44:29.930
<v Ivan>for the wrong type of debate he was

00:44:29.930 --> 00:44:34.610
<v Ivan>like focused on the minutiae and the stuff and basically what they should have

00:44:34.610 --> 00:44:40.830
<v Ivan>done is let him rest fuck whatever the details are and just have him up there

00:44:40.830 --> 00:44:47.550
<v Ivan>and be forceful even if the facts are all wrong because nobody gives a fuck about the facts i.

00:44:47.550 --> 00:44:53.910
<v Sam>I couldn't like Like, I had this conversation briefly with somebody on Mastodon,

00:44:53.950 --> 00:45:00.330
<v Sam>like, where I was like, you know, he was badly prepared for this debate.

00:45:01.190 --> 00:45:05.290
<v Sam>And they're like, he was well prepared at Camp David, seven days.

00:45:05.890 --> 00:45:09.510
<v Sam>And we're talking about the most professional politicos in the world.

00:45:09.550 --> 00:45:13.010
<v Sam>The prep was world class. And I'm like, look.

00:45:13.670 --> 00:45:14.730
<v Ivan>Prepared for what?

00:45:14.730 --> 00:45:20.250
<v Sam>What is it? Unfortunately, and I don't understand it because this same mistake

00:45:20.250 --> 00:45:24.730
<v Sam>has been made over and over again by incumbent presidents coming into their

00:45:24.730 --> 00:45:27.790
<v Sam>first debates like and other candidates too.

00:45:27.910 --> 00:45:32.450
<v Sam>It's like they always are stuffing them full of facts and saying,

00:45:32.450 --> 00:45:35.550
<v Sam>right, you got to memorize these things and you got to make sure to hit these

00:45:35.550 --> 00:45:37.710
<v Sam>talking points and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.

00:45:37.890 --> 00:45:42.170
<v Sam>And almost invariably the candidate who does that.

00:45:43.030 --> 00:45:48.090
<v Sam>Comes off looking badly. And then there's a round of people saying,

00:45:48.150 --> 00:45:51.890
<v Sam>you got to just let the candidate be the candidate, let them be themselves,

00:45:52.450 --> 00:45:57.310
<v Sam>you know, and all of this kind of stuff, because you made them,

00:45:57.390 --> 00:46:02.890
<v Sam>they, they come off as unnatural, even if they do it well, they come off as unnatural.

00:46:02.990 --> 00:46:07.150
<v Sam>And if they do it badly, like Joe Biden did, it just is disastrous.

00:46:07.450 --> 00:46:10.710
<v Sam>Now, having said that Is the prep all of it?

00:46:10.750 --> 00:46:15.510
<v Sam>This person who was talking to me was just going on about how it's clearly dementia,

00:46:15.830 --> 00:46:17.330
<v Sam>he's sundowning, blah, blah, blah.

00:46:18.350 --> 00:46:22.230
<v Ivan>Well, is the prep all of it? Well, here's the problem. If they knew that he

00:46:22.230 --> 00:46:24.570
<v Ivan>had a cold, the question was...

00:46:24.570 --> 00:46:25.930
<v Sam>It's a no-win scenario. What do you do?

00:46:26.510 --> 00:46:30.250
<v Ivan>Exactly. Because I'm like, okay. Because one call could have been,

00:46:30.350 --> 00:46:32.010
<v Ivan>fuck it. We're canceled.

00:46:32.810 --> 00:46:39.490
<v Ivan>You know? We're canceled. canceling but man that would have looked very bad

00:46:39.490 --> 00:46:43.830
<v Ivan>that would have looked off right to just go and cancel it.

00:46:43.830 --> 00:46:45.590
<v Sam>Was a no-win scenario it.

00:46:45.590 --> 00:46:52.370
<v Ivan>Was a no-win scenario and so you agreed to this and they.

00:46:52.370 --> 00:46:56.030
<v Sam>Should have had been a full isolation protocol for two weeks before the debate.

00:46:56.030 --> 00:47:00.530
<v Ivan>Yeah basically Basically, but you know, so, but you had it.

00:47:00.570 --> 00:47:06.650
<v Ivan>So that was, that would have been also a problem, but maybe not as bad.

00:47:07.090 --> 00:47:07.570
<v Sam>Yeah.

00:47:07.730 --> 00:47:08.750
<v Ivan>Is what I'm thinking.

00:47:08.870 --> 00:47:09.110
<v Sam>Yeah.

00:47:09.770 --> 00:47:14.570
<v Ivan>I, I, I'm thinking that, you know, people get sick, you know,

00:47:14.570 --> 00:47:18.390
<v Ivan>whatever you say, listen, you're, you're, you know, just cancel it.

00:47:18.710 --> 00:47:24.310
<v Sam>Well, the thing is like the, and I, I put a lot of it on the prep as well as

00:47:24.310 --> 00:47:27.250
<v Sam>the being sick because immediately after the stupid debate.

00:47:27.410 --> 00:47:34.790
<v Sam>He went to like a watch party that, and like watching him on the, on video,

00:47:35.010 --> 00:47:39.290
<v Sam>like meeting and greeting at that watch party and the little remarks he gave

00:47:39.290 --> 00:47:43.470
<v Sam>at the beginning, he was instantly miles better than he'd been at the debate.

00:47:44.170 --> 00:47:46.710
<v Sam>And then let alone the rally he had on Friday.

00:47:47.990 --> 00:47:54.630
<v Ivan>I think it goes back. Listen, but the prep part, listen, the prep part, listen, the prep part.

00:47:54.750 --> 00:47:58.110
<v Ivan>Yeah. Let me just say this. The prep part. We're under...

00:48:00.730 --> 00:48:03.990
<v Ivan>The prep, I'm sure it wasn't just about the details.

00:48:04.530 --> 00:48:09.770
<v Ivan>I think that based on the debate rules, okay, they said, well,

00:48:10.010 --> 00:48:11.810
<v Ivan>this is what's going to work.

00:48:12.310 --> 00:48:16.910
<v Ivan>Because I kept thinking of, based on the rules as they were written,

00:48:17.050 --> 00:48:22.670
<v Ivan>I remember some old debates a long time ago where a question would be asked,

00:48:22.890 --> 00:48:27.930
<v Ivan>one candidate would answer, the other candidate had a time to rebut,

00:48:27.970 --> 00:48:29.370
<v Ivan>the other candidate had time.

00:48:29.370 --> 00:48:31.950
<v Ivan>Time and the time was strictly managed.

00:48:32.150 --> 00:48:36.990
<v Ivan>And that was that. Based on what I saw in the rules, that's what it looked like would happen.

00:48:37.310 --> 00:48:41.670
<v Ivan>But I was not watching the debate. But the one thing that they had on the New

00:48:41.670 --> 00:48:48.650
<v Ivan>York Times page was this thing that measured how much time was being given to each candidate to talk.

00:48:48.970 --> 00:48:55.030
<v Ivan>And the reality is that I guess the Biden folks, maybe they thought,

00:48:55.030 --> 00:49:02.510
<v Ivan>you know the cnn was going to manage the time but they sure as hell did not they let trump talk.

00:49:03.490 --> 00:49:10.570
<v Ivan>Way longer on every question than than biden had they weren't managing hey it's

00:49:10.570 --> 00:49:14.390
<v Ivan>like because i remember i'm thinking debate no you have one minute then you

00:49:14.390 --> 00:49:21.750
<v Ivan>got minutes to rebut no so they They were letting them talk and talk and talk and talk and talk.

00:49:21.810 --> 00:49:29.430
<v Ivan>And Biden thinking, well, all I got to do is respond and, you know,

00:49:29.450 --> 00:49:32.610
<v Ivan>say my details about this and then we're done.

00:49:33.090 --> 00:49:36.230
<v Ivan>And we're going to just let Trump look crazy.

00:49:37.170 --> 00:49:40.410
<v Ivan>And the problem is that that really didn't work.

00:49:41.500 --> 00:49:46.020
<v Sam>Well, no, it doesn't work. First of all, the fact that Trump is crazy is baked

00:49:46.020 --> 00:49:47.640
<v Sam>in. Everybody has known that for years.

00:49:48.040 --> 00:49:53.560
<v Sam>But second, like, and Democrats in general, and I hate to paint with a broad

00:49:53.560 --> 00:49:56.400
<v Sam>brush, but it's a recurring theme.

00:49:57.120 --> 00:50:01.660
<v Sam>Democrats in general like to be wonks. They like to talk policy.

00:50:01.660 --> 00:50:07.660
<v Sam>They like to talk like government and how it works and like the details of how,

00:50:07.780 --> 00:50:12.520
<v Sam>you know, how things we're going to do this and then that's going to do this.

00:50:12.580 --> 00:50:15.100
<v Sam>And this is why it's good for you and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.

00:50:16.960 --> 00:50:20.500
<v Sam>And that doesn't resonate with the general public.

00:50:21.080 --> 00:50:27.020
<v Sam>Now, for folks like us who are into those details and follow things closely.

00:50:27.340 --> 00:50:31.960
<v Sam>OK, yeah, that sounds great. Great. But for the wide audience,

00:50:32.280 --> 00:50:37.400
<v Sam>it's all about the emotional connection and how you make people feel.

00:50:37.820 --> 00:50:42.980
<v Sam>It's not about the specifics of your damn policy.

00:50:43.200 --> 00:50:49.040
<v Sam>Like, yes, like the specifics of your policy matter when you're governing,

00:50:49.220 --> 00:50:52.420
<v Sam>when you're running for office,

00:50:52.560 --> 00:50:58.300
<v Sam>like they are, they are sort of the, they look, I'm not saying ignore policy

00:50:58.300 --> 00:51:04.520
<v Sam>policy does matter, but the thing that's going to get people out is you have

00:51:04.520 --> 00:51:07.100
<v Sam>to excite them. You have to make them feel good.

00:51:07.200 --> 00:51:13.560
<v Sam>You have to like, you have to appeal to their emotions, not to their brains.

00:51:13.940 --> 00:51:17.340
<v Sam>Like appealing to the brain is always a sure way to lose.

00:51:17.640 --> 00:51:20.560
<v Ivan>Well, I mean, I think it's just,

00:51:21.490 --> 00:51:25.310
<v Ivan>I mean, you mentioned policy specifics, but, you know, and you're right.

00:51:25.450 --> 00:51:31.530
<v Ivan>If you went and I saw somebody that said, listen, if you pull down the transcript

00:51:31.530 --> 00:51:34.390
<v Ivan>of the debate, forget about looking at it.

00:51:34.710 --> 00:51:36.910
<v Ivan>And you just read the transcripts.

00:51:36.970 --> 00:51:37.450
<v Sam>Yes.

00:51:37.570 --> 00:51:42.410
<v Ivan>You would have thought, ah, this went okay. You know, maybe a draw.

00:51:42.490 --> 00:51:47.490
<v Ivan>I mean, you know, Trump said just a whole bunch of, and you actually,

00:51:47.530 --> 00:51:49.130
<v Ivan>you might have thought that Biden won.

00:51:49.130 --> 00:51:51.770
<v Ivan>Because you know like i mean i was

00:51:51.770 --> 00:51:57.110
<v Ivan>looking at some of the crazy shit that trump said yesterday that nobody is focusing

00:51:57.110 --> 00:52:03.830
<v Ivan>on today on abortion for example well apparently by the way i i didn't know

00:52:03.830 --> 00:52:10.090
<v Ivan>sam i there's there's black the black jobs did you uh.

00:52:10.090 --> 00:52:12.590
<v Sam>Yeah yeah yeah.

00:52:12.590 --> 00:52:16.010
<v Ivan>Yeah well in other times i

00:52:16.010 --> 00:52:19.690
<v Ivan>mean people would have been fucking focused on

00:52:19.690 --> 00:52:22.870
<v Ivan>this kind of shit okay i mean

00:52:22.870 --> 00:52:25.590
<v Ivan>black jobs sam what what the fuck are

00:52:25.590 --> 00:52:30.150
<v Ivan>the black jobs you want to explain to me what the fuck the black jobs are i

00:52:30.150 --> 00:52:36.090
<v Ivan>guess janna i'm sure that in his mind it's fucking you know i guess uh you know

00:52:36.090 --> 00:52:41.050
<v Ivan>picking cotton and cleaning floors is that what it is uh-huh but that's what

00:52:41.050 --> 00:52:43.230
<v Ivan>he said on the fucking stage Yeah.

00:52:43.310 --> 00:52:43.570
<v Sam>I know.

00:52:43.650 --> 00:52:51.030
<v Ivan>I got people going crazy because Biden sounded tired when that fucker said that on stage.

00:52:52.350 --> 00:52:52.870
<v Sam>Yes.

00:52:53.470 --> 00:53:02.630
<v Ivan>I mean, seriously. So I'm going to, you know, I will go back.

00:53:02.650 --> 00:53:06.030
<v Ivan>And I think that the guy that probably had the best perspective on this,

00:53:06.090 --> 00:53:09.390
<v Ivan>because he's unfortunately had to live through this, was Fetter.

00:53:11.410 --> 00:53:19.550
<v Ivan>Fetterman today basically said, and he literally said, replied how I said, fuck all of you.

00:53:21.590 --> 00:53:23.230
<v Sam>And he literally said it.

00:53:23.250 --> 00:53:26.470
<v Ivan>And thank you. Thank you, John, for channeling me. Okay.

00:53:26.710 --> 00:53:32.170
<v Ivan>He said, listen, I've had the bad debate like this where everybody basically

00:53:32.170 --> 00:53:37.930
<v Ivan>said that I should quit the race because that happened to Fetterman at the debate.

00:53:38.110 --> 00:53:42.810
<v Ivan>Okay. And what he said is like, you know what? Fuck all of you.

00:53:43.570 --> 00:53:45.530
<v Ivan>This is just moronic.

00:53:48.570 --> 00:53:54.570
<v Ivan>I don't, you know, the whole problem with this replace them thing.

00:53:54.890 --> 00:53:57.470
<v Ivan>Okay. Start off with where all these people.

00:53:57.970 --> 00:54:00.750
<v Sam>Yes. Yeah. There are a few. Go ahead.

00:54:01.530 --> 00:54:12.350
<v Ivan>It's just this man. Most of the information tells you that this is a bad idea.

00:54:13.030 --> 00:54:15.650
<v Ivan>That it probably guarantees a Trump win.

00:54:16.510 --> 00:54:19.890
<v Ivan>That's the that's that's all any

00:54:19.890 --> 00:54:23.230
<v Ivan>other time that a presidential candidate has

00:54:23.230 --> 00:54:26.130
<v Ivan>like harry truman for example or lyndon

00:54:26.130 --> 00:54:29.550
<v Ivan>johnson whoever the fuck it was okay i

00:54:29.550 --> 00:54:32.370
<v Ivan>decided not to run it's been bad

00:54:32.370 --> 00:54:35.490
<v Ivan>every other time that we've had a candidate who

00:54:35.490 --> 00:54:39.650
<v Ivan>has been the incumbent okay even

00:54:39.650 --> 00:54:43.170
<v Ivan>you know with issues shoes they have

00:54:43.170 --> 00:54:46.230
<v Ivan>had a tailwind that has made them over perform

00:54:46.230 --> 00:54:49.330
<v Ivan>versus whatever the fuck the polls

00:54:49.330 --> 00:54:53.830
<v Ivan>have said bush in 2004 with

00:54:53.830 --> 00:54:57.150
<v Ivan>the gulf war with all this shit with bad

00:54:57.150 --> 00:55:04.310
<v Ivan>debates because he had bad debates right okay what and still one okay and he

00:55:04.310 --> 00:55:12.430
<v Ivan>had all of this shit behind him trump barely lost okay and he had a pandemic

00:55:12.430 --> 00:55:15.670
<v Ivan>that killed millions and the guy.

00:55:16.970 --> 00:55:19.710
<v Ivan>Way over performed what the

00:55:19.710 --> 00:55:22.830
<v Ivan>fuck the polling said polling was saying months before oh

00:55:22.830 --> 00:55:25.930
<v Ivan>my god biden's this should be a you

00:55:25.930 --> 00:55:28.970
<v Ivan>know eight points whatever the fuck

00:55:28.970 --> 00:55:32.130
<v Ivan>it was and it was way closer

00:55:32.130 --> 00:55:34.990
<v Ivan>than that i mean it really came down to

00:55:34.990 --> 00:55:38.630
<v Ivan>just a few fucking thousand votes in multiple states right

00:55:38.630 --> 00:55:41.590
<v Ivan>and so and and that is a

00:55:41.590 --> 00:55:45.490
<v Ivan>testament to the fucking advantage of the incumbency.

00:55:45.490 --> 00:55:48.590
<v Ivan>Scene because people wind up

00:55:48.590 --> 00:55:51.530
<v Ivan>at the moment that they get up there they're thinking about

00:55:51.530 --> 00:55:56.670
<v Ivan>well the psychopath or fuck

00:55:56.670 --> 00:56:02.270
<v Ivan>i stay with this old guy like right now who you know i mean he's done pretty

00:56:02.270 --> 00:56:07.130
<v Ivan>decent but but he's old and senile whatever the fuck else they say about him

00:56:07.130 --> 00:56:15.390
<v Ivan>you know and that for whatever the hell reason historically has had significant weight Well.

00:56:15.470 --> 00:56:23.450
<v Sam>Here's the thing, too. The difference between some of the historical examples,

00:56:23.630 --> 00:56:28.830
<v Sam>because almost every incumbent president who has had a bad first debate performance,

00:56:29.150 --> 00:56:32.930
<v Sam>and there are a number of reasons why that might be, but this is the first one

00:56:32.930 --> 00:56:40.510
<v Sam>that's had this level of reaction to it with all the calls to drop out and this

00:56:40.510 --> 00:56:41.730
<v Sam>and that. And here's the thing.

00:56:41.950 --> 00:56:47.590
<v Sam>The reaction to the debate is far more damaging than the debate itself.

00:56:48.070 --> 00:56:53.170
<v Ivan>Oh, I agree. But here's one thing about this. I think, okay,

00:56:53.290 --> 00:56:58.390
<v Ivan>but we are also in a situation that is far different.

00:56:58.590 --> 00:57:03.450
<v Ivan>And I think the Democrats, because the Democrats are far more scared.

00:57:03.450 --> 00:57:06.050
<v Ivan>You say, this isn't 2004.

00:57:08.030 --> 00:57:10.450
<v Ivan>This isn't 92.

00:57:12.870 --> 00:57:18.950
<v Ivan>You're not thinking that the other guy is going to try a coup.

00:57:20.270 --> 00:57:24.030
<v Ivan>I'm wondering why the overreaction?

00:57:24.210 --> 00:57:28.390
<v Ivan>That's why the overreaction. Okay. I really think that that,

00:57:28.390 --> 00:57:35.050
<v Ivan>you know, there is in America, in a large part of America.

00:57:36.110 --> 00:57:40.970
<v Ivan>And I'm talking about for not voters, just adults in general,

00:57:41.110 --> 00:57:50.250
<v Ivan>a sense of fear about Trump getting back to the presidency, a sense of fear

00:57:50.250 --> 00:57:53.730
<v Ivan>that is not, I'm worried about Romney being president.

00:57:54.610 --> 00:57:54.650
<v Sam>Right.

00:57:55.010 --> 00:57:59.710
<v Ivan>And I think that's why the overreaction is so bad.

00:57:59.890 --> 00:58:05.450
<v Ivan>I mean, we've had fucking people have bad debates before or bad performances or whatever.

00:58:06.110 --> 00:58:11.630
<v Ivan>I just think that the level of of panic is is related to the level of what they

00:58:11.630 --> 00:58:16.050
<v Ivan>see, probably not incorrectly, as the threat of a Trump presidency.

00:58:16.190 --> 00:58:25.450
<v Ivan>But but again, the problem is why the fuck why the fuck did in 2020 we wind

00:58:25.450 --> 00:58:26.850
<v Ivan>up with Biden as a candidate?

00:58:26.930 --> 00:58:29.850
<v Ivan>Hell, I didn't even vote for Biden, the fucking primary.

00:58:29.990 --> 00:58:32.830
<v Ivan>OK, and I like Joe.

00:58:33.010 --> 00:58:39.070
<v Ivan>Okay. But for some fucking reason, most of the voters in the democratic party

00:58:39.070 --> 00:58:41.570
<v Ivan>wound up voting for Biden.

00:58:41.930 --> 00:58:46.570
<v Ivan>Okay. And my philosophy is like, look, I like Joe.

00:58:46.710 --> 00:58:50.330
<v Ivan>It wasn't my first choice and I'm going to support Joe.

00:58:50.470 --> 00:58:57.430
<v Ivan>And like right now, no credible opponent showed up. You've got Joe there.

00:58:57.890 --> 00:59:03.790
<v Ivan>And Joe is Joe. I mean, that's what he is.

00:59:03.990 --> 00:59:08.150
<v Ivan>And I'm just like, what the fuck?

00:59:08.770 --> 00:59:16.650
<v Ivan>Why are you guys trying to put in a fix that the reality is that if you look

00:59:16.650 --> 00:59:22.710
<v Ivan>at the data, it probably makes it worse for November.

00:59:23.270 --> 00:59:29.590
<v Ivan>Okay? I don't see how any of the options makes it better.

00:59:30.090 --> 00:59:34.050
<v Sam>Well, there are a couple of things here.

00:59:34.130 --> 00:59:39.290
<v Sam>One, I think you're right that part of the reason for the panic is that people

00:59:39.290 --> 00:59:42.590
<v Sam>are like, Donald Trump is so bad.

00:59:42.790 --> 00:59:45.350
<v Sam>The risks of him winning are really high.

00:59:45.670 --> 00:59:53.590
<v Sam>The other part of it is people are not taking this as he had one bad debate.

00:59:54.130 --> 01:00:00.070
<v Sam>They are taking it as this is proof that folks were right all along.

01:00:00.190 --> 01:00:04.570
<v Sam>And like the, the, the, the people on the far left and the MAGA folks,

01:00:04.750 --> 01:00:09.450
<v Sam>when they're saying, you know, dementia Joe, and that he's losing it and he's

01:00:09.450 --> 01:00:12.450
<v Sam>diminished and he can't handle the job.

01:00:13.250 --> 01:00:17.270
<v Ivan>But here, here's the fucking problem. I, my, my thing is that,

01:00:17.290 --> 01:00:21.390
<v Ivan>yeah, they're taking is proof of dementia. And I'm like, what dementia?

01:00:22.510 --> 01:00:27.950
<v Ivan>All he, you know, he stumbled, he was slow, he had a raspy voice.

01:00:28.930 --> 01:00:32.450
<v Ivan>It's a fucking dementia. The fuck is wrong with all of you?

01:00:33.130 --> 01:00:37.750
<v Sam>And again, like the event immediately after the debate, he pepped up and he

01:00:37.750 --> 01:00:45.650
<v Sam>was happy and he had energy and he did a rally in North Carolina on Friday afternoon and it was good.

01:00:45.870 --> 01:00:46.430
<v Ivan>Right.

01:00:46.590 --> 01:00:52.050
<v Sam>It was, I mean, again, he was energetic, he was passionate, he was whatever.

01:00:52.530 --> 01:00:57.390
<v Sam>And like for both of those things, I'm like, why the hell didn't that guy show

01:00:57.390 --> 01:01:01.310
<v Sam>up at the fucking debate, you know, like, and, and, you know,

01:01:01.330 --> 01:01:03.990
<v Sam>maybe he's just feeling a little bit better than he was.

01:01:04.250 --> 01:01:08.570
<v Sam>Maybe it was the over-preparation. I don't know, but I am not,

01:01:08.570 --> 01:01:12.370
<v Sam>you know, and people are like, well, you know, that's how like,

01:01:12.490 --> 01:01:14.650
<v Sam>you know, mental decline goes.

01:01:14.790 --> 01:01:18.110
<v Sam>You have your good moments and your bad moments. And I'm sure that's true,

01:01:18.250 --> 01:01:25.270
<v Sam>but like, and you know, So the person on Mastodon said, I'm in denial.

01:01:25.450 --> 01:01:32.610
<v Sam>You know, I'm like, you know, if and here's the thing, too, like part of it

01:01:32.610 --> 01:01:37.530
<v Sam>for me is if something does happen to Joe, I'm fine with Kamala.

01:01:38.050 --> 01:01:42.590
<v Ivan>So am I. I mean, that's the thing. Well, I'm like, oh, my God.

01:01:42.670 --> 01:01:43.910
<v Ivan>So what happens if Joe dies?

01:01:44.070 --> 01:01:47.150
<v Ivan>Well, fuck. I mean, so you've got Kamala. What's the problem?

01:01:47.690 --> 01:01:48.090
<v Sam>Right.

01:01:49.630 --> 01:01:53.550
<v Ivan>I mean, that's been my thing. I mean, I'm like, what is the fucking problem?

01:01:53.730 --> 01:01:55.310
<v Ivan>What the hell is the fucking problem?

01:01:55.910 --> 01:01:58.470
<v Ivan>I mean, I don't get it.

01:01:58.790 --> 01:02:00.370
<v Sam>And honestly, I would not be

01:02:00.370 --> 01:02:06.110
<v Sam>surprised if Joe Biden wins if he doesn't serve out the full four years.

01:02:06.690 --> 01:02:10.030
<v Sam>Like, four years is a long time at that age.

01:02:10.230 --> 01:02:14.750
<v Sam>A lot can happen. I wouldn't be surprised if at some point he decided his health

01:02:14.750 --> 01:02:17.330
<v Sam>was declining, he wanted to spend time with his family, whatever,

01:02:17.530 --> 01:02:20.870
<v Sam>and handed it over to Kamala. And the thing is, I'm okay with that.

01:02:21.050 --> 01:02:24.710
<v Sam>But of course, like the MAGA folks are like, you vote for Joe,

01:02:24.830 --> 01:02:26.350
<v Sam>you're actually getting Kamala.

01:02:26.490 --> 01:02:29.690
<v Sam>Like, it's a bad thing, you know, but I mean.

01:02:29.730 --> 01:02:35.610
<v Ivan>Right. Why, why is that a bad thing? The main thing about this,

01:02:35.690 --> 01:02:40.990
<v Ivan>all this shit that we're talking about is shit that I've already heard repeated

01:02:40.990 --> 01:02:43.830
<v Ivan>over and over the negative things about Biden.

01:02:43.830 --> 01:02:51.410
<v Ivan>And and I think that from what I what I keep seeing is that there there is a

01:02:51.410 --> 01:02:57.510
<v Ivan>number of people that have had that perspective the entire time and they will

01:02:57.510 --> 01:02:59.950
<v Ivan>never get off of it. It doesn't matter what Biden does.

01:03:00.410 --> 01:03:02.350
<v Ivan>It doesn't matter what Biden does.

01:03:03.200 --> 01:03:06.540
<v Ivan>He's old, he's senile, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, whatever.

01:03:07.080 --> 01:03:12.480
<v Ivan>And they have been saying that for shit. I mean, since he was,

01:03:12.500 --> 01:03:15.460
<v Ivan>since he ran the first time around it.

01:03:15.520 --> 01:03:20.620
<v Ivan>So, so I just don't see how you move these people off of that.

01:03:21.160 --> 01:03:25.120
<v Sam>No, but, but I think one thing is true and like, you're right.

01:03:25.160 --> 01:03:27.600
<v Sam>There are going to be news events that push this off the headlines,

01:03:27.760 --> 01:03:32.940
<v Sam>but I think Joe and he started already with that rally on Friday.

01:03:33.200 --> 01:03:39.500
<v Sam>But he has to turn this narrative around because right now it's like spiraling.

01:03:39.960 --> 01:03:46.700
<v Ivan>Listen, he has to. Okay. Listen, I turned a narrative around.

01:03:47.620 --> 01:03:51.440
<v Sam>Like he needs to be having events like with the one he had in North Carolina,

01:03:51.600 --> 01:03:53.020
<v Sam>like every freaking day.

01:03:53.340 --> 01:03:57.100
<v Ivan>No, no, no. I get that. But, but I, but, but listen, I, I.

01:03:57.100 --> 01:04:02.380
<v Sam>He, he has to show that he has to show that the debate was an aberration, not the norm.

01:04:02.380 --> 01:04:05.240
<v Ivan>Well, okay, now that's correct.

01:04:06.520 --> 01:04:11.040
<v Ivan>But all that does, all that does...

01:04:11.970 --> 01:04:19.690
<v Ivan>Is maybe it just it just shuts down the volume of these people that are screaming

01:04:19.690 --> 01:04:29.150
<v Ivan>for biden to to you know to quit drop out and drop out that basically thought

01:04:29.150 --> 01:04:31.830
<v Ivan>that all i thought that all along yeah.

01:04:31.830 --> 01:04:36.910
<v Sam>Like there's a lot of people in that boat who are who who never wanted biden

01:04:36.910 --> 01:04:39.270
<v Sam>never liked Biden and this is their excuse.

01:04:39.970 --> 01:04:44.750
<v Sam>You know, like we've been saying forever, everybody's like, are these really the two choices?

01:04:44.810 --> 01:04:52.950
<v Sam>And are desperate for any thread to hang on to of some scenario that gets you

01:04:52.950 --> 01:04:55.010
<v Sam>to somebody else besides these two.

01:04:55.210 --> 01:05:00.110
<v Sam>And look, at the moment, like people have been talking about the rules of the

01:05:00.110 --> 01:05:03.130
<v Sam>DNC and committed delegates and blah, blah, blah.

01:05:03.390 --> 01:05:11.110
<v Sam>Basically, the only way for Biden not to end up the nominee is if he chooses not to be the nominee.

01:05:11.330 --> 01:05:18.990
<v Sam>There is not a reasonable mechanism for the delegates to abandon him in flight

01:05:18.990 --> 01:05:24.430
<v Sam>because they are bound by the votes in the primaries for the first ballot,

01:05:24.510 --> 01:05:25.510
<v Sam>and he's got enough to win.

01:05:26.450 --> 01:05:30.910
<v Sam>So people have been talking about scenarios where, well, maybe we can get Jill

01:05:30.910 --> 01:05:32.850
<v Sam>Biden to To convince him not to run.

01:05:33.030 --> 01:05:36.710
<v Sam>Or maybe Obama can go talk to him. Or something like that.

01:05:37.870 --> 01:05:42.590
<v Ivan>But again. Sam. Here's one thing. Anything about.

01:05:43.950 --> 01:05:45.450
<v Sam>I think it would hurt.

01:05:46.590 --> 01:05:50.510
<v Ivan>And that's my point. I'm like okay. You know what. I'm like okay.

01:05:51.150 --> 01:05:56.030
<v Ivan>Because a lot of people are saying. Biden doesn't run. But not really giving

01:05:56.030 --> 01:05:58.110
<v Ivan>me. What the hell is a compelling.

01:05:58.970 --> 01:06:05.370
<v Ivan>Thing that we can do. that wins this election by having your incumbent president not run again.

01:06:06.200 --> 01:06:12.800
<v Ivan>I'm, you know, I, I just, I'm, I, I, I, I, because if there was every.

01:06:12.800 --> 01:06:14.980
<v Sam>Other potential candidate has their own negatives.

01:06:15.020 --> 01:06:15.400
<v Ivan>Yeah.

01:06:15.540 --> 01:06:21.480
<v Sam>Now, you know, like people talk about Kamala, but frankly, you know,

01:06:21.480 --> 01:06:25.420
<v Sam>a lot of people didn't like her last time around, uh,

01:06:25.780 --> 01:06:30.780
<v Sam>in, in the primaries and Republicans, like a whole bunch of Republicans have,

01:06:30.840 --> 01:06:34.020
<v Sam>are going to have issues with both the black part and the woman part.

01:06:34.320 --> 01:06:35.620
<v Ivan>No, no kidding.

01:06:36.800 --> 01:06:40.680
<v Sam>And so like you got a bunch of swing voters that like people always used to

01:06:40.680 --> 01:06:44.320
<v Sam>say that Hillary Clinton lost 5% right off the top just because of sexism.

01:06:44.420 --> 01:06:47.540
<v Sam>I think Kamala would be up against the same kind of fight.

01:06:47.660 --> 01:06:49.640
<v Sam>Now I think she might be able to do it.

01:06:49.680 --> 01:06:54.100
<v Ivan>But, and the fact that she's African American and that.

01:06:54.160 --> 01:06:59.720
<v Sam>And you know, so, but you know what, you're going to go with Newsome from California.

01:06:59.840 --> 01:07:01.940
<v Sam>Like most people don't know him.

01:07:02.000 --> 01:07:06.320
<v Ivan>You know, that carries a lot of baggage. Well, Well, I think people know him,

01:07:06.340 --> 01:07:09.900
<v Ivan>but Newsom has a lot of baggage, you know.

01:07:10.680 --> 01:07:15.680
<v Sam>Well, junkies like us knew him. If you pick a random person off the street in

01:07:15.680 --> 01:07:17.020
<v Sam>Idaho, they have no idea.

01:07:17.480 --> 01:07:21.540
<v Ivan>They wouldn't know who the fuck he is. I mean, that's my point.

01:07:21.580 --> 01:07:31.700
<v Ivan>Who the fuck are you putting up that really is known and as a well-known quantity as,

01:07:31.800 --> 01:07:38.760
<v Ivan>say, Obama obama or or or biden or hillary clinton for that matter any any of

01:07:38.760 --> 01:07:44.160
<v Ivan>those who who the fuck is and the answer is nobody you've got nobody that you

01:07:44.160 --> 01:07:48.340
<v Ivan>you really don't have a good option well.

01:07:48.340 --> 01:07:54.200
<v Sam>So like the the one guy who is suggesting obama resign from the presidency not just not run are.

01:07:54.200 --> 01:07:54.630
<v Ivan>You Biden.

01:07:55.270 --> 01:07:56.670
<v Sam>Oh, Biden. Sorry. Yeah.

01:07:58.850 --> 01:07:59.650
<v Sam>I'm as...

01:07:59.650 --> 01:08:00.890
<v Ivan>I mean, Obama's going to resign?

01:08:01.570 --> 01:08:07.950
<v Sam>I'm as old and cantankerous as Biden. No, but part of their theory for this,

01:08:08.090 --> 01:08:11.630
<v Sam>and I forget who it was, some talking head on one of the cable networks, blah, blah, blah.

01:08:11.970 --> 01:08:18.390
<v Sam>But they were a Democrat who was like, you let Kamala be president for a few months.

01:08:18.850 --> 01:08:23.230
<v Sam>That'll give her the boost she needs to win.

01:08:23.750 --> 01:08:28.230
<v Sam>But it's all super high risk.

01:08:28.290 --> 01:08:32.970
<v Sam>And I know what people are saying is like, well, leaving them there is high risk too. And that's why.

01:08:32.970 --> 01:08:37.590
<v Ivan>It's a whole lot of less risk than fucking just plucking like Gavin Newsom and

01:08:37.590 --> 01:08:40.310
<v Ivan>sticking them at the head of the ticket or.

01:08:40.310 --> 01:08:42.310
<v Sam>Whitmer or various other people.

01:08:42.330 --> 01:08:45.050
<v Ivan>Or Whitmer or any, any of them.

01:08:45.410 --> 01:08:47.870
<v Sam>Yeah. And look,

01:08:49.180 --> 01:08:57.260
<v Sam>The thing is, any of these changing horse scenarios are super, super, super high risk.

01:08:57.360 --> 01:09:00.780
<v Sam>And I think people underestimate that. Because the thing is,

01:09:00.840 --> 01:09:04.300
<v Sam>the Democrats look even weaker in that scenario.

01:09:04.440 --> 01:09:04.900
<v Ivan>Hell yeah!

01:09:06.160 --> 01:09:11.080
<v Sam>It's not like, oh, they've done the right thing and now they've got somebody strong.

01:09:11.300 --> 01:09:17.160
<v Sam>It's like, look how disorganized and messy they are that they can't even blah, blah, blah.

01:09:17.820 --> 01:09:20.480
<v Sam>And i mean you can say all the same things about like the

01:09:20.480 --> 01:09:24.360
<v Sam>republicans picking trump but like you know convicted criminal

01:09:24.360 --> 01:09:28.120
<v Sam>and all this kind of stuff but you know i don't

01:09:28.120 --> 01:09:33.520
<v Sam>know like do i do i wish joe biden was younger yes yeah i wish he had do i wish

01:09:33.520 --> 01:09:38.640
<v Sam>he had a little bit more like charisma yes do i wish that he was a bit more

01:09:38.640 --> 01:09:44.440
<v Sam>energetic sure like we spent 2020 talking about

01:09:44.540 --> 01:09:49.620
<v Sam>how we really, really wanted somebody in a younger generation to,

01:09:49.700 --> 01:09:53.340
<v Sam>and we wanted these folks to pass the torch, but it didn't happen.

01:09:53.840 --> 01:10:00.040
<v Sam>You know, it didn't happen. And so, you know, and there was a lot of evidence

01:10:00.040 --> 01:10:03.000
<v Sam>that the younger folks would not have done as well as Biden.

01:10:03.900 --> 01:10:10.240
<v Sam>Biden won 2020 because he was like the, the, he was nobody's first choice,

01:10:10.280 --> 01:10:12.240
<v Sam>but lots of people were okay with him.

01:10:13.100 --> 01:10:16.420
<v Sam>And the problem is now there's a lot of people who are like,

01:10:16.480 --> 01:10:20.800
<v Sam>well, you know, we've had almost four years of him and you know, I'm not really happy.

01:10:21.360 --> 01:10:25.820
<v Sam>And they're not, and they're not the fact that like, what would Trump do?

01:10:25.980 --> 01:10:28.860
<v Sam>Ah, you know, well, he wasn't that bad.

01:10:30.320 --> 01:10:34.740
<v Sam>He'll be fine. You know, all these people are exaggerating about all the things

01:10:34.740 --> 01:10:36.780
<v Sam>they say about him, you know, blah, blah, blah.

01:10:37.740 --> 01:10:42.980
<v Ivan>Uh, somebody with a Twitter handle reason versus fear called Lee.

01:10:43.020 --> 01:10:45.060
<v Ivan>It says Lisa Brown tweeted.

01:10:45.380 --> 01:10:50.180
<v Ivan>Oh my God, you guys, that Roosevelt guy is in a wheelchair. I'm going to have

01:10:50.180 --> 01:10:52.720
<v Ivan>to switch my vote to Hitler. He looks strong.

01:10:53.320 --> 01:10:56.740
<v Ivan>Yes. That is how stupid some of you sound.

01:10:57.820 --> 01:10:58.340
<v Sam>Yeah.

01:10:58.440 --> 01:11:02.120
<v Ivan>I, you know, I, I, yeah.

01:11:02.620 --> 01:11:05.280
<v Ivan>I mean, that, that's basically the crux of it. it i

01:11:05.280 --> 01:11:08.940
<v Ivan>i just i mean the whole

01:11:08.940 --> 01:11:12.080
<v Ivan>it's just this

01:11:12.080 --> 01:11:16.540
<v Ivan>guy i mean i i just i i

01:11:16.540 --> 01:11:23.440
<v Ivan>i really think and i i understand that my impression yeah which is one reason

01:11:23.440 --> 01:11:26.900
<v Ivan>why i didn't didn't watch this because i'm pretty sure that it wasn't going

01:11:26.900 --> 01:11:32.620
<v Ivan>to change my my opinion of either of them i mean i'm colored by having I haven't

01:11:32.620 --> 01:11:35.560
<v Ivan>seen Joe Biden for 30 plus years.

01:11:36.240 --> 01:11:40.060
<v Ivan>I mean, I just know what the hell I, I knew what the hell I'm getting.

01:11:41.200 --> 01:11:46.560
<v Ivan>There's just so many people that basically probably for the first time ever

01:11:46.560 --> 01:11:49.440
<v Ivan>tuned into that, unfortunately.

01:11:50.240 --> 01:11:58.460
<v Ivan>And, but I also, I also don't think that people are, how do I say?

01:12:01.220 --> 01:12:06.200
<v Ivan>They're, they're not they're not

01:12:06.200 --> 01:12:09.880
<v Ivan>they're not really looking at

01:12:09.880 --> 01:12:13.660
<v Ivan>this from any

01:12:13.660 --> 01:12:17.160
<v Ivan>other perspective other than the tone

01:12:17.160 --> 01:12:19.940
<v Ivan>of their voice i think it was pete that

01:12:19.940 --> 01:12:23.200
<v Ivan>shared this cartoon showing some guy

01:12:23.200 --> 01:12:29.440
<v Ivan>coming up to somebody at the office you know and it's that guy had a nice voice

01:12:29.440 --> 01:12:35.020
<v Ivan>but was lying or whatever and yeah oh that's so great but the this other guy

01:12:35.020 --> 01:12:42.220
<v Ivan>showed up and sounded like like biden oh my god call hr and that's all it is it.

01:12:42.220 --> 01:12:48.220
<v Sam>Comes back to what i was saying before like oftentimes not not certainly in

01:12:48.220 --> 01:12:56.680
<v Sam>debates but just in general it's very rarely about the actual things They say or their policies.

01:12:57.320 --> 01:13:00.940
<v Sam>It's about the feeling they enlisted in the audience.

01:13:01.420 --> 01:13:05.220
<v Ivan>And it just goes back exactly to what we talked about, what the fuck they prepped for.

01:13:05.320 --> 01:13:10.600
<v Ivan>And again, you know, putting all these wonky details in his head didn't really

01:13:10.600 --> 01:13:12.660
<v Ivan>prep him for what the fuck this was going to be.

01:13:13.180 --> 01:13:17.280
<v Sam>And and and and i i started to say this before but i think i got on a tangent

01:13:17.280 --> 01:13:24.360
<v Sam>like we've known donald trump here in the political realm since 2015,

01:13:25.340 --> 01:13:31.700
<v Sam>you know what he's like at debates you know what works you know what doesn't you know that this like,

01:13:32.710 --> 01:13:33.990
<v Sam>What were they thinking?

01:13:34.510 --> 01:13:38.130
<v Ivan>I think they thought I, I, I, I, I, I, again, I go back.

01:13:38.210 --> 01:13:41.710
<v Sam>I think they thought Trump was going to implode himself. And so Joe could stand

01:13:41.710 --> 01:13:42.930
<v Sam>by and watch the implosion.

01:13:43.010 --> 01:13:46.850
<v Ivan>Not, not just that, not, not just that. They thought that this was going to

01:13:46.850 --> 01:13:50.330
<v Ivan>be far more tightly managed than it was. And it wasn't.

01:13:50.790 --> 01:13:55.230
<v Sam>Yeah. Which, which network have they watched ever? Like these debates are always like this.

01:13:55.390 --> 01:13:58.110
<v Sam>And like, you know, people have been complaining about the fact that,

01:13:58.170 --> 01:14:02.870
<v Sam>for instance, that people People have been complaining that there was no fact-checking.

01:14:02.870 --> 01:14:07.610
<v Sam>Donald Trump lied over and over and over and over again, and the moderators said nothing.

01:14:07.950 --> 01:14:09.590
<v Ivan>They didn't challenge him, right?

01:14:10.070 --> 01:14:12.970
<v Sam>Well, and that was one of the written rules. They weren't supposed to.

01:14:13.290 --> 01:14:18.950
<v Sam>CNN management insisted that the reporters not do real-time fact-checking as

01:14:18.950 --> 01:14:21.070
<v Sam>part of how the thing was set up.

01:14:21.370 --> 01:14:25.610
<v Sam>They weren't going to do that. The position was, if somebody's going to fact-check

01:14:25.610 --> 01:14:26.650
<v Sam>him, it needs to be Biden.

01:14:26.650 --> 01:14:31.050
<v Sam>You know but this is this is

01:14:31.050 --> 01:14:34.610
<v Sam>how they always go like the one time a an

01:14:34.610 --> 01:14:37.650
<v Sam>anchor if you remember it was in one of the obama romney

01:14:37.650 --> 01:14:42.850
<v Sam>debates an anchor actually told romney he was wrong about something and like

01:14:42.850 --> 01:14:50.970
<v Sam>it was a big huge shit storm big huge shit shit something shit storm yeah and

01:14:50.970 --> 01:14:55.670
<v Sam>and i i I think she didn't stay at CNN that much longer after that.

01:14:55.710 --> 01:14:57.170
<v Sam>I think it was Candy Crawley, I think.

01:14:58.570 --> 01:15:02.810
<v Sam>And, you know, so no, they, you know, whatever.

01:15:03.030 --> 01:15:09.550
<v Sam>I think, you know, part of the thing was, no, the moderators didn't keep a tight control on it.

01:15:09.590 --> 01:15:13.810
<v Sam>But the moderators almost never keep tight control on these things.

01:15:14.210 --> 01:15:16.450
<v Sam>And Biden didn't stand up for himself.

01:15:17.610 --> 01:15:22.790
<v Ivan>Well, yeah. Yeah, but again, it goes back to what the hell they prep for.

01:15:23.950 --> 01:15:28.110
<v Ivan>It's just, hey, let me be wonky about the details, and it's just,

01:15:28.860 --> 01:15:29.620
<v Ivan>that's just not gonna.

01:15:29.620 --> 01:15:34.580
<v Sam>Well and part of the talk beforehand was how like oh look biden spending all

01:15:34.580 --> 01:15:38.860
<v Sam>this time prepping while donald trump is just like going golfing and talking

01:15:38.860 --> 01:15:42.400
<v Sam>to a few folks on the phone about what do they think that you should say well.

01:15:42.400 --> 01:15:44.960
<v Ivan>Apparently but trump did the right prep look.

01:15:44.960 --> 01:15:46.700
<v Sam>You know yeah uh.

01:15:46.700 --> 01:15:53.500
<v Ivan>You know he was relaxed i mean he was you know he was rested and relaxed I mean,

01:15:53.560 --> 01:16:01.140
<v Ivan>look, one guy who had a horrible debate that I remember,

01:16:01.340 --> 01:16:04.280
<v Ivan>that was a horrible debate for the ages.

01:16:04.360 --> 01:16:06.600
<v Ivan>It was worse than Biden.

01:16:06.860 --> 01:16:08.580
<v Ivan>It was Dan Quayle.

01:16:09.360 --> 01:16:12.400
<v Ivan>Now, he wasn't running for president. It was vice president.

01:16:12.620 --> 01:16:16.620
<v Ivan>But his debate performance was horrible. Okay?

01:16:16.980 --> 01:16:18.900
<v Sam>Even before the Jack Kennedy moment.

01:16:19.100 --> 01:16:21.940
<v Ivan>Even before the Jack Kennedy moment. moment he was he was

01:16:21.940 --> 01:16:24.780
<v Ivan>just absolutely horrific but here is one

01:16:24.780 --> 01:16:28.080
<v Ivan>thing about that the second time that he debated okay

01:16:28.080 --> 01:16:32.060
<v Ivan>he was way better yeah and

01:16:32.060 --> 01:16:39.000
<v Ivan>i recall this he changed completely uh his his his prep and what he was doing

01:16:39.000 --> 01:16:45.280
<v Ivan>because he did almost the exact same thing that that biden did which was focus

01:16:45.280 --> 01:16:49.580
<v Ivan>on all the wonky details of whatever be prepped and have my lines and let I

01:16:49.580 --> 01:16:51.960
<v Ivan>mean, it's not just talk too much and whatnot.

01:16:52.340 --> 01:16:55.840
<v Ivan>And the second time that he had, that he had a debate, he was,

01:16:55.840 --> 01:16:58.760
<v Ivan>he was definitely far more on point.

01:16:59.220 --> 01:17:06.240
<v Ivan>I do think that what the hell do you prepare to do with the debate matters a lot.

01:17:06.340 --> 01:17:12.520
<v Ivan>And, and I have seen candidates fuck up the baits, come back the next time,

01:17:12.560 --> 01:17:16.920
<v Ivan>do way better than they did the first time. Just simply changing their,

01:17:16.920 --> 01:17:19.540
<v Ivan>their style of what they're held are going to do.

01:17:20.560 --> 01:17:26.520
<v Ivan>And I, I, I gotta be honest. I think that a lot of what's going on today is

01:17:26.520 --> 01:17:29.900
<v Ivan>just all based on just a lot of fear of another Trump victory.

01:17:30.220 --> 01:17:34.420
<v Ivan>Now, somebody today did give me perspective and, you know, they,

01:17:34.540 --> 01:17:37.420
<v Ivan>they were talking about why all this fear.

01:17:37.420 --> 01:17:41.000
<v Ivan>Year and you know i was with people from chile

01:17:41.000 --> 01:17:44.380
<v Ivan>argentina different places

01:17:44.380 --> 01:17:51.060
<v Ivan>and you know they said you know the problem is over here with with people they're

01:17:51.060 --> 01:17:57.440
<v Ivan>not used to shit shows we're used to shit shows you know we're used to having

01:17:57.440 --> 01:18:03.140
<v Ivan>you know crazy presidents that did that you know that do all sorts of shit and,

01:18:03.880 --> 01:18:09.160
<v Ivan>And whatnot and whatever. And that the reality is that even,

01:18:09.260 --> 01:18:14.880
<v Ivan>you know, even with getting Trump back, you know, or getting somebody like that

01:18:14.880 --> 01:18:18.580
<v Ivan>back, that we still will figure it out.

01:18:19.340 --> 01:18:25.600
<v Ivan>And that, you know, I mean, look, you see, I'll give an example right now.

01:18:25.640 --> 01:18:27.140
<v Ivan>Look, Brazil, for God's sakes.

01:18:27.400 --> 01:18:33.220
<v Ivan>Look, Brazil right now has as their president a guy that was convicted and in jail.

01:18:33.880 --> 01:18:37.580
<v Ivan>For crimes that he committed during his previous presidency.

01:18:39.560 --> 01:18:39.620
<v Ivan>Okay.

01:18:40.120 --> 01:18:40.700
<v Sam>Yeah.

01:18:41.040 --> 01:18:45.840
<v Ivan>All right. You know, this was the guy on the left, you know,

01:18:45.840 --> 01:18:52.940
<v Ivan>there, that was, there was a massive, massive bribery scheme that ensnared companies

01:18:52.940 --> 01:18:55.120
<v Ivan>and things all over Latin America.

01:18:55.160 --> 01:18:59.120
<v Ivan>Puerto Rico was, was in some of those investigations.

01:18:59.760 --> 01:19:02.900
<v Ivan>They had him on tape, you know, accepting, you know,

01:19:02.900 --> 01:19:06.000
<v Ivan>negotiating and accepting the bribes he was convicted

01:19:06.000 --> 01:19:09.500
<v Ivan>he went to jail he got released okay and

01:19:09.500 --> 01:19:12.160
<v Ivan>he ran for president and he beat this guy who is

01:19:12.160 --> 01:19:16.060
<v Ivan>the guy that loves uh that loves trump bolsonaro okay

01:19:16.060 --> 01:19:19.500
<v Ivan>right and so and i

01:19:19.500 --> 01:19:22.880
<v Ivan>mean bolsonaro himself went and after

01:19:22.880 --> 01:19:25.660
<v Ivan>you know he lost he tried to pull a

01:19:25.660 --> 01:19:28.960
<v Ivan>j6 you know in in brazil too yep

01:19:28.960 --> 01:19:31.640
<v Ivan>and by the way he's under criminal he's under criminal an

01:19:31.640 --> 01:19:34.560
<v Ivan>indictment for that now too right of all fucking

01:19:34.560 --> 01:19:38.420
<v Ivan>things and so what they were saying is that yeah you

01:19:38.420 --> 01:19:41.380
<v Ivan>know i know you know we've been so used

01:19:41.380 --> 01:19:48.640
<v Ivan>to things running well well comparatively i guess comparatively comparatively

01:19:48.640 --> 01:19:53.740
<v Ivan>sam yeah yeah we have been so used to that that they're all like you guys you

01:19:53.740 --> 01:19:58.820
<v Ivan>know you just you guys just you know not used to this shit you know we lived

01:19:58.820 --> 01:20:00.320
<v Ivan>this their entire fucking lives.

01:20:01.140 --> 01:20:06.380
<v Ivan>And so they were taking it in stride, you know, just, you know,

01:20:06.380 --> 01:20:09.360
<v Ivan>even the fact that Trump might, might, might come back.

01:20:09.420 --> 01:20:13.500
<v Ivan>I, I, I'm just like, I don't know if I want to, I don't know if I'm there yet,

01:20:13.580 --> 01:20:19.400
<v Ivan>but I, I, I'm like, you know, but also I was thinking from the perspective,

01:20:19.580 --> 01:20:23.080
<v Ivan>you know, even Germany, you know, came back from having Hitler.

01:20:24.160 --> 01:20:27.720
<v Sam>Took a little while, but yeah. And a big war, but yeah.

01:20:28.140 --> 01:20:32.060
<v Ivan>Yeah. But they did. I mean, you know.

01:20:32.160 --> 01:20:37.040
<v Sam>So not that that's the kind of future I'm hoping for here.

01:20:37.480 --> 01:20:45.020
<v Ivan>No, but, but, but, but I'm just, you know, I think we got to be prepared for whatever the hell it is.

01:20:45.120 --> 01:20:50.820
<v Ivan>And I'm like, I don't, I don't think that I, I, one thing that this is definitely true.

01:20:51.810 --> 01:20:56.950
<v Ivan>That I'm definitely certain of is that making any decision like this,

01:20:56.990 --> 01:21:01.990
<v Ivan>just purely based on fear, which is what a lot of people are doing with all

01:21:01.990 --> 01:21:04.690
<v Ivan>these op-eds, is a really bad way of making decisions.

01:21:05.330 --> 01:21:07.210
<v Sam>Right. Yes.

01:21:07.950 --> 01:21:12.150
<v Ivan>And I have never seen it to be a proper way of making decisions.

01:21:12.570 --> 01:21:17.690
<v Ivan>And that I think is the one thing maybe that is really driving me crazy with people.

01:21:17.690 --> 01:21:20.990
<v Ivan>Thing because it's just you never make

01:21:20.990 --> 01:21:24.350
<v Ivan>good decisions just purely based on

01:21:24.350 --> 01:21:27.310
<v Ivan>just just you know where your fear is

01:21:27.310 --> 01:21:30.810
<v Ivan>the one that's in the driver's seat i mean objectively you

01:21:30.810 --> 01:21:33.890
<v Ivan>look at this and you've got about

01:21:33.890 --> 01:21:36.790
<v Ivan>what the hell is the best

01:21:36.790 --> 01:21:41.010
<v Ivan>way to try to win you

01:21:41.010 --> 01:21:49.390
<v Ivan>can't right now go and And draw me a different fucking scenario where Biden

01:21:49.390 --> 01:21:51.690
<v Ivan>is not president and tell me

01:21:51.690 --> 01:21:57.210
<v Ivan>that any of those is going to be any better than having Biden go and run.

01:21:57.430 --> 01:22:01.190
<v Ivan>Just I mean, I don't know. Or maybe I'm missing one. You want to tell me which

01:22:01.190 --> 01:22:02.750
<v Ivan>one you think has a higher likelihood?

01:22:03.150 --> 01:22:11.530
<v Sam>Well, no, no, I, I, I think I'm with you, but I think the what people are thinking is like, look.

01:22:11.530 --> 01:22:19.630
<v Sam>Look, we've been looking at polls showing Biden behind for like forever.

01:22:20.070 --> 01:22:26.310
<v Sam>And right now they're sort of tied. But they're feeling really insecure about that.

01:22:26.530 --> 01:22:33.410
<v Sam>And they look at his performance and basically say, we're screwed if we stick with him.

01:22:33.630 --> 01:22:37.950
<v Sam>So might as well gamble with somebody else because we'll definitely lose with

01:22:37.950 --> 01:22:39.610
<v Sam>Biden. That's what people are thinking.

01:22:39.610 --> 01:22:42.670
<v Ivan>It, even though all the data is showing you that that's not,

01:22:42.730 --> 01:22:47.930
<v Ivan>that that's, you know, that that's not, that's a, you see, all of those are all fear-based.

01:22:47.990 --> 01:22:50.870
<v Ivan>I, I, I, because the data is not showing you that.

01:22:51.560 --> 01:22:57.180
<v Ivan>Yeah, that, you know, that that the races, you know, were screwed, you know, that I mean.

01:22:57.220 --> 01:23:03.480
<v Sam>It is clear like Biden's been behind. That's not false.

01:23:03.760 --> 01:23:06.000
<v Ivan>I mean, it, you know.

01:23:06.020 --> 01:23:09.900
<v Sam>But but at the same time, you everything you say about the incumbent advantage

01:23:09.900 --> 01:23:15.840
<v Sam>is true. Everything people have been saying about how Democrats have been overperforming is true.

01:23:16.160 --> 01:23:20.480
<v Sam>Everything that people have been saying about the salience of the abortion issue is true.

01:23:20.700 --> 01:23:23.280
<v Sam>Now, of course, there are people on the other side scared about immigration,

01:23:23.560 --> 01:23:30.100
<v Sam>but there are a lot of reasons to not think it's hopeless.

01:23:30.700 --> 01:23:35.380
<v Sam>But there are reasons to be concerned too for sure but i'm not sure the well.

01:23:35.380 --> 01:23:39.140
<v Ivan>There are reasons to be concerned i'm saying i'm not saying that i'm.

01:23:39.140 --> 01:23:44.460
<v Sam>Not sure the right way to respond to that is like oh well let's let's let's

01:23:44.460 --> 01:23:47.300
<v Sam>pick some random person and hope that they magically do better.

01:23:47.300 --> 01:23:52.660
<v Ivan>Exactly i mean hey you know oh i'm concerned that this house might not might

01:23:52.660 --> 01:23:57.260
<v Ivan>not sustain the hurricane well let me torch it and let me try to build a new

01:23:57.260 --> 01:24:00.920
<v Ivan>one with the hurricane arriving in two weeks.

01:24:01.300 --> 01:24:04.700
<v Ivan>How about that? I mean, because that's basically what they're saying.

01:24:05.180 --> 01:24:05.700
<v Sam>Yeah.

01:24:06.080 --> 01:24:10.440
<v Ivan>I'm like, no, you gotta listen. You, you batten the hatches,

01:24:10.460 --> 01:24:16.640
<v Ivan>you do what you can, you know, Hey, the data shows that more than likely you're going to be okay.

01:24:17.300 --> 01:24:22.640
<v Ivan>You know, but damn it. You know, you know, the other alternative is stupid.

01:24:23.460 --> 01:24:27.780
<v Ivan>Now I just don't, I just, I just, you know, yeah.

01:24:28.260 --> 01:24:35.020
<v Sam>I mean, And look, look, if there was a time to switch horses,

01:24:35.140 --> 01:24:36.900
<v Sam>it was more than a year ago.

01:24:37.680 --> 01:24:41.260
<v Ivan>Yes, exactly. It wasn't now. Yeah. It's not now.

01:24:41.360 --> 01:24:46.540
<v Sam>No. And again, the only way that it could happen is this point is if Biden initiates

01:24:46.540 --> 01:24:48.820
<v Sam>it. If Biden says, you know, you guys are right. I'm out.

01:24:50.140 --> 01:24:56.440
<v Sam>And then we would have to deal with that scenario. And that would be messy. Like, you know, it.

01:24:56.440 --> 01:24:57.880
<v Ivan>Would be super messy.

01:24:57.880 --> 01:25:00.900
<v Sam>You know, like, because on the one hand.

01:25:00.900 --> 01:25:07.240
<v Ivan>Because I don't know if you told me like right now, OK, Biden's not running.

01:25:07.280 --> 01:25:10.460
<v Ivan>Who is next up? Honestly, who's next up should be Kamala.

01:25:10.760 --> 01:25:11.580
<v Sam>It should be.

01:25:11.640 --> 01:25:16.780
<v Ivan>Yes, but it should be. But I don't think a lot of these people with a scenario,

01:25:16.860 --> 01:25:19.540
<v Ivan>I don't think have that in mind.

01:25:19.620 --> 01:25:23.100
<v Ivan>They think that we should just, you know, pluck Ozio.

01:25:23.280 --> 01:25:24.640
<v Ivan>We're going to bring in Ozio.

01:25:25.620 --> 01:25:32.040
<v Ivan>That's it. Ozio. yeah no anybody that any of you don't know the reference from

01:25:32.040 --> 01:25:36.620
<v Ivan>the book primary colors where they are using as Cuomo,

01:25:38.000 --> 01:25:41.560
<v Ivan>You know, that was the name that they gave him on the book because they changed all the names.

01:25:41.680 --> 01:25:47.320
<v Ivan>And the reality is this was during a campaign where Clinton was the front runner.

01:25:47.800 --> 01:25:53.940
<v Ivan>He had a whole bunch of scandals and shit going on and they wanted to bring

01:25:53.940 --> 01:25:56.620
<v Ivan>in the savior and the savior was going to be Cuomo.

01:25:56.840 --> 01:25:57.320
<v Sam>Right.

01:25:57.540 --> 01:26:01.040
<v Ivan>Same fucking bullshit. I'm thinking about it.

01:26:01.820 --> 01:26:05.880
<v Ivan>Jennifer Flowers, horse shit. Not that it was horse shit.

01:26:06.520 --> 01:26:08.300
<v Sam>Yeah. Yeah, but you know.

01:26:08.320 --> 01:26:13.780
<v Ivan>There were scandals, there was, there's bad speeches, bad debates, bad everything.

01:26:14.520 --> 01:26:21.160
<v Ivan>You know, you had the third party guy, the only, the only thing changing really,

01:26:21.260 --> 01:26:24.900
<v Ivan>you know, the couple of things for you is that, that Bill Clinton was young.

01:26:24.980 --> 01:26:30.420
<v Sam>Not old, and he played the saxophone on Arsenio Hall.

01:26:30.800 --> 01:26:33.280
<v Ivan>Right. And that HW Bush was a psychopath.

01:26:34.380 --> 01:26:34.900
<v Sam>Yeah.

01:26:35.580 --> 01:26:39.780
<v Ivan>So those two factors, you know, but, but they were screaming for the savior.

01:26:40.220 --> 01:26:43.440
<v Ivan>I mean, it's the same fucking, it's the same fucking screams.

01:26:44.240 --> 01:26:50.600
<v Sam>It is. And you know, we always said this year was going to be a wild ride and here we are.

01:26:52.620 --> 01:26:58.700
<v Ivan>Fuck. But I don't know. So we'll see.

01:26:58.820 --> 01:27:02.300
<v Sam>Like, like you said, we got sentencing coming up, coming up soon.

01:27:02.300 --> 01:27:07.260
<v Sam>And then like a couple of days after that, we've got the Republican national convention.

01:27:08.840 --> 01:27:12.700
<v Sam>So yeah, things are, things are happening. It's, it's in the,

01:27:12.740 --> 01:27:16.160
<v Sam>it's getting in the swing of it. And yeah.

01:27:16.480 --> 01:27:20.000
<v Sam>And we, and we have the Supreme court case on Monday, like probably unless they

01:27:20.000 --> 01:27:24.760
<v Sam>punt it to next year or this summer or fall or something, which they could do theoretically. Right.

01:27:26.270 --> 01:27:30.470
<v Sam>But everybody seems to think it's coming Monday on the presidential immunity case.

01:27:31.110 --> 01:27:36.210
<v Sam>And just to get my predictions out before we take a break and do something else, I don't know what else.

01:27:36.330 --> 01:27:39.870
<v Sam>But my prediction has remained the same. time,

01:27:39.870 --> 01:27:44.830
<v Sam>I predicted they were going to release it on the very last day of the term possible

01:27:44.830 --> 01:27:52.010
<v Sam>and that they will do the thing where they define what's immune and what's not,

01:27:52.070 --> 01:27:58.050
<v Sam>but send it back to the lower court in order to determine what does or does

01:27:58.050 --> 01:28:00.450
<v Sam>not meet that rule in this particular case.

01:28:00.630 --> 01:28:06.030
<v Sam>And by doing so, they build in additional delay and additional chances for appeal.

01:28:06.030 --> 01:28:10.150
<v Sam>Appeal and you know because the only scenario that

01:28:10.150 --> 01:28:15.990
<v Sam>gets you to a trial even starting before the election is if absolutely everything

01:28:15.990 --> 01:28:22.350
<v Sam>went in a perfect way and that's not going to happen so okay that's my prediction

01:28:22.350 --> 01:28:26.090
<v Sam>we'll we'll find out on monday i guess so.

01:28:26.090 --> 01:28:28.170
<v Ivan>Anything else so we got okay.

01:28:28.170 --> 01:28:33.370
<v Sam>Well let's take a break and then if you got another topic you think of in the

01:28:33.370 --> 01:28:38.950
<v Sam>meantime we can we can do that otherwise we can like just make noises for another

01:28:38.950 --> 01:28:40.390
<v Sam>15 minutes and then say goodbye.

01:28:41.670 --> 01:28:42.850
<v Ivan>Okay all right.

01:28:42.850 --> 01:28:44.890
<v Sam>I mean that's some people would

01:28:44.890 --> 01:28:48.470
<v Sam>say that's what the show is anyway we're just making random noises ah.

01:28:48.470 --> 01:28:50.810
<v Ivan>Okay all right well i could i could give it a try.

01:28:50.810 --> 01:28:56.710
<v Sam>And speaking of random noises it's time for this random noise,

01:29:40.680 --> 01:29:43.060
<v Sam>I actually hit the wrong button. It was supposed to be a different one,

01:29:43.160 --> 01:29:45.380
<v Sam>but it still fit. It was fine.

01:29:46.140 --> 01:29:50.680
<v Ivan>Well, I mean, that was, I mean, that was, that sounds like sounded accurate.

01:29:51.220 --> 01:29:54.320
<v Ivan>I mean, you know, based on what you said, you know.

01:29:55.180 --> 01:30:00.920
<v Sam>Yeah, I know. There were a couple of them that would have met that description, but anyway.

01:30:01.100 --> 01:30:05.540
<v Sam>So Yvonne, anything else you want to talk about? Or should we just like read

01:30:05.540 --> 01:30:07.260
<v Sam>the stuff at the end of the show and be done?

01:30:07.420 --> 01:30:13.100
<v Ivan>I mean, I don't know. is there anything else that happened this week that that merits we.

01:30:13.100 --> 01:30:17.120
<v Sam>Had a bunch of scotus decisions not the immunity one but we had.

01:30:17.120 --> 01:30:21.380
<v Ivan>Uh you you know that there's something else that people are just there's something

01:30:21.380 --> 01:30:25.120
<v Ivan>else that people are despondent about you want to talk about you want to you

01:30:25.120 --> 01:30:26.300
<v Ivan>want to mention anything about we.

01:30:26.300 --> 01:30:27.200
<v Sam>Had julian assange.

01:30:27.200 --> 01:30:32.880
<v Ivan>Oh julian assange yes he's back in australia he went to you know i did not realize

01:30:32.880 --> 01:30:35.260
<v Ivan>that there was a federal courthouse in saipan.

01:30:36.100 --> 01:30:39.240
<v Sam>Now now you know for when you're indicted.

01:30:39.240 --> 01:30:42.340
<v Ivan>Oh great so i can go and like you know

01:30:42.340 --> 01:30:45.440
<v Ivan>travel to saipan for my my my arraignment yeah exactly

01:30:45.440 --> 01:30:51.000
<v Ivan>you know i i i came up with an idea i i i i you know i i don't know if i could

01:30:51.000 --> 01:30:57.700
<v Ivan>play this out loud but but i i i i could i i could do i i one time sam Sam got

01:30:57.700 --> 01:31:03.240
<v Ivan>really angry at me because we had an extra hour on, on the radio at, at,

01:31:04.020 --> 01:31:05.740
<v Ivan>at, at, at WRCT.

01:31:06.260 --> 01:31:07.160
<v Sam>Come on Eileen.

01:31:07.660 --> 01:31:09.300
<v Ivan>No, it wasn't. Come on Eileen.

01:31:09.340 --> 01:31:12.580
<v Sam>No, that was another time. Somebody else did that to me then.

01:31:13.120 --> 01:31:18.700
<v Ivan>That. Yeah, no, I, I started playing on repeat the 2001 space odyssey,

01:31:18.700 --> 01:31:21.860
<v Ivan>the, the, the, the, the theme song from the beginning.

01:31:22.080 --> 01:31:24.360
<v Ivan>And I kept, I kept playing it over and over.

01:31:25.060 --> 01:31:27.580
<v Sam>Which by the way, is the next movie i have to talk about.

01:31:27.580 --> 01:31:33.860
<v Ivan>Oh oh oh look apropos but i i can't i can't i don't think i can i don't think

01:31:33.860 --> 01:31:39.080
<v Ivan>right now is where we're we're podcasting i can't play it out loud so oh well yeah.

01:31:39.080 --> 01:31:40.440
<v Sam>Maybe i'll add it in post.

01:31:40.440 --> 01:31:45.340
<v Ivan>There you go you can go and like close out the show with with with that you

01:31:45.340 --> 01:31:48.160
<v Ivan>know uh that has uh true so so.

01:31:48.160 --> 01:31:53.520
<v Sam>Scotus wise we had the the big one was the chevron one one, right?

01:31:53.720 --> 01:31:57.280
<v Sam>That's the, like, there were a few others, but like they, they all,

01:31:57.340 --> 01:31:58.980
<v Sam>they also did things like rule

01:31:58.980 --> 01:32:03.540
<v Sam>that laws saying that the homeless couldn't sleep in public were fine.

01:32:03.860 --> 01:32:07.760
<v Sam>Uh, things like that. But, uh, the big one was they call Chevron,

01:32:07.780 --> 01:32:10.520
<v Sam>I guess it was a 1980s Supreme court decision.

01:32:10.960 --> 01:32:20.600
<v Sam>But basically the, the point of it was that courts should defer to experts at agencies about.

01:32:21.780 --> 01:32:24.960
<v Sam>Regulations and policies when the law was vague.

01:32:25.200 --> 01:32:30.200
<v Sam>And this is important because I'm sure it's a big surprise to people.

01:32:30.380 --> 01:32:36.680
<v Sam>Laws are often vague, especially when it comes to enabling legislation for agencies.

01:32:37.040 --> 01:32:42.540
<v Sam>They basically say, I mean, I'm oversimplifying, but basically say, oh, you want an EPA?

01:32:42.900 --> 01:32:48.260
<v Sam>Okay. The Environmental Protection Agency is going to now exist and they will

01:32:48.260 --> 01:32:52.900
<v Sam>have the authority to make regulations related to the environment without Congress

01:32:52.900 --> 01:32:57.600
<v Sam>having to explicitly call out the details of all those regulations.

01:32:58.220 --> 01:33:03.920
<v Sam>Again, oversimplification, but basically what the previous rule was,

01:33:04.040 --> 01:33:10.620
<v Sam>as long as the agency made a reasonable interpretation of the law,

01:33:10.800 --> 01:33:12.960
<v Sam>then the courts would defer to that.

01:33:13.920 --> 01:33:20.780
<v Sam>Basically, the ruling today says, nope, it's interpretation of the law that's

01:33:20.780 --> 01:33:23.000
<v Sam>up to the courts, not to the agencies.

01:33:23.380 --> 01:33:27.120
<v Sam>And so no deference, we will decide.

01:33:27.400 --> 01:33:32.180
<v Sam>If there's a question about what was or was not authorized by some law,

01:33:32.420 --> 01:33:37.600
<v Sam>which look, the courts have always been involved in that in cases that were egregious.

01:33:37.600 --> 01:33:43.220
<v Sam>Basically, this just said, as long as the agency's interpretation was reasonable,

01:33:43.220 --> 01:33:46.820
<v Sam>the court would defer to it they would only overturn things.

01:33:46.820 --> 01:33:49.560
<v Ivan>I think but but one of one of the

01:33:49.560 --> 01:33:56.840
<v Ivan>issues with this and there was a a ruling the day before related to agencies

01:33:56.840 --> 01:34:04.600
<v Ivan>that had in-house you know basically processes that that wouldn't that were

01:34:04.600 --> 01:34:07.520
<v Ivan>like uh that that were outside of the

01:34:07.540 --> 01:34:12.180
<v Ivan>court system i mean there was because you know because many agencies had like

01:34:12.180 --> 01:34:19.060
<v Ivan>the irs for example had an in-house tribunals okay that that did not rely on the on the court system,

01:34:19.840 --> 01:34:25.060
<v Ivan>and i know that a lot of people found those unfair and that they were really

01:34:25.060 --> 01:34:30.700
<v Ivan>slanted in favor of the agency and so that was a challenge and they overturned

01:34:30.700 --> 01:34:31.740
<v Ivan>that and said they got to go to of court.

01:34:31.760 --> 01:34:36.900
<v Ivan>So one problem with, I think, with both of these rulings, not talking more from

01:34:36.900 --> 01:34:42.900
<v Ivan>a practical sense, is that the federal court system is already for a long time been overburdened.

01:34:43.720 --> 01:34:46.940
<v Ivan>And cases take a long, long time. If you guys haven't noticed,

01:34:46.980 --> 01:34:51.340
<v Ivan>like, why the hell do you guys think that these Trump cases are taking so damn

01:34:51.340 --> 01:34:53.560
<v Ivan>long? And the federal ones specifically.

01:34:53.920 --> 01:35:01.020
<v Ivan>And so all of a sudden, those two rulings make it that a lot of things that

01:35:01.020 --> 01:35:05.580
<v Ivan>were being handled in a different way or that did not have to come to the court

01:35:05.580 --> 01:35:07.260
<v Ivan>all of a sudden have to come to the court.

01:35:07.480 --> 01:35:12.720
<v Ivan>Yeah. And I think that has some really serious practical implications for the federal court system.

01:35:12.720 --> 01:35:15.980
<v Sam>Well, it has implications for the court system. It also has implications to

01:35:15.980 --> 01:35:17.580
<v Sam>what agencies can do in the first place.

01:35:17.800 --> 01:35:18.280
<v Ivan>Yeah.

01:35:18.580 --> 01:35:23.280
<v Sam>The bottom line is if you say you can only do something if Congress specifies

01:35:23.280 --> 01:35:25.620
<v Sam>it in detail, Congress is not good at that.

01:35:26.200 --> 01:35:35.240
<v Ivan>Well, the thing about it is that I think that it's not that they can't define it.

01:35:35.300 --> 01:35:41.360
<v Ivan>The problem is that before, the courts were deferring to their interpretation.

01:35:41.840 --> 01:35:42.320
<v Sam>Right.

01:35:42.720 --> 01:35:48.600
<v Ivan>But now it's like they can define something, but it could be far more easily challenged in court.

01:35:48.900 --> 01:35:53.320
<v Ivan>And so that's why I'm thinking that this brings a hell of a lot more litigation

01:35:53.320 --> 01:35:56.980
<v Ivan>period for practically because,

01:35:57.200 --> 01:36:02.820
<v Ivan>hell, you know, it used to be that it was far more difficult to to sue related

01:36:02.820 --> 01:36:06.000
<v Ivan>to any of these. And now it makes it a hell of a lot easier.

01:36:06.480 --> 01:36:06.920
<v Sam>Right.

01:36:07.240 --> 01:36:07.680
<v Ivan>So.

01:36:08.650 --> 01:36:15.650
<v Ivan>It is a bonanza for lawyers. Tell you what, Jesus, they're going to be able to rack up fees.

01:36:15.910 --> 01:36:21.130
<v Sam>I mean, the whole thing about this is it ties into like Steve Bannon's old deconstruction

01:36:21.130 --> 01:36:22.570
<v Sam>of the administrative state.

01:36:22.790 --> 01:36:31.350
<v Sam>A bunch of these rulings have the effect of making it much harder for government to effectively work.

01:36:31.930 --> 01:36:36.810
<v Sam>You know, and you can say like, you know, Congress should have to pass a law

01:36:36.810 --> 01:36:38.070
<v Sam>in order to do this or whatever.

01:36:38.650 --> 01:36:42.930
<v Sam>But realistically, this makes it much harder for government to do stuff.

01:36:43.030 --> 01:36:48.590
<v Sam>Now, if you are one of those who just outright thinks that, you know,

01:36:48.590 --> 01:36:52.250
<v Sam>government shouldn't be doing anything anyway, then this is all great news for you.

01:36:52.470 --> 01:36:57.550
<v Sam>If, on the other hand, you think that, yeah, you know, having a government who's

01:36:57.550 --> 01:37:00.750
<v Sam>able to effectively regulate certain things actually is helpful,

01:37:01.010 --> 01:37:10.170
<v Sam>then this is potentially kneecapping the abilities of what can be done for potentially

01:37:10.170 --> 01:37:17.770
<v Sam>decades until like the court changes laws change etc which you know is not a fast process yeah.

01:37:17.770 --> 01:37:21.290
<v Ivan>Not it's not going to be a fast process so i i do think that and.

01:37:21.290 --> 01:37:24.190
<v Sam>I think you're right in the short term all kinds of things are going to end

01:37:24.190 --> 01:37:28.170
<v Sam>up in court and yeah you know when we're talking all right like i mean i know

01:37:28.170 --> 01:37:32.670
<v Sam>criminal versus civil versus whatever, but the, all of them are super slow.

01:37:33.070 --> 01:37:33.930
<v Ivan>Yeah. All of them.

01:37:33.950 --> 01:37:37.690
<v Sam>I mean, we're, we're talking about how long the, the Donald Trump stuff has

01:37:37.690 --> 01:37:44.130
<v Sam>been hanging on, but some of the, the court cases and the corporate court cases are also go on.

01:37:44.150 --> 01:37:47.630
<v Sam>Like there was a news, I forget which, which company it was,

01:37:47.710 --> 01:37:51.230
<v Sam>but there was something about them proceeding on a case that had been going

01:37:51.230 --> 01:37:54.790
<v Sam>for like well over a decade coming up on 20 years.

01:37:54.890 --> 01:37:57.930
<v Sam>Now it's been going back and forth in court. And.

01:37:58.570 --> 01:38:03.170
<v Sam>To me, this is ridiculous. It's already too slow. We should be figuring out

01:38:03.170 --> 01:38:06.490
<v Sam>ways to speed it up and come to a conclusion faster.

01:38:06.970 --> 01:38:09.290
<v Sam>This is just going to clog everything up even more.

01:38:09.630 --> 01:38:11.130
<v Ivan>More money for the courts.

01:38:12.510 --> 01:38:14.970
<v Sam>Yeah, like anybody's going to give them money. Come on.

01:38:15.270 --> 01:38:17.110
<v Ivan>No, probably not.

01:38:18.470 --> 01:38:21.790
<v Sam>Well, the government's not going to pay them through our taxes,

01:38:21.850 --> 01:38:24.690
<v Sam>but plenty of people are apparently giving lots of judges money,

01:38:24.870 --> 01:38:27.610
<v Sam>especially Justice Thomas. us but you know.

01:38:27.610 --> 01:38:32.790
<v Ivan>Well especially says did i not understand like the where the hell did i see

01:38:32.790 --> 01:38:38.070
<v Ivan>this interpretation of also uh was this a scotus case the one where they uh oh.

01:38:38.070 --> 01:38:39.550
<v Sam>The bribery one yeah.

01:38:39.550 --> 01:38:42.570
<v Ivan>Yeah the bribery one where wait a

01:38:42.570 --> 01:38:48.490
<v Ivan>minute yeah where i'm sorry but apparently but my understanding was that this

01:38:48.490 --> 01:38:53.890
<v Ivan>definitely was a mistake in the federal law because i saw that state law that

01:38:53.890 --> 01:39:00.270
<v Ivan>The states that have these anti-bribery laws are far more explicit about this.

01:39:00.410 --> 01:39:04.630
<v Ivan>Okay. But apparently the federal, the way that the federal one is written,

01:39:04.730 --> 01:39:10.030
<v Ivan>it basically allows you to just go and say, Hey, here official.

01:39:10.510 --> 01:39:12.130
<v Ivan>Oh, here's 20,000.

01:39:12.830 --> 01:39:16.190
<v Ivan>I'm like, Oh, it's just a gift. Thank you.

01:39:18.570 --> 01:39:22.610
<v Ivan>Oh, there's no print quote book. Oh, here you go. Here it's just, you know.

01:39:22.610 --> 01:39:29.270
<v Sam>Well a part a part of it was also apparently like if there's no agreement beforehand

01:39:29.270 --> 01:39:34.430
<v Sam>you can give them a thank you for doing the thing that you wanted thank you

01:39:34.430 --> 01:39:42.470
<v Sam>right yeah so thank thank you very much for passing that law that helps me you know here's here's.

01:39:42.470 --> 01:39:43.730
<v Ivan>A hundred thousand dollars.

01:39:44.250 --> 01:39:52.090
<v Sam>Yeah so it makes you wonder like you know what the fuck that well I was gonna

01:39:52.090 --> 01:39:56.210
<v Sam>say how bad it this is Menendez that he like gets caught with gold in his house

01:39:56.210 --> 01:39:59.710
<v Sam>and like is on trial for this when apparently all this should be legal.

01:40:00.390 --> 01:40:08.970
<v Ivan>Basically I'm just you know I don't so I this is giving me a headache.

01:40:10.670 --> 01:40:12.670
<v Sam>Okay are we done Yvonne.

01:40:13.650 --> 01:40:17.910
<v Ivan>This actually is giving me more of a more of a headache than i mean thinking

01:40:17.910 --> 01:40:22.490
<v Ivan>about some of the implications of these cases than anything else i i mean i

01:40:22.490 --> 01:40:27.070
<v Ivan>i just but the one thing is that on the on the payments one it should be an

01:40:27.070 --> 01:40:31.030
<v Ivan>easy fix but congress i mean you know i know the fucking,

01:40:31.530 --> 01:40:34.550
<v Ivan>republicans are not going to vote for making that illegal.

01:40:34.550 --> 01:40:40.510
<v Sam>No no fucking way a lot of democrats won't either to be honest like this is

01:40:40.510 --> 01:40:43.870
<v Sam>part of the problem with anti-corruption legislation in general is that like

01:40:43.870 --> 01:40:50.650
<v Sam>there's a non-trivial number of people on both sides who are taking advantage every way they can but.

01:40:50.650 --> 01:40:54.470
<v Ivan>We you know at some point we passed a law against this.

01:40:54.470 --> 01:40:57.470
<v Sam>We did there were laws at

01:40:57.470 --> 01:41:00.430
<v Sam>various times in the past they've been weakened over

01:41:00.430 --> 01:41:03.210
<v Sam>time like every once in a while you get

01:41:03.210 --> 01:41:06.190
<v Sam>a moment usually after some sort of scandal

01:41:06.190 --> 01:41:09.090
<v Sam>where congress is embarrassed enough to pass some

01:41:09.090 --> 01:41:12.770
<v Sam>laws against the stuff that caused the scandal but in

01:41:12.770 --> 01:41:16.150
<v Sam>between they're like you know nobody say

01:41:16.150 --> 01:41:19.190
<v Sam>anything because we're having fun with whatever we're

01:41:19.190 --> 01:41:25.930
<v Sam>getting right now you know like one one of the examples is just the stock trading

01:41:25.930 --> 01:41:32.830
<v Sam>oh god where we're like yeah congress congress can there are no restrictions

01:41:32.830 --> 01:41:37.210
<v Sam>on congress trading stocks on information that That they have through their official duties.

01:41:37.490 --> 01:41:38.010
<v Ivan>Right.

01:41:38.530 --> 01:41:44.210
<v Sam>And they have to disclose them. Like months later. But they're not prohibited from doing anything.

01:41:45.130 --> 01:41:49.110
<v Sam>And. And so like a bunch of congress critters. Have made a lot of good money.

01:41:49.170 --> 01:41:50.810
<v Sam>Based on information that.

01:41:51.250 --> 01:41:55.270
<v Sam>The general public was not aware of. Like there's actually some guy.

01:41:55.350 --> 01:41:58.350
<v Sam>Who set up a fund. That basically just tracks.

01:41:59.270 --> 01:42:01.810
<v Sam>Congressional investments. And does the same thing.

01:42:02.230 --> 01:42:03.530
<v Ivan>How is it doing?

01:42:03.950 --> 01:42:04.890
<v Sam>Apparently pretty well.

01:42:06.430 --> 01:42:09.950
<v Sam>You know, there's a little bit of a delay because he has to wait till the reporting

01:42:09.950 --> 01:42:12.830
<v Sam>happens. But yeah, right. Anyway.

01:42:15.410 --> 01:42:19.090
<v Sam>Let's wrap this sucker up. I got to get back to the stupid election graph stuff.

01:42:19.270 --> 01:42:22.390
<v Sam>It's given me a headache and I'm tired and I'm hungry.

01:42:23.390 --> 01:42:27.810
<v Sam>So anyway, the usual stuff at the end of the show election. No,

01:42:27.870 --> 01:42:30.790
<v Sam>not election graphs. Don't go to election graphs right now. It's all broken.

01:42:31.170 --> 01:42:33.970
<v Sam>Maybe it'll be fixed by the time I put out the podcast. But at the moment,

01:42:34.030 --> 01:42:35.210
<v Sam>it's all freaking broken.

01:42:35.210 --> 01:42:39.550
<v Sam>Can anyway no go to curmudgeon-quarter.com and

01:42:39.550 --> 01:42:42.330
<v Sam>you'll find our transcripts and

01:42:42.330 --> 01:42:47.510
<v Sam>by the way i still haven't like figured out the trick to make apple like my

01:42:47.510 --> 01:42:53.170
<v Sam>manually created transcripts it's it's worked once for me and hasn't worked

01:42:53.170 --> 01:42:57.090
<v Sam>the rest of i don't know it says it doesn't like them it rejects them says i'm

01:42:57.090 --> 01:43:01.410
<v Sam>not following their guidelines but it doesn't tell me what I'm doing wrong. So I can't fix it.

01:43:01.550 --> 01:43:02.590
<v Ivan>Ah, it's always helpful.

01:43:03.430 --> 01:43:08.230
<v Sam>Yeah. So anyway, it's got transcripts.

01:43:09.330 --> 01:43:12.530
<v Sam>Sometimes it's, we got archives. You can go back to listen to old shows.

01:43:12.990 --> 01:43:16.290
<v Sam>It's got all the ways to contact us. And of course it's got a link to our Patreon

01:43:16.290 --> 01:43:18.810
<v Sam>where you can give us money at various levels.

01:43:18.890 --> 01:43:21.650
<v Sam>We'll mention you on the show. We'll send you a postcard. We'll send you a mug,

01:43:22.010 --> 01:43:23.890
<v Sam>all of that sort of fun stuff.

01:43:24.450 --> 01:43:30.450
<v Sam>And at $2 a month or more, we'll invite you to our Slack where Yvonne and I

01:43:30.450 --> 01:43:34.170
<v Sam>and a bunch of listeners chat throughout the week about the goings on.

01:43:34.570 --> 01:43:38.710
<v Sam>Obviously this week we talked a lot about the debate, but any other thing you

01:43:38.710 --> 01:43:40.610
<v Sam>want to highlight from the Slack this week, Yvonne?

01:43:41.190 --> 01:43:44.770
<v Ivan>Well, I guess continuing on the theme of,

01:43:45.910 --> 01:43:48.730
<v Ivan>sociopathic things that Donald Trump talks about,

01:43:48.850 --> 01:43:55.770
<v Ivan>Donald Trump proposes migrant fight league during bonkers rallies oh yes okay

01:43:55.770 --> 01:44:01.670
<v Ivan>so apparently he wanted to propose some kind of you know you,

01:44:02.270 --> 01:44:10.290
<v Ivan>know gladiator style fighting between you know i guess migrants because they're

01:44:10.290 --> 01:44:14.210
<v Ivan>like you know i mean i'm sure that he thought about it from the style of the

01:44:14.210 --> 01:44:16.290
<v Ivan>movie gladiator did you see that movie.

01:44:16.830 --> 01:44:17.190
<v Sam>No.

01:44:17.770 --> 01:44:18.750
<v Ivan>Well, gladiator.

01:44:18.750 --> 01:44:19.930
<v Sam>I know what a gladiator is.

01:44:20.490 --> 01:44:22.590
<v Ivan>Well, it's like, uh, you know, gladiator.

01:44:22.610 --> 01:44:25.610
<v Sam>There used to be a game show on TV. I didn't watch that either.

01:44:25.710 --> 01:44:28.810
<v Ivan>I didn't watch that, but, but you know, so he wants them to fight,

01:44:28.850 --> 01:44:33.290
<v Ivan>you know, kind of like Roman empire style over at the Coliseum kind.

01:44:33.290 --> 01:44:34.010
<v Sam>Of a thing. Yes.

01:44:34.690 --> 01:44:35.050
<v Ivan>Basically.

01:44:35.750 --> 01:44:36.210
<v Sam>Yep. Yep.

01:44:37.540 --> 01:44:44.900
<v Ivan>It fits entirely yeah and of course we're worried about biden like not not not being articulate.

01:44:45.540 --> 01:44:50.520
<v Sam>Oh yeah and a rumor has uh donald trump may announce his vp any day now as well.

01:44:50.520 --> 01:44:54.160
<v Ivan>You know i've been hearing that already for weeks and i just you know well.

01:44:54.160 --> 01:44:59.220
<v Sam>The specific rumor was it was it if he did badly at the debate he would change

01:44:59.220 --> 01:45:01.720
<v Sam>the news cycle by announcing his vp right away.

01:45:01.720 --> 01:45:03.340
<v Ivan>But he.

01:45:03.340 --> 01:45:08.340
<v Sam>Doesn't need to do that so he may he may wait to pull it out around the time of his sentencing.

01:45:08.340 --> 01:45:11.400
<v Ivan>Well another thing is andy borowitz with you

01:45:11.400 --> 01:45:14.260
<v Ivan>know at least with some comedy relief went and

01:45:14.260 --> 01:45:17.620
<v Ivan>posted one there are some you know so we're talking about replacing

01:45:17.620 --> 01:45:23.680
<v Ivan>a joe uh you mentioned uh hey there are some compelling arguments for replacing

01:45:23.680 --> 01:45:30.260
<v Ivan>joe with hunter you could still use biden 24 campaign regalia he's a generation

01:45:30.260 --> 01:45:35.440
<v Ivan>younger and the fact that he's a convicted felon could attract republican voters there.

01:45:35.440 --> 01:45:38.760
<v Sam>You go yeah that's that's that's perfect.

01:45:38.760 --> 01:45:41.880
<v Ivan>So why not yeah i mean you guys want to replace it but you know what the hell

01:45:41.880 --> 01:45:45.000
<v Ivan>why don't we go toe-to-toe with the republicans hey let's put our convicted

01:45:45.000 --> 01:45:49.500
<v Ivan>felon versus your convicted fellow what do you think of that i.

01:45:49.500 --> 01:45:54.460
<v Sam>I just i just don't know what to say it's yeah i.

01:45:54.460 --> 01:45:57.200
<v Ivan>Mean you know and you know

01:45:57.200 --> 01:46:04.640
<v Ivan>look you know unfortunately hunter has a substance abuse problem i'm sure that

01:46:04.640 --> 01:46:08.380
<v Ivan>you know what if he's going to go on the debate stage i'm sure he'll take a

01:46:08.380 --> 01:46:11.480
<v Ivan>hit of coke or something or whatever before he goes on there to make sure that

01:46:11.480 --> 01:46:14.460
<v Ivan>he's he's all energetic yeah.

01:46:15.650 --> 01:46:20.470
<v Sam>Like we said last week, they should have drugged up Biden. Come on.

01:46:20.890 --> 01:46:24.730
<v Ivan>Well, he was sick, so it probably was the perfect moment to drug him up.

01:46:24.970 --> 01:46:30.430
<v Sam>They probably gave him things that made him sleepy. I don't know.

01:46:30.790 --> 01:46:32.190
<v Ivan>Might have, yeah.

01:46:32.830 --> 01:46:35.570
<v Sam>So, ah, well. Oh, well.

01:46:35.690 --> 01:46:43.550
<v Sam>And so just hopefully we'll see energetic, vibrant Biden a lot more over the

01:46:43.550 --> 01:46:46.130
<v Sam>next couple weeks So he can sort of turn this thing around.

01:46:46.290 --> 01:46:53.150
<v Sam>Otherwise, like it's just an easy spiral thing anyway, but I don't think he's dropping out.

01:46:53.490 --> 01:46:57.710
<v Ivan>I don't think he's dropping out. I also, you know, look, if like,

01:46:57.770 --> 01:47:00.530
<v Ivan>like I said, my, my, my thing is,

01:47:00.650 --> 01:47:05.490
<v Ivan>I don't know, the narrative and the, and these, and these cycles changes so

01:47:05.490 --> 01:47:10.090
<v Ivan>quickly that, you know, in two weeks from now, we're going to be talking about the sentencing.

01:47:10.090 --> 01:47:16.750
<v Ivan>I mean think about what if what if trump gets sentenced to jail which i think is very likely it.

01:47:16.750 --> 01:47:24.970
<v Sam>Could happen now now there might there might be a sentence to jail pending blah

01:47:24.970 --> 01:47:28.610
<v Sam>blah blah so it's like there'll still be appeals they'll still be right.

01:47:28.610 --> 01:47:32.770
<v Ivan>No no no i get that i get that but but still so.

01:47:32.770 --> 01:47:34.850
<v Sam>He's not actually going to jail most likely.

01:47:34.850 --> 01:47:40.910
<v Ivan>Most likely not most likely but but but But what if he gets sent to jail?

01:47:41.710 --> 01:47:43.910
<v Ivan>How does that play into all this narrative?

01:47:44.970 --> 01:47:47.490
<v Sam>It'll be interesting to see. That's all I got to say.

01:47:48.110 --> 01:47:49.530
<v Ivan>Yes. Oh, God.

01:47:50.150 --> 01:47:52.790
<v Sam>Okay, we're done. We're done.

01:47:52.930 --> 01:47:57.950
<v Ivan>By the way, by then, you know, I will say one final thought on all of this.

01:47:58.070 --> 01:47:59.030
<v Sam>Yeah, one final thought.

01:47:59.290 --> 01:48:03.270
<v Ivan>You know, one problem that we have over here is that we, you know,

01:48:03.270 --> 01:48:08.470
<v Ivan>which may be, we haven't hit rock bottom with this entire cycle with Trump.

01:48:08.810 --> 01:48:13.730
<v Ivan>No, Sarah, here's the thing. Look, look at what's happening in the British election

01:48:13.730 --> 01:48:17.930
<v Ivan>with the conservatives and how they wrote all these morons. Yeah.

01:48:18.090 --> 01:48:20.930
<v Ivan>Until basically just complete disaster. Okay.

01:48:21.350 --> 01:48:24.270
<v Sam>But yeah, that's next week too, right? We'll, we'll have, we'll,

01:48:24.270 --> 01:48:27.590
<v Sam>we'll, we'll have results of that by the time we record our next show, probably.

01:48:27.910 --> 01:48:31.710
<v Ivan>And by the time we that, and all the forecasts show that the wipeout,

01:48:31.770 --> 01:48:36.530
<v Ivan>the kind of wipeout that we would hope the Republicans get at some point,

01:48:36.550 --> 01:48:40.770
<v Ivan>but haven't yet at some point. is what they are getting there, finally.

01:48:41.210 --> 01:48:45.370
<v Sam>At least that's what it looks like today. We'll know for sure in a week.

01:48:47.070 --> 01:48:52.050
<v Ivan>We'll know for sure, but it's highly likely that they are going to get completely

01:48:52.050 --> 01:48:56.150
<v Ivan>crushed in an epic fashion, like no...

01:48:57.080 --> 01:48:59.880
<v Ivan>Government or you know whatever or party of you

01:48:59.880 --> 01:49:03.480
<v Ivan>know party like conservatives has gotten crushed ever and it's

01:49:03.480 --> 01:49:08.640
<v Ivan>all a product of all this bullshit and all these games and all this same usual

01:49:08.640 --> 01:49:13.960
<v Ivan>right wing cozying up to bullshit that that's that the republicans have been

01:49:13.960 --> 01:49:20.020
<v Ivan>doing and and amping up with with with trump so plus brexit plus brexit you

01:49:20.020 --> 01:49:23.340
<v Ivan>know at that and that and that's their waterloo I mean, basically,

01:49:23.480 --> 01:49:27.880
<v Ivan>I mean, it drove him to, you know, a policy that is basically just,

01:49:27.980 --> 01:49:31.520
<v Ivan>you know, undermine the British economy for decades to come.

01:49:32.360 --> 01:49:38.340
<v Ivan>So I don't know. Is that what it's going to take for the fever to break? I hope not.

01:49:38.580 --> 01:49:40.120
<v Sam>But yeah, it might.

01:49:40.480 --> 01:49:41.140
<v Ivan>It might.

01:49:41.800 --> 01:49:46.720
<v Sam>Like, yeah. As the election approaches, I know how much you hate the topic,

01:49:46.800 --> 01:49:51.100
<v Sam>but we will undoubtedly have what happens if Trump wins conversations.

01:49:51.400 --> 01:49:54.540
<v Sam>So, yeah. But not today. I am done.

01:49:54.760 --> 01:49:56.180
<v Ivan>Not today. I'm done.

01:49:56.520 --> 01:50:03.380
<v Sam>Okay, everybody. The usual. Stay safe. Have fun. We will see you next week.

01:50:03.820 --> 01:50:09.160
<v Sam>And yeah, hopefully I'll fix my stupid website. Back up. No,

01:50:09.220 --> 01:50:10.460
<v Sam>not back after this. I'm done.

01:50:12.860 --> 01:50:17.920
<v Sam>Here's the outro. Goodbye. Say goodbye, Vaughn.

01:50:18.540 --> 01:50:20.580
<v Ivan>Talk about the senile guy. Goodbye.

01:50:48.040 --> 01:50:51.260
<v Sam>Okay any stop good night everyone.

